06-05-2022, 12:26 AM
(This post was last modified: 06-20-2022, 07:59 AM by soevil. Edited 5 times in total.)
Hello everyone! Welcome to my Stats-Based S36 ISFL Mock Draft!
I was recently looking at media and stumbled upon @br0_0ker's brilliant S36 Draft Primer, which was basically a Mock Draft based only around TPE Earnings and measurable forums activity, and it was a great read. I decided to take inspiration in his idea and revive an idea that I started to develop a whole 8 (!) seasons ago and put them both together: A 7 Round Mock Draft and a Big Board that only takes into account statistics and quantifiable variables.
Disclaimer: Just as br0_0ker made sure to let people aware on his own Mock Draft, this is purely based on quantifiable variables. Some (in this case performance and team needs) aren’t at all on individual user’s control, so this is NOT a Mock Draft that is aiming for accuracy. This is simply a thought experiment that I did for fun and should not be taken seriously. Most (like 80 or 90%) of the decisions made on the draft are based on the immeasurable qualities of a user and are not taken into consideration in this Mock. There are IA players going as high as the 3rd Round, something which will not happen in a real draft. As well, there is a (justifiable) tendency to pick new users to the league high, so they are given priority and can enjoy the league, as well as a result of their potential to contribute long-term to the league, which I am sure many users of this class are. (I know that by personal experience, there are many AMAZING users in this class that I have had the pleasure to interact with and I know are going WAY higher than what is suggested in this article) Rookies, don’t worry, you’re not falling nearly as much in the actual draft, you guys are awesome. Alright, now to the real deal.
Notes:
So, if this is a stats based Mock Draft, then there must be variables that determine whether how valuable a player is to a team and even to the league as a whole, which determines their draft position. So, what are they? Well, there are two basic formulas here. First, for the Big Board, which is based on Draft Value. Big Board Draft Value is defined as:
![[Image: Q0Ua83O.png]](https://i.imgur.com/Q0Ua83O.png)
The second is Team Specific Draft Value, which is defined by:
![[Image: XH6USxm.png]](https://i.imgur.com/XH6USxm.png)
Now we know how TPE is defined, but how are Performance, Positional Value and Team Needs defined?
Well, I gathered all general, team to team basis stats I could (points scored, offensive yards, points conceded, defensive yards, etc.) on a per game basis and ran regression analysis with all of them (a regression analysis is the creation of a mathematical model that provides a function that describes the relationship between one or more independent variables and a response, dependent, or target variable. In this case, the independent variable was a particular stat, like points scored or defensive yards, and the dependent variable was how many wins a team had).
My analysis (which I will go into detail about on a different post in the future) reached the conclusion that overwhelmingly, the two stats that could better predict wins were Points Scored and Points Conceded.
![[Image: q8xzgkU.png]](https://i.imgur.com/q8xzgkU.png)
And so the only thing left was to correlate Points Scored and Points Conceded to quantifiable stats (like passing yards, tackles, etc.).
I did that (which again, I will go into detail on another post) and gave every player a stat called Approximate Value (or AV for short, based on Pro Football Reference’s own AV metric). How AV is calculated varies based on position and side of the ball. They are based on a statistical analysis I did to determine which stats are most important to determine a player’s offensive contribution. The formulas are:
![[Image: vVcbonq.png]](https://i.imgur.com/vVcbonq.png)
![[Image: FbaI7Cx.png]](https://i.imgur.com/FbaI7Cx.png)
![[Image: 996IoZz.png]](https://i.imgur.com/996IoZz.png)
![[Image: giZSGEB.png]](https://i.imgur.com/giZSGEB.png)
Note: QBR stands for QB Rating, TOC stands for Total Offensive Contribution (a metric I made up. Again, I will go over it on a later date), TKL stands for Tackle, TFL stands for Tackle for Loss, FF stands for Forced Fumble, SCK stands for Sack, INT stands for Interception, and PD stands for Pass Deflection. Safeties, defensive touchdowns, and blocked punts/FG’s/PAT’s have not been included.
