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+---- Thread: *NSFL Week 2 Watchability Rankings (/showthread.php?tid=16096)
*NSFL Week 2 Watchability Rankings - Modern_Duke - 10-15-2019
Once again this is a ranking of the week's games by how exciting they should be to watch. Based on the following:
Team Factor: Team 1's Win % x Team 2's Win % - Pretty straight forward measure of the quality of the two teams playing. Multiplying the percentages rather than adding them together should better account for how closely matched the two teams are as well, so like two 5-5 teams playing each other will get a higher score than an 8-2 team playing a 2-8 team.
Offensive Factor: There are probably a few really good ways to measure how exciting an offense is (yards per play, long touchdowns) but at the end of the day an exciting offense just scores a lot, so I'll just keep it nice and simple with the average of Team 1 and Team 2's points per game (divided by 100 to scale with the Team Factor).
Defensive Factor: Here I didn't want to just use points per game, because, well, go watch a game that ends 3-0 and tell me that it was constantly exciting. If you want excitement on defense, you have to look at the big plays like sacks and turnovers. For now I'm just using Sack Rate + 4*Turnover Rate, but I may still tinker with that.
X Factor: What is going on in this game that isn't covered in the stats? A big divisional rivalry? A lot of trash talk before the game? A playoff spot on the line? Here I will try to assign a number to express those intangible factors...So if this whole thing is going to be completely arbitrary anyway, why use statistics at all? Well, I don't know, that's just kind of my thing. Don't be mean.
I'm still using S17 stats for now, I'll probably start blending in S18 numbers (at least a little bit) after this week but for now I'm just using X Factors to account for S18 happenings.
5. New Orleans Second Line at San Jose SaberCats
Team Factor: (.308 x .538) = 0.1657
Offensive Factor: (24.1 + 21.5 / 2) / 100 = .2281
Defensive Factor: .0954 + .1247 / 2 = .1101
X Factor: None
Watchability Index: 0.5039
Notes: Nothing special. New Orleans picked up a nice win at home over Austin, meanwhile San Jose was the lowest scoring team in Week 1.
4. Orange County Otters at Philadelphia Liberty
Team Factor: (.462 x .385) = 0.1779
Offensive Factor: (27.8 + 17.7 / 2) / 100 = .2273
Defensive Factor: .1469 + .0927 / 2 = .1198
X Factor: None
Watchability Index: 0.5249
Notes: Philly couldn't hold on to an early lead against the Yeti. Otters rolled. Liberty may need to hope for some home field advantage magic in this one.
3. Colorado Yeti at Baltimore Hawks
Team Factor: (.385 x .615) = 0.2368
Offensive Factor: (22.9 + 26.4 / 2) / 100 = .2465
Defensive Factor: .1141 + .1275 / 2 = .1208
X Factor: 1-0 vs 1-0 = +.10
Watchability Index: 0.7041
Notes: Our only matchup of undefeated teams, but both just barely got their home wins, as the Yeti won by a point and the Hawks needed overtime.
2. Austin Copperheads at Arizona Outlaws
Team Factor: (.385 x .692) = 0.2664
Offensive Factor: (20.1 + 30.3 / 2) / 100 = .2519
Defensive Factor: .1279 + .1365 / 2 = .1322
X Factor: 0-1 vs 0-1 = +.10
Watchability Index: 0.7505
Notes: Usually winless teams will pull down the excitement, but I actually bumped the X Factor here. I think there's some added in juice in watching both them try to fend of an 0-2 start after high preseason expectations.
1. Chicago Butchers at Yellowknife Wraiths
Team Factor: (.615 x .615) = 0.3782
Offensive Factor: (25.8 + 27.8 / 2) / 100 = .2681
Defensive Factor: .1412 + .1228 / 2 = .1320
X Factor: None
Watchability Index: 0.7783
Notes: So Chicago's actually good? You people lead me to believe that was not the case, but they went out and dominated Arizona in week 1 with a league high 38 points. The Wraiths try to right the ship after a heartbreaker.
And real quick for the DSFL:
3. Kansas City Coyotes at Norfolk Seawolves - shrug
2. San Antonio Marshals at Myrtle Beach Buccaneers - Debut of MB
1. Tijuana Luchadores at Portland Pythons - Ultimini rematch
*NSFL Week 2 Watchability Rankings - JuOSu - 10-15-2019
last place every week
*NSFL Week 2 Watchability Rankings - Modern_Duke - 10-15-2019
almost forgot my DSFL bros
(10-15-2019, 06:21 PM)JuOSu Wrote:last place every week
nah I fixed last week's you guys got bumped way up
*NSFL Week 2 Watchability Rankings - slothfacekilla - 10-15-2019
no u