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+---- Thread: *NSFL Week 2 Power Rankings (/showthread.php?tid=20121)
*NSFL Week 2 Power Rankings - Ephenssta - 03-13-2020
Although receiving slightly fewer responses to the week two power ranking survey, week two power rankings are below! Thank you to the eight people who took the time to complete the survey! If you want to participate, you may message me or keep your eyes out in the main Discord following the stream of the third game week.
In the eyes of the community, San Jose rightfully retains their rank as dead last. One funny person either misunderstood the rankings or tried to be a troll, giving San Jose one first place vote. The other eight voters retained their senses and put San Jose in last. Only one voter had a team other than San Jose in last place. It’s not all bad for San Jose, though. They are now expected to win 2 games instead of one on the season.
The one team that was not San Jose receiving a last place vote is Chicago. Chicago has a better record than both Colorado and San Jose and actually has a positive point differential, so I can’t say I agree with the voters on this one. Chicago received votes as high as seventh and as low as last. They were voted fifth following week one. Four places is the largest change between teams. Chicago is expected to win seven games, good for fourth in the league after week two. They likely deserve better than ninth place.
Arizona moved into eight this week, up from ninth after their debut. They received one vote as high as sixth, but no last place votes. This elevated them up into eight. Their expected win total has them in seventh, a one place decrease from sixth the week before. They are projected to win a meager 5.2 games this season.
Seventh place goes to Colorado, who did not move from their place last week in the eyes of the voter. They received votes as high as fourth and as low as ninth, though five of the eight voters had them in eight or ninth. I think seventh place is too high for a team that is expected to win only three games, down from five after their debut. They have one of the worst point differences in the league at -20 after only two games. Now this early, that could just be two bad beatings that aren’t truly representative of how they will perform the rest of the season, but it is certainly concerning. They are expected to finish ninth in wins this season.
Sixth place belongs to Philadelphia, down from four the week before. They received one vote as high as second, another in fourth, and the rest spanned between sixth and ninth (6 and 9…nice). Philly has a narrowly negative point difference following their week two loss. After that loss, they are expected to win only six games, down from a projection of nine the week before. That’s not entirely abnormal in the early parts of the season. They are projected to finish middle of the pack at fifth on the season.
The first team in the top half is Yellowknife, who made a big improvement in public opinion from eight last week. Yellowknife received most of their votes between fourth and sixth, with one suggesting they should remain in eight. They improved their projected wins by two, jumping from three to five.
Fourth place belongs to Austin, who rose from sixth after week one. The defending champions received votes as high as second and as low as seventh. They are projected to win only six games, which would be good for sixth according to the expected win totals. It looks like they may be slightly overrated following their championship season, but that isn’t entirely surprising and there is still plenty of time for them for them to bounce back.
The voters held Orange County in third. They received six of their eight votes in second and third with two all the way down in sixth. The two in sixth might be disgruntled. Either that or crazy. Orange County is expected to win ten games on the year, which is good for second in expected wins. Orange County has certainly looked good early this season and has a legitimate shot at winning the division.
Second place belongs to Baltimore. Baltimore was first place last week. Half the voters put them in first place and two had them all the way down in fifth. Those voters are probably about as senile as the ones who threw Orange County into sixth. Baltimore leads the expected win projections after week two and are predicted to win 10.5 games, 11 with rounding.
The voters had New Orleans in first. New Orleans was second in week one. In both weeks, New Orleans was projected to place third in wins with 9. In any case, they are a strong contender that is still probably slightly overrated by the public. Their production has been just a step behind Orange County and they may be getting the subtle benefit of being named first in the ASFC on the index.
The power rankings from week two are below, with the change from last week in parenthesis:
1. New Orleans (+1)
2. Baltimore (-1)
3. Orange County (0)
4. Austin (-2)
5. Yellowknife (+3)
6. Philadelphia (-2)
7. Colorado (0)
8. Arizona (+1)
9. Chicago (-4)
10. San Jose (0)
The expected win totals following week two are below:
1. Baltimore – 10.5 wins
2. Orange County – 10.2 wins
3. New Orleans – 9.4 wins
4. Chicago – 6.9 wins
5. Philadelphia – 5.9 wins
6. Austin – 5.8 wins
7. Arizona – 5.2 wins
8. Yellowknife – 4.8 wins
9. Colorado – 3.0 wins
10. San Jose – 1.8 wins