And then I proceeded to divide Wins to the players based on their AV (explained in another post) and boom! We have the metric that will measure a player’s performance: WA, which stands for Wins Added.
Positional Value is determined by the average WA of every position.
Team Needs are determined using br0_0ker’s great Team Needs table he created for his own Mock Draft last week. I asked permission to use it and he was kind enough to give it in order to create this article. I attempted to create a table of my own, but it was very flawed and too subjective. I created a multiplier in which I got the minimum players in each position as stated in the table and subtracted how many players a team already had in each position. If the team met a requirement or had a surplus of players in that position, it was given a multiplier of 0.1.
So I finished by creating a Draft Big Board and team specific Boards (which are all available in this document), which guided my choices during my mock draft. Even if I disagreed with the pick (which happened 90% of the time), I let my Boards guide me.
I was recently looking at media and stumbled upon @br0_0ker's brilliant S36 Draft Primer, which was basically a Mock Draft based only around TPE Earnings and measurable forums activity, and it was a great read. I decided to take inspiration in his idea and revive an idea that I started to develop a whole 8 (!) seasons ago and put them both together: A 7 Round Mock Draft and a Big Board that only takes into account statistics and quantifiable variables.
Disclaimer: Just as br0_0ker made sure to let people aware on his own Mock Draft, this is purely based on quantifiable variables. Some (in this case performance and team needs) aren’t at all on individual user’s control, so this is NOT a Mock Draft that is aiming for accuracy. This is simply a thought experiment that I did for fun and should not be taken seriously. Most (like 80 or 90%) of the decisions made on the draft are based on the immeasurable qualities of a user and are not taken into consideration in this Mock. There are IA players going as high as the 3rd Round, something which will not happen in a real draft. As well, there is a (justifiable) tendency to pick new users to the league high, so they are given priority and can enjoy the league, as well as a result of their potential to contribute long-term to the league, which I am sure many users of this class are. (I know that by personal experience, there are many AMAZING users in this class that I have had the pleasure to interact with and I know are going WAY higher than what is suggested in this article) Rookies, don’t worry, you’re not falling nearly as much in the actual draft, you guys are awesome. Alright, now to the real deal.
Notes:
- The next several paragraphs are just me going over how I made the stats that determine how valuable a player is. If you just want to see the Mock Draft itself, just scroll down below until the Mock actually begins.
- All stats calculated here are based on the metrics gathered during Season 35 of the ISFL on a 15 game basis (I didn’t want to redo everything every couple of days. Plus, it’s only a game difference).
- I straight up copied my formatting for the Mock Draft from @"Laser"’s famous Mock Drafts and br0_0ker’s Draft Primer, which are great and definitely worth checking out!
- I would like to provide comment for every single pick, but this project has already took long enough. I will only be providing full comments for the 1st Rounders, although I might provide more comment on the other rounds in the future. The full tables with all details for all players is linked here
- Draft Position is based on how the teams finished in the regular season, which might change come at the end of the season with playoff results. For the sake of this mock, I am predicting Honolulu to win the Ultimus (sorry Arizona).
- I tried tagging all players drafted, but it refused to work for most and it felt weird tagging only half of the players involved in no particular order, so no one was tagged.
So, if this is a stats based Mock Draft, then there must be variables that determine whether how valuable a player is to a team and even to the league as a whole, which determines their draft position. So, what are they? Well, there are two basic formulas here. First, for the Big Board, which is based on Draft Value. Big Board Draft Value is defined as:
The second is Team Specific Draft Value, which is defined by:
Now we know how TPE is defined, but how are Performance, Positional Value and Team Needs defined?
Well, I gathered all general, team to team basis stats I could (points scored, offensive yards, points conceded, defensive yards, etc.) on a per game basis and ran regression analysis with all of them (a regression analysis is the creation of a mathematical model that provides a function that describes the relationship between one or more independent variables and a response, dependent, or target variable. In this case, the independent variable was a particular stat, like points scored or defensive yards, and the dependent variable was how many wins a team had).
My analysis (which I will go into detail about on a different post in the future) reached the conclusion that overwhelmingly, the two stats that could better predict wins were Points Scored and Points Conceded.
