[div align=\\\"center\\\"]DSFL POWER RANKINGS WEEKS 7-10[/div]
TLDR:
1. Kansas City 1.6236
2. Myrtle Beach 1.4254
3. Portland 1.310
4. Tijuana 1.2527
5. Minnesota 1.2036
6. Norfolk 1.2036
7. London 1.1322
8. Dallas 0.98394
Weeks 5 and 6 are in the books and I’m beginning to think the DSFL is more just a crapshoot as opposed to something that can actually be predicted with any meaningful degree. Minnesota suffered another loss to an expansion team, Portland has risen from the bottom of last week’s power rankings to claim third place with a 3-1 week, and Kansas City finds its way to the very top of the leaderboard with a very convincing point differential, but more on that later.
[div align=\\\"center\\\"]METHOD[/div]
Wow we got a massive update. The biggest update to the method since the creation of these power rankings. It’s pretty complicated what I ended up doing so let me just give the basics
1. For offensive rankings I have included average yards for and total points for
2. For defensive rankings I have included average yards against and total points against
Actually, that’s it. Doesn’t seem like a lot but brainstorming how to include them took me 3-4 hours over the course of the last week. Implementation took about 2 hours. I experimented with inverse stuff for the defensive side of the ball, and struggled with weighting. In the end I settled for a 33% split for TPE, yards, and points. The excel sheet is setup to be totally automated apart from some basic number entry so I can experiment with weighting as we go along. Please leave any feedback if you have any! The nice thing with the addition of yards and points is that we can identify teams that are overperforming their stats and their TPE. This gives us another level of analysis. For now, just remember that these defensive and offensive power rankings include recent performance!
[div align=\\\"center\\\"]RESULTS[/div]
OFFENSIVE POWER RANKINGS
(number in brackets denotes TPE rankings)
1. Kansas City 1.6378 (3)
2. Norfolk 1.4925 (5)
3. Minnesota 1.4898 (1)
4. Tijuana 1.4823 (6)
5. Myrtle Beach 1.4534 (4)
6. Portland 1.3927 (2)
7. London 1.3618 (8)
8. Dallas (1.25339 (7)
Let’s work our way up from the bottom. Firstly, the two expansion organizations. While Dallas went heavy into the offensive side of the ball, it hasn’t panned out compared to their expansion counterparts. Putting up a pathetic 254.7 yards per game, with the next lowest being Portland at 321.3, Dallas has struggled to move the ball and to be frank they are lucky to have two wins. Portland comes in at 6 with a measly 87 points, and the aforementioned 321.3 yards per game. While they rank #2 in my TPE standings, they have seriously underperformed on the offensive side of the ball. This is the biggest discrepancy between TPE and actual offensive rankings in the list. We have a bit of a jam in the middle with a lot of teams around the same point totals in the 5th-2nd spot of the rankings. The big surprise here is Norfolk, who ranks 5th in TPE, but has taken 2nd spot with 141 points so far in this season. We will see if they can sustain their momentum thus far. Finally, the Coyotes top our list with a whopping 149 points and 368.5 yards a game, with the next nearest yard total competitor is the London Royals at 356.5 (this stat surprised me a lot). The Coyotes have it figured it out and have moved the ball with ease. It’s important to note here that Kansas has had a relatively easier half of the season compared to other teams, at least in terms of their offense. Playing London, Dallas, and Norfolk who all inhabit the bottom half of the defensive rankings, we still need some more time to see if Kansas is truly the #1 here.
