*Drip's Wet Bets (Part 3) - Printable Version

*DISCLAIMER*
Yes, I know that I am posting about the week 8 bets after week 8 happened. I apologize to anybody using this as actual betting advice. Don't know why you would use this as advice, but thanks! I forgot to hit submit and left it on my work computer. So, all these bets are USDA certified, 100% real. But sorry you can't bet off of them.

Can you believe it? Already week 8 of the 28th season of the ISFL! My players number in Tijuana (and my irl number growing up) was number 8, so I am feeling very lucky this week. I am also riding a high this week, because I can now say that I had a winning week of bets! That's right, this happens to not be just a quick media cash grab now. It's now that, and an almost profitable betting guide! If you missed last week, you missed a BANGER, and it is linked here. Basically, I bet my last dime on the Yeti, and oh boy did they pull through! Let's carry that momentum into this week of betting as well, shall we?

It's like Mardi Gras, but with Canadians!

YKW

WR Kai Sakura O/U 84.5 Yards Receiving

The Yellowknife Wraiths are hopping borders this week to play a Secondline team fresh off of their first win versus Orange County. QB Colby Jack of the Wraiths averages a 103.7 QBR on the road in 3 games this season. However, that number is buffed by a 151.7 rating versus a Liberty defense that is 14th in the league versus the pass. The NOLA defense has been able to hold opposing QBs to a 97.3 QBR at home. So, a below average quarterback away from home versus an average NOLA defense while at home don't bode well for Sakura having a big game. Also, in away games (Philly game redacted), Kai Sakura has only totaled 90 yards receiving. A streaking Secondline defense will be able to win the game at home, and a big part of that will be their ability to check their top weapon.

Wear The Under
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Call me Kevin, cause I guess I'm Home Alone!
I'm so sorry

Away Victories O/U 3.5

Betting these are not very fun to write about. Just straight up. The only numbers I get to dive into for this is previous wins. So we'll do that. But first, there are a few games that I see where the home team is gonna win. Arizona isn't going to let Baltimore end their historic losing streak at home, so that's one away team losing. I also don't think the Honolulu vs. Philly game is going to end in a Liberty victory. Berlin is extremely strong, and playing against a slumping San Jose team is not going to end in a surprise loss. Now there are only 4 games left on the schedule, and every away team would have to win to hit the over. Sarasota, Colorado, Yellowknife, and Chicago would all have to win for the over to hit. The thing here is that all of those games are winnable by the away teams ,but this is a time to bet smart, not with your heart.

Pack a second pair, take the under.
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Week 8 Final Thoughts

It has been one heck of a ride doing these. Like a rollercoaster, we started slow, but damn if we didn't see the loop-the-loop in the distance. Week 7 cemented my legacy as the sportsbook guru. I went 5-0 BABAY! I even predicted Berlin's loss to Chicago, which not only won the spread but also helped me hit the over on away wins. Nakamura is an ANIMAL, frontrunner for MVP of the league, and my heart. Love y'all, thanks for reading and see you week 9 probably. Maybe not, but we'll see. Next week is the one where I finally get into the black and make some dollas! So definitely tune in!

Running Count: 6-5
Total Earnings: -250k

QB & Legend Ryan Negs O/U 241.5 Yards Passing
This is no shade to my district 12 teammate, but there is no way Negs gets over 200 yards, let alone 241.5. The Hahalua are very hard to throw against, boasting a pass defense near the top of the league, if not the top of the league. Sorry Negs

UNDER

SAR

RB Rapthalia Chan O/U 75.5 Yards Rushing
Sarasota looks dangerous, and I truly think that they have a chance to repeat as Ultimini champs. Their running game, spearheaded by Chan is a big part of that, but in a matchup versus the Copperheads, I would be careful taking the over on a player who hasn't rushed for the over more than twice this season.

UNDER

ARI

Arizona Outlaws vs. Baltimore Hawks BAL

Points O/U 58.5
The only concern I have about this is that I don't know if Baltimore will be able to score enough to cover the distance Arizona will have between the points scored and 58.5. I'm betting on Arizona scoring 49+ points, which is a tall task. But what is a wet bet without a little danger?

OVER

COL

Yeti -6.5, +6.5 Silverbacks NYS

Betting the spread is something I personally shy away from, which is why I won't feature them on my big picks very often. But this is close enough where I would put money on New York keeping it close at home, and covering the spread. Go Yeti

NYS

Will Cover