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*Examining Bias - Modern_Duke - 07-29-2020

Well, with the reveal of individual votes we get our first glimpse of how the awards sausage is made. And some people didn't like what they saw. Cries of 'bias' have rang out. So I wanted to take a closer look at who could remain objective. What I did was compare voting position on team members to actual voting result. So, if a player came in 3rd in award voting, but their team voted them to come in 1st, there is some bias there. If their team had instead voted them 3rd, in line with the rest of the voters, they did not display any bias. Got it? Oh, and I only looked at player awards, not GM or MDM.

About 'Actual Finish' - I used relative, rather than absolute, position. Rather than treat all award winners as coming in 1st, I calculated position based on number of points received. A unanimous award winner (48 points) would get an Actual Finish of 1.00. A player who got 1 point out of possible 48 gets an Actual Finish of 3.9375. Basically, all award winners were not treated equal. Don't about the calculation, its fine. Why do it this way? Because voting someone higher than a near unanimous winner like Austin McCormick, who got 46 out of 48 possible points to win Tight End of the Year, would show more bias than voting someone higher than Louisana Purchase, who barely won Returner of the Year (ayyy) with 29 out of 48 points.

About 'Vote' - Pretty straightforward. I used 4 if a player was left off the person's top 3.

About Difference - So, with that in mind, the difference between a person's Vote and the Actual Finish shows the bias in each vote. If someone's Average Difference is -1.00, they on average voted their team members one whole spot higher than they deserved. If a Difference is positive, the voter actually showed, I don't know, I guess you would call it negative bias. Basically, the more negative the number gets, the more bias.

Here are the results:

Bex (NOLA Affiliated)
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Returner Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock -- 2.5625 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.5625 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Safety Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock -- 1.5 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.5
Cornerback Of The Year -- David Rector -- 3.5 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.5
Linebacker Of The Year -- Ugarth the Dissector -- 3.375 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.625
Linebacker Of The Year -- Quenton Bode -- 3.625 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.375
Defensive End Of The Year -- Ben Tu'inukuafe -- 2.8125 -- 3 -- Difference: 0.1875
Offensive Lineman Of The Year -- Givussafare Rubbe -- 2.0625 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.0625
Tight End Of The Year -- Austin McCormick -- 1.125 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.125
Running Back Of The Year -- Marcella Toriki -- 3.1875 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.8125
Offensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- Ed Barker -- 3.3125 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.6875
Defensive Performance Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock W14 -- 3.6875 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.3125
Offensive Player Of The Year -- Forrest Gump -- 3.5 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.5
Defensive Player Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock -- 2.25 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.25
Most Valuable Player -- Mason Blaylock -- 3.25 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.75

Average Vote: 3.07
Average Difference: +0.23
Median Difference: +0.34

Exilizer (BAL Affiliated)
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Offensive Lineman Of The Year -- Byron Dolls -- 3.9375 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.0625
Offensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- Chika Fujiwara -- 2.5625 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.5625
Offensive Rookie Of The Year -- Nick Kaepercolin -- 3.1875 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.1875 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Offensive Performance Of The Year -- Apollo Reed W5 -- 3.0625 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.0625

Average Vote: 2.00
Average Difference: -1.19
Median Difference: -1.31

Infinitempg (COL Affiliated)
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Returner Of The Year -- Louisiana Purchase -- 2.1875 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.1875 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Kicker Of The Year -- Silver Banana -- 1.9375 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.9375
Linebacker Of The Year -- Mo Berry -- 2.5 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.5
Defensive Tackle Of The Year -- Bubba Thumper -- 1.875 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.875
Defensive End Of The Year -- Immanuel Blackstone -- 1.8125 -- 2 -- Difference: 0.1875
Tight End Of The Year -- Earl Sauce -- 3.4375 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.4375
Wide Receiver Of The Year -- William Lim -- 3.75 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.25
Quarterback Of The Year -- Wolfie McDummy -- 3.6875 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.3125
Offensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- William Lim -- 1.5 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.5
Offensive Performance Of The Year -- Wolfie McDummy W15 -- 3.4375 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.5625
Defensive Player Of The Year -- Mo Berry -- 2.9375 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.9375