DEFENSIVE POWER RANKINGS
(number in brackets denotes TPE rankings)
1. Portland 1.4893 (1)
2. Kansas City 1.4555 (6)
3. Myrtle Beach 1.3365 (5)
4. Tijuana 1.3113 (4)
5. Norfolk 1.2973 (3)
6. Minnesota 1.2601 (2)
7. London 1.1739 (8)
8. Dallas 1.1446 (7)
Dallas and London fill out the bottom of our list with 155 and 157 points against respectively. I should note than London has a respectable 327.7 yards allowed per week, which puts them at 4th, close to third in that regard. As a London player myself I can attest that at least 14-21 points against are because of special teams, which may explain that discrepancy. Minnesota comes in at number 6, and their struggles this year have been apparent. Losing to both expansion teams, they sit fairly low on the power rankings until next week when they have a chance to redeem themselves. Skipping to the top, Portland tops out our list. I predicted early on that Portland would be our #2-3 team this year. After a rough start they have surged to 3-1, riding out an elite defense that has allowed only 290 yards a game. Compared to the 2nd place Kansas City yards against at 312, Portland has shown that defense does win games.
[div align=\\\"center\\\"]
FINAL COMBINED POWER RANKINGS WITH INDEX[/div]
(First bracket number is purely stats/performance. Second number is TPE rankings)
1. Kansas City 1.6236 (1) (3)
2. Myrtle Beach 1.4254 (4) (5)
3. Portland 1.310 (2) (1)
4. Tijuana 1.2527 (3) (6)
5. Minnesota 1.2036 (6) (2)
6. Norfolk 1.2036 (5) (4)
7. London 1.1322 (7) (8)
8. Dallas 0.98394 (8) (7)
Here we are, with the final power rankings for the week. I have included both the overall performance and TPE rankings to compare and see who is overperforming or underperforming their TPE or stat.
1. The expansion teams are playing the way we thought they would. London has an advantage over Dallas in the offensive category, but they are still too close to make any distinctions here
2. Norfolk at 6 is a bit of an underperformance given they’re 5th in stats and 4th in TPE. In my opinion they’ve had one of the tougher schedules yet. A tough loss to Myrtle Beach at home will hurt their playoff chances though. Thankfully Norfolk plays both London and Dallas at home in the next 4 games. Wins in these games are critical if Norfolk is going to have any chance of making the playoffs.
3. Minnesota is our big dropper. They are 2nd in TPE rankings yet they are performing at a mid to bottom tier level. Two loses to expansion teams and Norfolk all on the road is tough. To challenge for a top seed, you need to beat the bottom teams in their own stadium. A crushing loss to London in Week 6 has prevented Minnesota from stringing together 2 wins in a row, as has been the case all season. A big game against the #1 Coyotes at home next week will be a great chance to bounce back with a win
4. Tijuana is overperforming their TPE rankings here, with the 3rd best overall statistics. It’s still only good enough for 4th place in our rankings. Expect some regression in the next few weeks. All 3 of their wins have been against our bottom 3 teams, and in the next 4 weeks they play Myrtle Beach, the Grey Ducks, The Royals and the Birddogs, with 3 of those games being on the road. These next 4 games will be a true test for this Luchadores team
5. Portland has underperformed in my eyes, but still find themselves in third. They need to figure out their offense asap. In the meantime, they enjoy the 2nd best overall stats. With their next two games against London and Norfolk, they have a chance to cement themselves as a top team in this league. They have a fun matchup against the Buccs in week 9, that will surely be game of the week material
6. Myrtle Beach finds themselves in the second spot of these power rankings, with only the 5th best TPE and the 4th best overall statistical performance. These numbers scream overperforming, and an expectation of some regression will be warranted for the next 4 games. They have tough games against the Pythons and the Coyotes, two top teams, in the coming weeks. Include a game against the always dangerous Grey Ducks, and an overperforming Tijuana team, and the Buccs are in for a very tough next few weeks. A 1-3 run is very possible here which would put them back to .500. Time for the Buccs to show why the deserve the #2 spot here
7. Finally, we have the dominant Coyotes at #1. As I stated before, this may very well be the product of an easier schedule early on. With 3 road games in the next 3 games, and then a very tough home game against the Pythons to cap out the next week, the Coyotes will be pressed to keep their throne atop these power rankings.
