My last article on under and overperformers in the DSFL had a pretty serious error in which I vastly overstated Portland’s performance. As described in the other articles, the expected wins formula judges based on points for, points against, and games played. I mistakenly used Portland’s win percent as their points for and their actual points for as their points allowed. On top of this, I gave them the wrong number of wins somehow. This is why we shouldn’t write articles while it’s 2 AM.
Portland’s actual numbers are far worse, obviously, than presented in that article. They scored only 139 points while allowing a league worst 343 (Halo!). This -204 differential was pretty terrible and the model only predicted they would win 1.37 games. They actually won two, so good for them for managing to overachieve while only winning two games. They have a lot to fix this offseason, as both their offense and defense was worst around.
I hope everyone learned a lesson here about writing articles while legally braindead.
Portland’s actual numbers are far worse, obviously, than presented in that article. They scored only 139 points while allowing a league worst 343 (Halo!). This -204 differential was pretty terrible and the model only predicted they would win 1.37 games. They actually won two, so good for them for managing to overachieve while only winning two games. They have a lot to fix this offseason, as both their offense and defense was worst around.
I hope everyone learned a lesson here about writing articles while legally braindead.