And so the only thing left was to correlate Points Scored and Points Conceded to quantifiable stats (like passing yards, tackles, etc.).
I did that (which again, I will go into detail on another post) and gave every player a stat called Approximate Value (or AV for short, based on Pro Football Reference’s own AV metric). How AV is calculated varies based on position and side of the ball. They are based on a statistical analysis I did to determine which stats are most important to determine a player’s offensive contribution. The formulas are:
Note: QBR stands for QB Rating, TOC stands for Total Offensive Contribution (a metric I made up. Again, I will go over it on a later date), TKL stands for Tackle, TFL stands for Tackle for Loss, FF stands for Forced Fumble, SCK stands for Sack, INT stands for Interception, and PD stands for Pass Deflection. Safeties, defensive touchdowns, and blocked punts/FG’s/PAT’s have not been included.
And then I proceeded to divide Wins to the players based on their AV (explained in another post) and boom! We have the metric that will measure a player’s performance: WA, which stands for Wins Added.
Positional Value is determined by the average WA of every position.
Team Needs are determined using br0_0ker’s great Team Needs table he created for his own Mock Draft last week. I asked permission to use it and he was kind enough to give it in order to create this article. I attempted to create a table of my own, but it was very flawed and too subjective. I created a multiplier in which I got the minimum players in each position as stated in the table and subtracted how many players a team already had in each position. If the team met a requirement or had a surplus of players in that position, it was given a multiplier of 0.1.
So I finished by creating a Draft Big Board and team specific Boards (which are all available in this document), which guided my choices during my mock draft. Even if I disagreed with the pick (which happened 90% of the time), I let my Boards guide me.
And so, finally, here is the Stats-Based S36 ISFL Mock Draft:
1.01 - 
- Colorado Yeti - Kevin McThumper, LB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - Chucky
- Colorado Yeti - Kevin McThumper, LB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - ChuckyNo surprises here. The player with the best defensive performance, one of the highest TPEs available, and on the position of highest value going to the team with the worst defensive performance in the league. McThumper's gonna make an instant impact in a position of need in Colorado. Colorado are hoping to continue their top notch offensive performance and use this huge upgrade on defense to try and make a run to the playoffs on a very competitive NSFC.
1.02 - 
- Austin Copperheads - JR Frankenstero, DL, Dallas Birddogs - Punk42AE
Even though he was only listed as a Round 3 player on my Big Board, Frankenstero fills up a posiiton of huge need for Austin, is still a player with very high TPE, and had amazing production in the DSFL for Dallas, with by far the most tackles for a Defensive Lineman with 62. Combine that with 8 sacks and you have yourself a player that can do a bit of both.
- Austin Copperheads - JR Frankenstero, DL, Dallas Birddogs - Punk42AEEven though he was only listed as a Round 3 player on my Big Board, Frankenstero fills up a posiiton of huge need for Austin, is still a player with very high TPE, and had amazing production in the DSFL for Dallas, with by far the most tackles for a Defensive Lineman with 62. Combine that with 8 sacks and you have yourself a player that can do a bit of both.
1.03 - 
- New York Silverbacks - Ignatius Reilly, LB, London Royals - yesboom
Reilly might not have as much TPE as other available players in his position (even though his 228 TPE still puts them on the top players of this class), yet he compensates it with huge production for a London team that barely avoided the playoffs. New York are hoping to use the Linebacker immediately to remedy the league's second worse defense into a playoff contender on a top heavy ASFC.
- New York Silverbacks - Ignatius Reilly, LB, London Royals - yesboomReilly might not have as much TPE as other available players in his position (even though his 228 TPE still puts them on the top players of this class), yet he compensates it with huge production for a London team that barely avoided the playoffs. New York are hoping to use the Linebacker immediately to remedy the league's second worse defense into a playoff contender on a top heavy ASFC.