1489 Words
TLDR:
1. Kansas City 1.6236
2. Myrtle Beach 1.4254
3. Portland 1.310
4. Tijuana 1.2527
5. Minnesota 1.2036
6. Norfolk 1.2036
7. London 1.1322
8. Dallas 0.98394
Weeks 5 and 6 are in the books and I’m beginning to think the DSFL is more just a crapshoot as opposed to something that can actually be predicted with any meaningful degree. Minnesota suffered another loss to an expansion team, Portland has risen from the bottom of last week’s power rankings to claim third place with a 3-1 week, and Kansas City finds its way to the very top of the leaderboard with a very convincing point differential, but more on that later.
[div align=\\\"center\\\"]METHOD[/div]
Wow we got a massive update. The biggest update to the method since the creation of these power rankings. It’s pretty complicated what I ended up doing so let me just give the basics
1. For offensive rankings I have included average yards for and total points for
2. For defensive rankings I have included average yards against and total points against
Actually, that’s it. Doesn’t seem like a lot but brainstorming how to include them took me 3-4 hours over the course of the last week. Implementation took about 2 hours. I experimented with inverse stuff for the defensive side of the ball, and struggled with weighting. In the end I settled for a 33% split for TPE, yards, and points. The excel sheet is setup to be totally automated apart from some basic number entry so I can experiment with weighting as we go along. Please leave any feedback if you have any! The nice thing with the addition of yards and points is that we can identify teams that are overperforming their stats and their TPE. This gives us another level of analysis. For now, just remember that these defensive and offensive power rankings include recent performance!
[div align=\\\"center\\\"]RESULTS[/div]
OFFENSIVE POWER RANKINGS
(number in brackets denotes TPE rankings)
1. Kansas City 1.6378 (3)
2. Norfolk 1.4925 (5)
3. Minnesota 1.4898 (1)
4. Tijuana 1.4823 (6)
5. Myrtle Beach 1.4534 (4)
6. Portland 1.3927 (2)
7. London 1.3618 (8)
8. Dallas (1.25339 (7)
Let’s work our way up from the bottom. Firstly, the two expansion organizations. While Dallas went heavy into the offensive side of the ball, it hasn’t panned out compared to their expansion counterparts. Putting up a pathetic 254.7 yards per game, with the next lowest being Portland at 321.3, Dallas has struggled to move the ball and to be frank they are lucky to have two wins. Portland comes in at 6 with a measly 87 points, and the aforementioned 321.3 yards per game. While they rank #2 in my TPE standings, they have seriously underperformed on the offensive side of the ball. This is the biggest discrepancy between TPE and actual offensive rankings in the list. We have a bit of a jam in the middle with a lot of teams around the same point totals in the 5th-2nd spot of the rankings. The big surprise here is Norfolk, who ranks 5th in TPE, but has taken 2nd spot with 141 points so far in this season. We will see if they can sustain their momentum thus far. Finally, the Coyotes top our list with a whopping 149 points and 368.5 yards a game, with the next nearest yard total competitor is the London Royals at 356.5 (this stat surprised me a lot). The Coyotes have it figured it out and have moved the ball with ease. It’s important to note here that Kansas has had a relatively easier half of the season compared to other teams, at least in terms of their offense. Playing London, Dallas, and Norfolk who all inhabit the bottom half of the defensive rankings, we still need some more time to see if Kansas is truly the #1 here.