Average Vote: 2.27
Average Difference: -0.37
Median Difference: -0.50

Terriblehippo (NOLA Affiliated)
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Returner Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock -- 2.5625 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.5625
Safety Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock -- 1.5 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.5
Cornerback Of The Year -- David Rector -- 3.5 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.5
Linebacker Of The Year -- Ugarth the Dissector -- 3.375 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.375
Linebacker Of The Year -- Quenton Bode -- 3.625 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.625
Defensive End Of The Year -- Ben Tu'inukuafe -- 2.8125 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.8125
Offensive Lineman Of The Year -- Givussafare Rubbe -- 2.0625 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.0625
Tight End Of The Year -- Austin McCormick -- 1.125 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.125
Running Back Of The Year -- Marcella Toriki -- 3.1875 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.1875
Offensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- Ed Barker -- 3.3125 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.3125
Defensive Performance Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock W14 -- 3.6875 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.6875 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Offensive Player Of The Year -- Forrest Gump -- 3.5 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.5
Defensive Player Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock -- 2.25 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.25
Most Valuable Player -- Mason Blaylock -- 3.25 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.25

Average Vote: 1.07
Average Difference: -1.77
Median Difference: -2.00

Arizona Outlaws
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Returner Of The Year -- Desmond Scarlett -- 3.625 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.375
Cornerback Of The Year -- Zamir Kehla -- 3.0625 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.0625
Linebacker Of The Year -- Galf Wilf -- 1.3125 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.3125
Offensive Lineman Of The Year -- Bruce Buckley -- 1.375 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.375
Tight End Of The Year -- Heath Evans -- 3.625 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.625
Wide Receiver Of The Year -- Saba Donut -- 1.125 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.125
Quarterback Of The Year -- Jay Cue -- 1.375 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.375
Offensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- Thomas Passman -- 3.75 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.25
Offensive Performance Of The Year -- Bruce Buckley W11 -- 3.1875 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.1875
Offensive Performance Of The Year -- Jay Cue W5 -- 2.875 -- 3 -- Difference: 0.125
Offensive Player Of The Year -- Jay Cue -- 2.25 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.25
Offensive Player Of The Year -- Saba Donut -- 3.25 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.75
Defensive Player Of The Year -- Galf Wilf -- 1.5625 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.5625
Most Valuable Player -- Galf Wilf -- 3.4375 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.4375
Most Valuable Player -- Jay Cue -- 2.375 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.375 (Biggest Homer Pick)

Average Vote: 2.20
Average Difference: -0.27
Median Difference: -0.34

Austin Copperheads
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Returner Of The Year -- Mako Mendonca -- 2.8125 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.8125 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Punter Of The Year -- Alfredo Crisco -- 3.5625 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.5625
Cornerback Of The Year -- Dermot Lavelle Jr. -- 3.3125 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.3125
Defensive End Of The Year -- Kyle Idlewyld -- 3.6875 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.3125
Wide Receiver Of The Year -- Net Gaines -- 2.8125 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.8125
Quarterback Of The Year -- Easton Cole -- 3.3125 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.3125

Average Vote: 2.50
Average Difference: -0.75
Median Difference: -0.69

Baltimore Hawks
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Offensive Lineman Of The Year -- Byron Dolls -- 3.9375 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.0625
Offensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- Chika Fujiwara -- 2.5625 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.5625
Offensive Rookie Of The Year -- Nick Kaepercolin -- 3.1875 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.8125
Offensive Performance Of The Year -- Apollo Reed W5 -- 3.0625 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.0625 (Biggest Homer Pick)

Average Vote: 3.00
Average Difference: -0.19
Median Difference: -0.25

Chicago Butchers
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Punter Of The Year -- Sam Sidekick -- 2.0625 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.0625
Offensive Rookie Of The Year -- George O'Donnel -- 3.75 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.25
Defensive Rookie Of The Year -- Tyron Shields -- 3.5 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.5 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Defensive Rookie Of The Year -- Hingle McCringleberry -- 2.375 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.375
Defensive Performance Of The Year -- Hamish MacAndrew W2 -- 3.625 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.625

Average Vote: 2.20
Average Difference: -0.86
Median Difference: -1.06

Colorado Yeti
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Returner Of The Year -- Louisiana Purchase -- 2.1875 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.1875
Kicker Of The Year -- Silver Banana -- 1.9375 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.9375
Linebacker Of The Year -- Mo Berry -- 2.5 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.5
Defensive Tackle Of The Year -- Bubba Thumper -- 1.875 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.875
Defensive End Of The Year -- Immanuel Blackstone -- 1.8125 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.8125
Tight End Of The Year -- Earl Sauce -- 3.4375 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.5625
Wide Receiver Of The Year -- William Lim -- 3.75 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.75
Quarterback Of The Year -- Wolfie McDummy -- 3.6875 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.6875
Offensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- William Lim -- 1.5 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.5
Offensive Performance Of The Year -- Wolfie McDummy W15 -- 3.4375 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.4375 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Defensive Player Of The Year -- Mo Berry -- 2.9375 -- 3 -- Difference: 0.0625