1.04 - 
- New Orleans Second Line - Graham Harper, CB, Norfolk Seawolves - PurpleReign
Harper has a everything. DSFL production, almost capped out in TPE, and playing in a position of both need and value for NOLA, it's a great pick. Although some would argue that NOLA needs way more help on offense (as they were the league's worst in offensive points and yards), The Second Line might go with Harper here to cement their place as one of the league's most fearsome defense and be ready to use later picks or future drafts to kickstart a defensive dynasty and, hopefully, a championship contender.
- New Orleans Second Line - Graham Harper, CB, Norfolk Seawolves - PurpleReignHarper has a everything. DSFL production, almost capped out in TPE, and playing in a position of both need and value for NOLA, it's a great pick. Although some would argue that NOLA needs way more help on offense (as they were the league's worst in offensive points and yards), The Second Line might go with Harper here to cement their place as one of the league's most fearsome defense and be ready to use later picks or future drafts to kickstart a defensive dynasty and, hopefully, a championship contender.
1.05 - 
- Chicago Butchers (via Sarasota Sailfish) - Xavier Valorian, DL, Portland Pythons - XaveValor
I might be biased, but this is a steal. Yes, it is the 5th overall choice, but Valorian is an amazing player. Although only rated as a 3rd rounder on my big board due to his position, the Butchers will be glad to select a player with the third most sacks in the DSFL (despite being a rookie!) with high-end production and basically already at the DSFL cap for TPE and in a position of huge need. The reigning (as of the writing of this article) champions are hoping to keep their playoff runs of recent seasons alive by turning their 9th best defense in the league to something much more dominant and allow them to be one of the Ultimus favorites for S36.
- Chicago Butchers (via Sarasota Sailfish) - Xavier Valorian, DL, Portland Pythons - XaveValorI might be biased, but this is a steal. Yes, it is the 5th overall choice, but Valorian is an amazing player. Although only rated as a 3rd rounder on my big board due to his position, the Butchers will be glad to select a player with the third most sacks in the DSFL (despite being a rookie!) with high-end production and basically already at the DSFL cap for TPE and in a position of huge need. The reigning (as of the writing of this article) champions are hoping to keep their playoff runs of recent seasons alive by turning their 9th best defense in the league to something much more dominant and allow them to be one of the Ultimus favorites for S36.
1.06 - 
- Berlin Fire Salamanders - Akaki Akayre, LB, Portland Pythons - Ulaire
The second Python in a row, Akayre is, together with McThumper and Reilly, leagues above all other players in statistical production this year for the DSFL's best defense (as of Week 13 of the DSFL), as well as one of the top TPE earners of their class. With BamBam McMullet entering regression and playing ROLB, Berlin lacks a true Mike Linebacker, a role Akayre would be able to fill in Week 1.
- Berlin Fire Salamanders - Akaki Akayre, LB, Portland Pythons - UlaireThe second Python in a row, Akayre is, together with McThumper and Reilly, leagues above all other players in statistical production this year for the DSFL's best defense (as of Week 13 of the DSFL), as well as one of the top TPE earners of their class. With BamBam McMullet entering regression and playing ROLB, Berlin lacks a true Mike Linebacker, a role Akayre would be able to fill in Week 1.
1.07 - 
- San Jose Sabercats - Fred Adison, LB, Kansas City Coyotes - Liter
San Jose continues to profit out of an extremely deep and powerful Linebacker class by taking Adison, who is one of the highest TPE earners in this class and has top notch performance for a playoff team in the DSFL. Even though their defense is the league's best against the pass, they have serious difficulties containing the run. By adding Adison, that stops being a worry for team that has very few holes to fix in their depth chart to become a playoff contender.
- San Jose Sabercats - Fred Adison, LB, Kansas City Coyotes - LiterSan Jose continues to profit out of an extremely deep and powerful Linebacker class by taking Adison, who is one of the highest TPE earners in this class and has top notch performance for a playoff team in the DSFL. Even though their defense is the league's best against the pass, they have serious difficulties containing the run. By adding Adison, that stops being a worry for team that has very few holes to fix in their depth chart to become a playoff contender.
1.08 - 
- Philadelphia Liberty - Emerson Quinn, LB, London Royals - Chrundle
Who doesn't love a good story? Quinn began as a TE, but switched positions upon need for the Royals. The result? A player that performs well above their TPE and has huge potential to become among the best in the ISFL's most important position. They are one of the first players in this draft that wouldn't be called up Day 1, but his huge upside more than makes up for it.