DEFENSIVE POWER RANKINGS
(number in brackets denotes TPE rankings)
1. Portland 1.4893 (1)
2. Kansas City 1.4555 (6)
3. Myrtle Beach 1.3365 (5)
4. Tijuana 1.3113 (4)
5. Norfolk 1.2973 (3)
6. Minnesota 1.2601 (2)
7. London 1.1739 (8)
8. Dallas 1.1446 (7)
Dallas and London fill out the bottom of our list with 155 and 157 points against respectively. I should note than London has a respectable 327.7 yards allowed per week, which puts them at 4th, close to third in that regard. As a London player myself I can attest that at least 14-21 points against are because of special teams, which may explain that discrepancy. Minnesota comes in at number 6, and their struggles this year have been apparent. Losing to both expansion teams, they sit fairly low on the power rankings until next week when they have a chance to redeem themselves. Skipping to the top, Portland tops out our list. I predicted early on that Portland would be our #2-3 team this year. After a rough start they have surged to 3-1, riding out an elite defense that has allowed only 290 yards a game. Compared to the 2nd place Kansas City yards against at 312, Portland has shown that defense does win games.
[div align=\\\"center\\\"]
FINAL COMBINED POWER RANKINGS WITH INDEX[/div]
(First bracket number is purely stats/performance. Second number is TPE rankings)
1. Kansas City 1.6236 (1) (3)
2. Myrtle Beach 1.4254 (4) (5)
3. Portland 1.310 (2) (1)
4. Tijuana 1.2527 (3) (6)
5. Minnesota 1.2036 (6) (2)
6. Norfolk 1.2036 (5) (4)
7. London 1.1322 (7) (8)
8. Dallas 0.98394 (8) (7)
Here we are, with the final power rankings for the week. I have included both the overall performance and TPE rankings to compare and see who is overperforming or underperforming their TPE or stat.
1. The expansion teams are playing the way we thought they would. London has an advantage over Dallas in the offensive category, but they are still too close to make any distinctions here
2. Norfolk at 6 is a bit of an underperformance given they’re 5th in stats and 4th in TPE. In my opinion they’ve had one of the tougher schedules yet. A tough loss to Myrtle Beach at home will hurt their playoff chances though. Thankfully Norfolk plays both London and Dallas at home in the next 4 games. Wins in these games are critical if Norfolk is going to have any chance of making the playoffs.
3. Minnesota is our big dropper. They are 2nd in TPE rankings yet they are performing at a mid to bottom tier level. Two loses to expansion teams and Norfolk all on the road is tough. To challenge for a top seed, you need to beat the bottom teams in their own stadium. A crushing loss to London in Week 6 has prevented Minnesota from stringing together 2 wins in a row, as has been the case all season. A big game against the #1 Coyotes at home next week will be a great chance to bounce back with a win
4. Tijuana is overperforming their TPE rankings here, with the 3rd best overall statistics. It’s still only good enough for 4th place in our rankings. Expect some regression in the next few weeks. All 3 of their wins have been against our bottom 3 teams, and in the next 4 weeks they play Myrtle Beach, the Grey Ducks, The Royals and the Birddogs, with 3 of those games being on the road. These next 4 games will be a true test for this Luchadores team
5. Portland has underperformed in my eyes, but still find themselves in third. They need to figure out their offense asap. In the meantime, they enjoy the 2nd best overall stats. With their next two games against London and Norfolk, they have a chance to cement themselves as a top team in this league. They have a fun matchup against the Buccs in week 9, that will surely be game of the week material
6. Myrtle Beach finds themselves in the second spot of these power rankings, with only the 5th best TPE and the 4th best overall statistical performance. These numbers scream overperforming, and an expectation of some regression will be warranted for the next 4 games. They have tough games against the Pythons and the Coyotes, two top teams, in the coming weeks. Include a game against the always dangerous Grey Ducks, and an overperforming Tijuana team, and the Buccs are in for a very tough next few weeks. A 1-3 run is very possible here which would put them back to .500. Time for the Buccs to show why the deserve the #2 spot here
7. Finally, we have the dominant Coyotes at #1. As I stated before, this may very well be the product of an easier schedule early on. With 3 road games in the next 3 games, and then a very tough home game against the Pythons to cap out the next week, the Coyotes will be pressed to keep their throne atop these power rankings.
1489 Words