*Season 48 - Tiebreaker Scenarios - Printable Version +- International Simulation Football League (https://forums.sim-football.com) +-- Forum: Community (https://forums.sim-football.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=5) +--- Forum: Media (https://forums.sim-football.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=37) +---- Forum: Graded Articles (https://forums.sim-football.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=38) +---- Thread: *Season 48 - Tiebreaker Scenarios (/showthread.php?tid=51712)

*Season 48 - Tiebreaker Scenarios - lemonoppy - 06-20-2024 Ty AirCrou, I just wrote this thing quickly to put it out there, but we’ve got some tiebreakers for the final week of the ISFL! As of now, these are the standings in our league heading into Week 16 We’ve got a few buckets of teams, but the only real ones that can change are the 4-11/5-10 gang and the 7-8/8-7 trio. The playoff teams will have to figure out what happens in the playoffs so there’s not much point in speculating about that one. Alright, the easy one first are the two teams at 7-8 (Sarasota and Orange County) as well as Yellowknife at 8-7. This one is relatively simple because we can eliminate half the scenarios off the bat, if Yellowknife wins, they get the 8th overall pick, BUT if they lose, we get some interesting scenarios, kinda, because Yellowknife is taking the 8th overall in all but one situation, and that’s a half situation. First, this is the H2H and PDs of each team. Sarasota super unlucky with a 100 point difference between them and the other teams and still at the same record bracket, but more importantly, Sarasota will lose every single head to head and only the Orange County/Yellowknife head to head matters, and with only an 8 point difference in Point Differential, it can go any direction if those two are tied. Alright, let’s go through the four scenarios: Scenario All Lose - If all teams lose, it will go: Sarasota -> Orange County -> Yellowknife because Sarasota loses all tiebreakers Scenario YKW/SAR - If OCO loses, Sarasota wins, then Sarasota gets 7th since Sarasota loses all tiebreaks and is 0-2 against Yellowknife Scenario OCO/YKW - If it is Yellowknife against Orange County, they have played no games against each other so it’ll be a PD contest, the only way Yellowknife picks at 7 overall instead of 8 Scenario 3 Way Tie - If Yellowknife loses, Sarasota wins, and Orange County wins, we head into a 3 way tie. This one is actually not so interesting since we just go down a list of H2Hs, where Yellowknife gets 8 because they are 2-0, then Orange County at 7 because they are 1-0 against Sarasota. The scenarios all change but mostly they don’t because of the limited scenarios. My predictions are: Sarasota (6) -> Orange County (7) -> Yellowknife (8) The other bucket is the 5-11/6-10 potential crowd! We’ve got 8 scenarios here, and they’re pretty wild! Each of these teams are currently 5-10 with at 4-11, but each of them have a way to every single spot in the draft order between 2-5! First off, I want to eliminate some scenarios, if New York loses, they are going to be 2nd overall behind Colorado, but in those scenarios we’ve got some variation, Honolulu playing New York in Week 16 makes it interesting! Scenario 1 - > + > + > In this scenario, as in most of the loses scenarios, things are pretty set. moves to top of the pack by dint of victory over , and then Austin and play with Point Differential for picking who picks at the 3 or 4 spot, with Austin having a 9 point “lead” on . Result: -> ->  / -> Scenario 2 - > + > + > and Austin have split their series so we’re going to PD, but this one is much more locked in, it’s hard to get blown out by -30 compared to your opponent, so this one is pretty set I believe. Result: -> -> -> -> Scenario 3 - > + > + > This time it’s a vs matchup and unfortunately for (or fortunately), they lose all tiebreakers pretty much, so this one is also locked! Result: -> -> -> -> Scenario 4 - > + > + > Orange County Now we run into our first three-way tiebreak of this scenario and we’ve got coming out on top with a 2-1 against the field, after that it’s back to the Scenario 1 situation of a 9 PD separating Austin and Result: -> -> / -> Scenario 5 - > + > + > With New York winning, they jump into the tie-breaker fray and it gets interesting! In a 4 way tie with this scenario, New York wins easily with their H2H against the group which leaves a Honolulu being 2-1 against the common after New York is take out, and then a PD battle between Berlin and Austin that Austin probably wins? This is the only route for Austin to end up with the 2nd overall pick, and New York with the 5OA! Result: ->  / -> -> Scenario 6 - > + > + > Austin vaults themselves over the jumble and New York wins the H2H against Common. Honolulu has the H2H against Berlin so no PD shenanigans this time! This is the only route for Austin to end up with the 2nd overall pick, and New York with the 5OA! Result: -> -> -> -> Scenario 7 - > + > +  > The sole Berlin 5th overall path lies here, they get in by being the only 6 win team while New York claims 4th overall through common opponent record and Honolulu drops all the way down to 2 after some winning this season. Result: -> -> -> -> Scenario 8 - > + > +  > Austin and Berlin haven’t played against each other, so we’re back to their familiar PD battle, and then New York wins the series 2-0 against Honolulu so they take 3rd overall here. Result: -> -> -> / RE: Season 48 - Tiebreaker Scenarios - Ulaire - 06-20-2024 both scenarios 5 and 6 are "the only route for Austin to 2OA"