- Philadelphia Liberty - Emerson Quinn, LB, London Royals - ChrundleWho doesn't love a good story? Quinn began as a TE, but switched positions upon need for the Royals. The result? A player that performs well above their TPE and has huge potential to become among the best in the ISFL's most important position. They are one of the first players in this draft that wouldn't be called up Day 1, but his huge upside more than makes up for it.
1.09 - 
- Yellowknife Wraiths - J.T. Kurbis, OL, Kansas City Coyotes - JoshiePoo
This is my opportunity to talk about how I assigned value to Offensive Lineman. Well, I didn't really. I found no real stats besides sacks allowed that showed specific OL's contribution to an offensive, and even then it had a really low correlation to offensive production. So I decided to give all OL in this class a performance rating of 0.2, the same as their positional value (which I did, successfully calculate. It ended up as 0.19, but I used it and felt OL were undervalued a bit, so I decided to rise it a bit to 0.2).
Anyway, the Wraiths have the 3rd best defense in the league, yet still lag a bit behind offense-wise to other playoff teams. They are hoping that Dustin Parmelee with two WRs with an average TPE of more than 1,000, a fastly developing RB, and now a dominant OL will be able to take the next step and become a force at the NSFC.
- Yellowknife Wraiths - J.T. Kurbis, OL, Kansas City Coyotes - JoshiePooThis is my opportunity to talk about how I assigned value to Offensive Lineman. Well, I didn't really. I found no real stats besides sacks allowed that showed specific OL's contribution to an offensive, and even then it had a really low correlation to offensive production. So I decided to give all OL in this class a performance rating of 0.2, the same as their positional value (which I did, successfully calculate. It ended up as 0.19, but I used it and felt OL were undervalued a bit, so I decided to rise it a bit to 0.2).
Anyway, the Wraiths have the 3rd best defense in the league, yet still lag a bit behind offense-wise to other playoff teams. They are hoping that Dustin Parmelee with two WRs with an average TPE of more than 1,000, a fastly developing RB, and now a dominant OL will be able to take the next step and become a force at the NSFC.
1.10 - 
- Orange County Otters - Walter McKinley, LB, TIjuana Luchadores - KingOfTheOzone
A very balanced team with very few needs, OCO hope to solve their issues with their pass defense (the 3rd worse in the league) with McKinley. Another player that wouldn't be called up Day 1, the Otters hope to improve their already championship level squad with a developmental prospect at the game's most important position.
- Orange County Otters - Walter McKinley, LB, TIjuana Luchadores - KingOfTheOzoneA very balanced team with very few needs, OCO hope to solve their issues with their pass defense (the 3rd worse in the league) with McKinley. Another player that wouldn't be called up Day 1, the Otters hope to improve their already championship level squad with a developmental prospect at the game's most important position.
1.11 - - Chicago Butchers - Suggs Upshar II, CB, Portland Pythons - Suggs (also known as me, lol)
Well this is funny. I understand that some might accuse me of padding the models to favor myself in this Mock but trust me, I was as surprised seeing my name in the 1st Round as anyone. What I will say is that in this scenario, being drafted by Chicago would allow me to play alongside my Portland teammate Xavier Valorian, which would be awesome and would guarantee great results, as shown in the DSFL with the Pythons.
- Chicago Butchers - Suggs Upshar II, CB, Portland Pythons - Suggs (also known as me, lol)Well this is funny. I understand that some might accuse me of padding the models to favor myself in this Mock but trust me, I was as surprised seeing my name in the 1st Round as anyone. What I will say is that in this scenario, being drafted by Chicago would allow me to play alongside my Portland teammate Xavier Valorian, which would be awesome and would guarantee great results, as shown in the DSFL with the Pythons.