Average Vote: 2.00
Average Difference: -0.64
Median Difference: -0.75

Honolulu Hahalua
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Punter Of The Year -- Venus Powers -- 2.125 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.125
Defensive End Of The Year -- Logan Noble Jr. -- 3.0625 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.0625 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Defensive Rookie Of The Year -- Jim Waters -- 2.6875 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.6875
Defensive Performance Of The Year -- Jim Waters W12 -- 1.25 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.25

Average Vote: 1.00
Average Difference: -1.28
Median Difference: -1.41

New Orleans Second Line
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Returner Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock -- 2.5625 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.5625
Safety Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock -- 1.5 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.5
Cornerback Of The Year -- David Rector -- 3.5 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.5
Linebacker Of The Year -- Ugarth the Dissector -- 3.375 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.375
Linebacker Of The Year -- Quenton Bode -- 3.625 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.625
Defensive End Of The Year -- Ben Tu'inukuafe -- 2.8125 -- 3 -- Difference: 0.1875
Offensive Lineman Of The Year -- Givussafare Rubbe -- 2.0625 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.0625
Tight End Of The Year -- Austin McCormick -- 1.125 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.125
Running Back Of The Year -- Marcella Toriki -- 3.1875 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.1875
Offensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- Ed Barker -- 3.3125 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.3125
Defensive Performance Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock W14 -- 3.6875 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.3125
Offensive Player Of The Year -- Forrest Gump -- 3.5 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.5 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Defensive Player Of The Year -- Mason Blaylock -- 2.25 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.25
Most Valuable Player -- Mason Blaylock -- 3.25 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.25

Average Vote: 2.14
Average Difference: -0.70
Median Difference: -0.59

Orange County Otters
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Kicker Of The Year -- Alex D. -- 3.6875 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.3125
Safety Of The Year -- Prince Vegeta -- 2.375 -- 3 -- Difference: 0.625
Cornerback Of The Year -- Korrin Abernathy -- 1.6875 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.6875
Defensive Tackle Of The Year -- Big Edd -- 1.875 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.875
Defensive Tackle Of The Year -- Rapid Eagle -- 3.25 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.25
Offensive Lineman Of The Year -- Douglas Quail -- 3.8125 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.1875
Running Back Of The Year -- Tatsu Nakamura -- 2.5 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.5
Quarterback Of The Year -- Franklin Armstrong -- 1.875 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.875
Offensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- Tatsu Nakamura -- 2.875 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.875
Defensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- Big Edd -- 2.875 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.875
Offensive Rookie Of The Year -- Douglas Quail -- 3.25 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.25
Defensive Performance Of The Year -- Prince Vegeta W15 -- 2.5 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.5
Offensive Player Of The Year -- Franklin Armstrong -- 3.25 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.75
Defensive Player Of The Year -- Korrin Abernathy -- 3.375 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.625
Defensive Player Of The Year -- Prince Vegeta -- 3.875 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.125
Most Valuable Player -- Franklin Armstrong -- 2.8125 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.8125 (Biggest Homer Pick)

Average Vote: 2.50
Average Difference: -0.37
Median Difference: -0.50

Philadelphia Liberty
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Safety Of The Year -- Matt Cross -- 3 -- 3 -- Difference: 0
Cornerback Of The Year -- Brandon Booker -- 2.4375 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.4375
Defensive End Of The Year -- Spike Suzuki -- 2.625 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.625
Offensive Lineman Of The Year -- Simon Tremblay -- 2.8125 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.8125
Tight End Of The Year -- Avon Blocksdale Jr. -- 2.0625 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.0625
Wide Receiver Of The Year -- Nacho Varga -- 3.6875 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.6875
Running Back Of The Year -- Sam Torenson -- 3.1875 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.1875
Defensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- Spike Suzuki -- 2.3125 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.3125
Defensive Rookie Of The Year -- Tycker Om -- 3.25 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.25 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Defensive Performance Of The Year -- Brandon Booker W12 -- 2.9375 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.9375

Average Vote: 1.30
Average Difference: -1.53
Median Difference: -1.66

Sarasota Sailfish
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Punter Of The Year -- Jacob Small -- 2.25 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.25
Safety Of The Year -- Jamie N'kiah -- 3.5625 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.4375
Wide Receiver Of The Year -- Rayne Gordon -- 2.625 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.625
Defensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- Jamie N'kiah -- 3.5 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.5
Offensive Rookie Of The Year -- James Angler -- 2.375 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.375 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Defensive Rookie Of The Year -- Son Goku -- 2.1875 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.1875

