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*Who wins fantasy leagues? - Printable Version

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*Who wins fantasy leagues? - Drip - 09-30-2021

Hello! With fantasy football in full swing here in the ISFL, I thought it was an appropriate time to look back. Now, so far in season 31, I think most people can assume that RB Goat Tank of Orange County is the most valuable fantasy player. I would agree! Yet, scrolling down the group leading teams so far, I was surprised at how many of the leading teams didn't roster Goat. As of writing this (September 30th) only 13 of the 32 first place teams have the presumed Fantasy Player of The Year (41%). On the flip side, the points leader is on only 1 last place team. It got me thinking, which player from every season won the most leagues? How much weight does one draft pick hold into winning your fantasy group? And is there any correlation between that player, and the highest scoring fantasy player? To do this, I took all of the rosters of the top placed teams and imported them into my own spreadsheet. From there, I used computer magic and put everything into a table. Side Note, I was very tired while doing this, so it may not make sense.

Now, I didn't have the time or mental capacity to do all of the seasons, but I did want to do more than one. I chose to look at season 26 and season 27 for a lot of reasons, but primarily I wanted to see if the addition of offensive line players (in season 27) had any affect on the findings. Let's get started!

The link to the whole spreadsheet is here. I didn't know how to copy the table on to the forums, sorry!

Season 26

[img][Image: nb8RnPB.png]
Looking at the data from season 26, there are 3 big things that I noticed.

1. The big winner of this season was Jamar Lackson (congrats!) and I was frankly surprised with how far ahead he was. Jamar was on 13 of the 33 of the group winning teams (39%), where the second place players were on 8 of the 33 group winning teams (24%)

2. I think a general rule of thumb is to draft a RB in the first round. While Lackson was the most present, the next closest running back was Ashley Owens, who was on 6 of the 33 group winning teams. In fact, out of the 16 different running backs other than Lackson on this list, the average amount of appearances for each running back was 3.6. The position group that had the highest average was Tight Ends, with an average of 4.1.

3. According to the sheet, Jamar Lackson only scored 156.0 fantasy points in season 26. I don't know if that's an exact number, but if that is the case, they would be tied with Kicker Blago Kokot for the 48th highest scoring player. Seems off, but a pretty crazy finding if that is true. The number one fantasy player of season 26 was QB Colby Jack with 331.5 points. They were only on 6 of the 33 group winners (18%).

So, season 26 crowned Jamar Lackson as the big winner! Interesting, but not very surprising as they've been a prolific fantasy player throughout their career. Going into season 27, I was excited to see the impact that the addition of more players and a whole new position group would have. Now, quick heads up, the data from season 27 seemed incomplete on the sheet, and group 35 had missing players. I chose to omit group 35 from the final research because of this. 

Season 27

 

[img][Image: n1vwiiu.png]

Now, the addition of offensive line players didn't have as much affect as I would of hoped. In fact, the same position group actually took the crown. But there are a few points that I saw that piqued my interest.

1. There were 98 unique players on the season 26 winning teams. In season 27, there were 105. There were 13 unique linemen. Out of the 92 other players, the positional percentage actually stayed pretty similar. Both Season 26 and 27 had the most unique WRs. 

2. Star RB and my sportsbook nemesis Zoe Watts was this seasons big winner (congrats!). No surprise because again, there is a very prolific career in both fantasy and the ISFL. Zoe was on 14 of the possible 35 group winning teams (40%). The primary difference I saw between this season and season 26 was that there 5 players in double digits, 3 of them being running backs (Watts, Yoda, and Rogers). My point about running backs from season 26 seems like an outlier, running backs win fantasy groups.

3. This seasons highest scoring fantasy player was Tatsu Nakamura. He was only on 2 of the possible 35 group winnners, a shocking .5%. Watts was the 17th highest scoring player this season, scoring 259.5 points. A fun little tidbit about this fantasy season, Richard Gilbert was the third highest scoring player with 333.1 points scored. Guess how many group winning teams he was on. 

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IN CONCLUSION

So, really, the question has been answered, but to what extent? What caused Jamar Lackson and Zoe Watts to be on the most group winning teams, but not the highest scorers? And why, out of the possible 68 teams, are the highest scorers (Nakamura and Jack) only on 8 winners? I think the main point remains, not one player can completely carry you to a victory. Draft strategy, dumb luck, whatever your MO is, if you don't get the consensus 1oa, don't stress! Does this mean anything else than my attempt to get out of debt? Improbable. But I digress. 



RE: Who wins fantasy leagues? - BenDover - 09-30-2021

I’m the goat


RE: Who wins fantasy leagues? - BenDover - 09-30-2021

But my player was not good in s26 so idk how I’m the best lol