1.12 - - New Orleans Second Line (via Baltimore Hawks) - Raffaele Tommasi, CB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - engimatic
Remember what I said about using later picks to solve NOLA's offensive issues? Well, yeah. At the time this Mock was initially made, NOLA had only 1 CB confirmed in the roster for S36, with the other 2 heading to Free Agency. Since then, however, Pepelegs Johnson has since resigned, making CB no longer a need after the drafting of Graham Harper. I guess you could say the Second Line go with best player available in this situation.
- New Orleans Second Line (via Baltimore Hawks) - Raffaele Tommasi, CB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - engimaticRemember what I said about using later picks to solve NOLA's offensive issues? Well, yeah. At the time this Mock was initially made, NOLA had only 1 CB confirmed in the roster for S36, with the other 2 heading to Free Agency. Since then, however, Pepelegs Johnson has since resigned, making CB no longer a need after the drafting of Graham Harper. I guess you could say the Second Line go with best player available in this situation.
1.13 - 
- Arizona Outlaws - Jarvis Harbinger-Marjin, RB, Portland Pythons - dreamSloth
Another team with very few needs and already a championship contender, Arizona drafts Harbinger-Marjin to maybe take some pressure off of Sailor in the passing game and Jay Cue Jr. in the running game, enabling Arizona to become an offensive powerhouse and take the extra step that they have been looking for for several seasons.
- Arizona Outlaws - Jarvis Harbinger-Marjin, RB, Portland Pythons - dreamSlothAnother team with very few needs and already a championship contender, Arizona drafts Harbinger-Marjin to maybe take some pressure off of Sailor in the passing game and Jay Cue Jr. in the running game, enabling Arizona to become an offensive powerhouse and take the extra step that they have been looking for for several seasons.
1.14 - 
- Honolulu Hahalua - Sconnie McSix, RB, Norfolk SeaWolves - g2019
Despite hosting the best record in the ISFL and the league's best defense, conceding less than 20 points per game, the Honolulu have serious issues in their running game. They do have Cobra Kai, who is one of the best RBs in the history of the game, yet regression has hit hard and will hit harder next season when they retire and leave the league's best team with no runningback in the roster at all. Although Harbinger-Marjin's yards and TDs were way higher than McSix's, Sconnie had considerably better yards per carry, has higher TPE and is arguably more prepared for a solid rookie campaign against tougher opposition in the ISFL.
- Honolulu Hahalua - Sconnie McSix, RB, Norfolk SeaWolves - g2019Despite hosting the best record in the ISFL and the league's best defense, conceding less than 20 points per game, the Honolulu have serious issues in their running game. They do have Cobra Kai, who is one of the best RBs in the history of the game, yet regression has hit hard and will hit harder next season when they retire and leave the league's best team with no runningback in the roster at all. Although Harbinger-Marjin's yards and TDs were way higher than McSix's, Sconnie had considerably better yards per carry, has higher TPE and is arguably more prepared for a solid rookie campaign against tougher opposition in the ISFL.
2.01 - - Colorado Yeti - Quendyn Quarterstorm, S, London Royals - Twenty6
- Colorado Yeti - Quendyn Quarterstorm, S, London Royals - Twenty62.02 - - Austin Copperheads - Nate Winter, S, Minnesota Grey Ducks - TwoSocks
- Austin Copperheads - Nate Winter, S, Minnesota Grey Ducks - TwoSocks2.03 - - New York Silverbacks - Bonzi Buddy, CB, Minnesota Grey Ducks - zaynzk
zaynzk is the GM for the Silverbacks, so they are obliged to choose his player during the 2nd round.
- New York Silverbacks - Bonzi Buddy, CB, Minnesota Grey Ducks - zaynzkzaynzk is the GM for the Silverbacks, so they are obliged to choose his player during the 2nd round.
2.04 - 
- Baltimore Hawks (via New Orleans Second Line) - Mandrews McHollywood, WR, Kansas City Coyotes, Rusfan
- Baltimore Hawks (via New Orleans Second Line) - Mandrews McHollywood, WR, Kansas City Coyotes, Rusfan2.05 - 
- Sarasota Sailfish - Harley Andrews, DL, London Royals - abh89
abh89 is the GM for the Sailfish, so they are obliged to choose his player during the 2nd round.