Average Vote: 2.33
Average Difference: -0.42
Median Difference: -0.41

San Jose Sabercats
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Kicker Of The Year -- Matthew Mcdairmid -- 3.125 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.125
Tight End Of The Year -- Leon McDavid -- 3.75 -- 3 -- Difference: -0.75
Defensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- George Fisher -- 3 -- 1 -- Difference: -2 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Offensive Rookie Of The Year -- Jamar Lackson -- 1.4375 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.4375

Average Vote: 2.00
Average Difference: -0.83
Median Difference: -0.59

Yellowknife Wraiths
Award -- Affiliated Player -- Actual Finish -- Vote -- (Vote - Actual)
Returner Of The Year -- Mathias Hanyadi -- 2.8125 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.8125
Kicker Of The Year -- Dougie Smalls -- 3.125 -- 1 -- Difference: -2.125 (Biggest Homer Pick)
Safety Of The Year -- Magnus Valdyr -- 3.5625 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.5625
Linebacker Of The Year -- Douglas Quaid -- 3.1875 -- 2 -- Difference: -1.1875
Defensive Tackle Of The Year -- Giannis Koustis -- 3 -- 2 -- Difference: -1
Running Back Of The Year -- Mathias Hanyadi -- 1.125 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.125
Quarterback Of The Year -- Cooter Bigsby -- 3.75 -- 4 -- Difference: 0.25
Defensive Breakout Player Of The Year -- Douglas Quaid -- 2.3125 -- 2 -- Difference: -0.3125
Offensive Performance Of The Year -- Mathias Hanyadi W10 -- 1.4375 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.4375
Offensive Player Of The Year -- Mathias Hanyadi -- 1.75 -- 1 -- Difference: -0.75
Most Valuable Player -- Mathias Hanyadi -- 2.125 -- 1 -- Difference: -1.125

Average Vote:1.73
Average Difference: -0.84
Median Difference: -0.81

And now what we all came for...

Bias Rankings
Average Difference (most to least bias):
1. terriblehippo - 1.77
2. Philadelphia -1.53
3. Honolulu -1.28
4. Exilizer -1.19
5. Chicago -0.86
6. Yellowknife -0.84
7. San Jose -0.83
8. Austin -0.75
9. New Orleans -0.70
10. Colorado -0.64
11. Sarasota -0.42
12. infinitempg -0.37
13. Orange County -0.37
14. Arizona -0.27
15. Baltimore -0.19
16. Bex +0.23

----

DSFL next, maybe

*Examining Bias - infinitempg - 07-29-2020

oh hey i was a good boy

*Examining Bias - Opera_Phantom - 07-29-2020

Arizona again on top. What an amazing team and individuals.

*Examining Bias - infinitempg - 07-29-2020

HEY HANG ON A SECOND MY BIGGEST HOMER PICK WAS CORRECT PURCHASE WON RETURNER OF THE YEAR

*Examining Bias - mithrandir - 07-29-2020

Great idea, well executed, and non-inflammatory. Just the data. Well done!

*Examining Bias - Lightnoir - 07-29-2020

I would call negative bias "objectivity" but that's neither here nor there. Really interesting piece; I personally think it's a little strange to have people's votes under such scrutiny. I wouldn't have even passed that rule, but it happened so here it is. And don't think I specifically mean you, it's been a league wide talking point today lol. Still, I respect you just presenting the data rather than stating any real opinion and stoking a flame.

*Examining Bias - gucci - 07-29-2020

[Image: YcIQUT9.jpeg]

*Examining Bias - Buttersqauch101 - 07-29-2020

(07-29-2020, 09:03 PM)Lightnoir Wrote:I would call negative bias "objectivity" but that's neither here nor there. Really interesting piece; I personally think it's a little strange to have people's votes under such scrutiny. I wouldn't have even passed that rule, but it happened so here it is. And don't think I specifically mean you, it's been a league wide talking point today lol. Still, I respect you just presenting the data rather than stating any real opinion and stoking a flame.
Well it’s good to know when a person literally only votes for his own team for first place. That’s just stupid

*Examining Bias - CLG Rampage - 07-29-2020

(07-29-2020, 07:54 PM)infinitempg Wrote:HEY HANG ON A SECOND MY BIGGEST HOMER PICK WAS CORRECT PURCHASE WON RETURNER OF THE YEAR
ur bad lmap

*Examining Bias - siddhus - 07-29-2020

Smh if @Raven show more bias. I’m trynna win CBotY, smh