International Simulation Football League
*S23 Rufio NSFL WR TPE Evaluation - Printable Version

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*S23 Rufio NSFL WR TPE Evaluation - Rufio_NZ - 05-24-2020

Disclaimer* This is my first attempt at evaluating other players so take this with a grain of salt. Also, I wont be talking about personalities or user history in the league because I am a fresher in this league and am still researching user history myself.

First and foremost, I have been told by a reliable source (Source, 2020) that this is one of the most dense WR prospect classes in recent years and holds some great prospects going into the twenty third season of the NSFL. I have decided to take a look at the main prospects going into next years draft and reflect on their TPE and game performance for the DSFL twenty second season.

S-Tier: Kai Sakura (239 TPE), Tychondrius Hood (226 TPE), Luca Scabbia (225 TPE), Taylor Cooper (225 TPE) Doug Howlett (213 TPE), Jackson Kingston (206 TPE), Dre Matthews (205 TPE),

A-Tier : Benoit Blanco (182 TPE) Leroy Jenkins (176 TPE) Griff Oberwald (162 TPE), Brock Bodenheimer (159 TPE)

These TPE earnings are the current players updates as of 24/05. The S tier prospects are the receivers 200 TPE+ and those in which I believe could potentially be drafted and make an immediate impact to the team they're drafted by. The A-Tier prospects are below 200 but are still great candidates and have potential to make great impacts depending on landing situations.

Seeing as my knowledge on locker room presences and personalities is very limited I have turned to statistical data. I have noticed a large importance on TPE in mock drafts and the impact it has on a players performance as well as their draft stock. I am still researching the impact of applied statistics/TPE to a players performance but after one season in the DSFL I have looked at overall performances and the players TPE.

Table 1: WR NSFL23 Prospects
[Image: Screenshot_2020-05-24_at_21.00.54.png]
Source: DSFL22 Index, 2020

As you can see above, the correlation between TPE and player performance is strong. The majority of prospects show a true correlation between TPE and performance. As we look at the TPE earned reduce, so does the players production in yards, receptions and average yards per carry. Contrary to this, there are two outliers in which this hasn't applied. Prospected first/second round candidate and TPE leader, Kai Sakura, currently has 239 TPE but ranked 8th in yards(349) and 6th in avg yards per carry (10.9). On the opposite side of the spectrum Leroy Jenkins has 63 less TPE but finished 6th in yards(420) and 1st in average yards per carry (15.6). This analysis doesn't consider if a player was earning but not updating amidst the season and it also does not take into consideration target competition which could be the reason behind Sakura's low statistical performance and Jenkins above average performance.

Which raises the question.

Is TPE Overrated or is Opportunity Share underrated?

References:

DSFL22 Index, 2020. DSFL statistical data provided by a very handsome and or pretty bunch of humans. https://index.sim-football.com/DSFLS22/Leag...ivingStats.html

Source, 2020. A totally reliable secondary data source from a great book. https://yespleaseclickthislinkforthegreatsource.govt.nz

Word Count: 685 (Graph Inclusive)


*S23 Rufio NSFL WR TPE Evaluation - DarknessRising - 05-24-2020

This is a good article to start you off on some media articles with similar analysis in the future. It is interesting how TPE doesn't always make you the best player on the field, and hence why teams value things like personality and activeness over raw TPE values.

The WR situation come the draft will be very interesting with good high numbers across many people, as well as the low need of the position. The only thing i will say about your article is that I think you will find that Taylor Cooper and Leory Jenkins are actually from s22 and not s23 DSFL draft, other than that, very well done!


*S23 Rufio NSFL WR TPE Evaluation - Rufio_NZ - 05-24-2020

Oh snap crackle and pop. You're right


*S23 Rufio NSFL WR TPE Evaluation - Jay_Doctor - 05-24-2020

Nice article! Coming into the draft, a lot of people felt that the WR class was the deepest position and you all certainly proved that.