- Sarasota Sailfish - Harley Andrews, DL, London Royals - abh89abh89 is the GM for the Sailfish, so they are obliged to choose his player during the 2nd round.
2.06 - - Berlin Fire Salamanders - Ja’uan Holland, S, Norfolk SeaWolves - Friesen1520
- Berlin Fire Salamanders - Ja’uan Holland, S, Norfolk SeaWolves - Friesen15202.07 - - San Jose Sabercats - Leandre Diarra, RB, London Royals - slate
- San Jose Sabercats - Leandre Diarra, RB, London Royals - slate2.08 - - Philadelphia Liberty - Bean Delphine Jr., RB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - SeymourSnatches
- Philadelphia Liberty - Bean Delphine Jr., RB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - SeymourSnatches2.09 - - Yellowknife Wraiths - Absolute Unit, DL, Portland Pythons - Arkz
Arkz is the GM for the Wraiths, so they are obliged to choose his player during the 2nd round.
- Yellowknife Wraiths - Absolute Unit, DL, Portland Pythons - ArkzArkz is the GM for the Wraiths, so they are obliged to choose his player during the 2nd round.
2.10 - - Orange County Otters - Austin Morley, WR, Kansas City Coyotes - soevil
- Orange County Otters - Austin Morley, WR, Kansas City Coyotes - soevil2.11 - - Chicago Butchers - Charles Chapman, DL, Dallas Birddogs - Charple
- Chicago Butchers - Charles Chapman, DL, Dallas Birddogs - Charple 2.12 - - Baltimore Hawks - Bruce Buckley Jr., LB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - NicholasTheGreat
NicholasTheGreat is the GM for the Hawks, so they are obliged to choose his player during the 2nd round.
- Baltimore Hawks - Bruce Buckley Jr., LB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - NicholasTheGreatNicholasTheGreat is the GM for the Hawks, so they are obliged to choose his player during the 2nd round.
2.13 - - Arizona Outlaws - Smitty Oom, LB, Kansas City Coyotes - smitty_oom
- Arizona Outlaws - Smitty Oom, LB, Kansas City Coyotes - smitty_oom2.14 - - Austin Copperheads (via Honolulu Hahalua) - Tae Dawson, CB, Norfolk SeaWolves - Gage2
- Austin Copperheads (via Honolulu Hahalua) - Tae Dawson, CB, Norfolk SeaWolves - Gage23.01 - - Colorado Yeti - Mabel Pines, CB, Tijuana Luchadores - dude_woman
- Colorado Yeti - Mabel Pines, CB, Tijuana Luchadores - dude_woman3.02 - - Austin Copperheads - Jean-Raphino Saperstein, DL, Kansas City Coyotes - Fordhammer
- Austin Copperheads - Jean-Raphino Saperstein, DL, Kansas City Coyotes - Fordhammer3.03 - - New York Silverbacks - Will Nightingale, CB, Norfolk SeaWolves - PurplePiratePoo
- New York Silverbacks - Will Nightingale, CB, Norfolk SeaWolves - PurplePiratePoo3.04 - - New Orleans Second Line - Octavio Perez, WR, Kansas City Coyotes - Raven
- New Orleans Second Line - Octavio Perez, WR, Kansas City Coyotes - Raven 3.05 - - Sarasota Sailfish - Futa Shinkawa, LB, Minnesota Grey Ducks - brendanyork15
The first instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE. This is absolutely inaccurate to real life and happens due to extreme Team Needs, the overwhelming positional value of LBs and a class that, although deep, is not deep enough for all teams on a position that is both important and user demanding (any team can use as many as 4 LBs on the field at the same time).
- Sarasota Sailfish - Futa Shinkawa, LB, Minnesota Grey Ducks - brendanyork15The first instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE. This is absolutely inaccurate to real life and happens due to extreme Team Needs, the overwhelming positional value of LBs and a class that, although deep, is not deep enough for all teams on a position that is both important and user demanding (any team can use as many as 4 LBs on the field at the same time).
3.06 - - Berlin Fire Salamanders - Ceti Pyxis, RB, Minnesota Grey Ducks - belowavgg
- Berlin Fire Salamanders - Ceti Pyxis, RB, Minnesota Grey Ducks - belowavgg3.07 - - San Jose Sabercats - Jair Pharaoh, RB, Kansas City Coyotes - Jmsewa19
- San Jose Sabercats - Jair Pharaoh, RB, Kansas City Coyotes - Jmsewa193.08 - - Philadelphia Liberty - Mike Scott, DL, Minnesota Grey Ducks
- Philadelphia Liberty - Mike Scott, DL, Minnesota Grey Ducks3.09 - - Yellowknife Wraiths - Reece Wells II, TE, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - josda_
- Yellowknife Wraiths - Reece Wells II, TE, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - josda_3.10 - - Orange County Otters - Winston Boogie, LB, Dallas Birddogs - winstonboogie
The second instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE
- Orange County Otters - Winston Boogie, LB, Dallas Birddogs - winstonboogieThe second instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE
3.11 - - Chicago Butchers - Fat Jack, DL, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - AW13
- Chicago Butchers - Fat Jack, DL, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - AW133.12 - - Baltimore Hawks - Kaiden King, S, Dallas Birddogs - khkreator
- Baltimore Hawks - Kaiden King, S, Dallas Birddogs - khkreator3.13 - - Arizona Outlaws - Dustin Hamilton, LB, MInnesota Grey Ducks - MiddleBacker52
The third instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE
- Arizona Outlaws - Dustin Hamilton, LB, MInnesota Grey Ducks - MiddleBacker52The third instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE
3.14 - - Austin Copperheads (via Honolulu Hahalua) - Thomas Robinson, WR, Norfolk SeaWolves - infern8
- Austin Copperheads (via Honolulu Hahalua) - Thomas Robinson, WR, Norfolk SeaWolves - infern84.01 - - Colorado Yeti - Don Dobbler, WR, Tijuana Luchadores - Jaywee88
- Colorado Yeti - Don Dobbler, WR, Tijuana Luchadores - Jaywee884.02 - - Austin Copperheads - Mister Hogmally, TE, Dallas Birddogs - iStegosauruz
- Austin Copperheads - Mister Hogmally, TE, Dallas Birddogs - iStegosauruz4.03 - - New York Silverbacks - Nathan Meagher, DL, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - Nathan
- New York Silverbacks - Nathan Meagher, DL, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - Nathan4.04 - - Honolulu Hahalua (via New Orleans Second Line) - Romeo Oreo, LB, Portland Pythons - metamogwai
The fouth instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE
- Honolulu Hahalua (via New Orleans Second Line) - Romeo Oreo, LB, Portland Pythons - metamogwaiThe fouth instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE
4.05 - - Sarasota Sailfish - Justin Krause, CB, Portland Python - omgjustinnn
The fifth instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE. One of Sarasota's few defensive needs was a CB3, as their CB3 was an IA player entering free agency. Again, a question of need in a position of high positional value.
- Sarasota Sailfish - Justin Krause, CB, Portland Python - omgjustinnnThe fifth instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE. One of Sarasota's few defensive needs was a CB3, as their CB3 was an IA player entering free agency. Again, a question of need in a position of high positional value.
4.06 - - Berlin Fire Salamanders - C. G. Breezy, RB, Tijuana Luchadores - LIL MUNKEY
- Berlin Fire Salamanders - C. G. Breezy, RB, Tijuana Luchadores - LIL MUNKEY4.07 - - San Jose Sabercats - Zaphod Beeblebrox, WR, Kansas City Coyotes - Mooty99
- San Jose Sabercats - Zaphod Beeblebrox, WR, Kansas City Coyotes - Mooty994.08 - - Philadelphia Liberty - Jasper Fontaine, TE, Norfolk SeaWolves - lordcoolcats
- Philadelphia Liberty - Jasper Fontaine, TE, Norfolk SeaWolves - lordcoolcats4.09 - - Yellowknife Wraiths - Dennis Rodman, OL, Tijuana Luchadores - PBS
- Yellowknife Wraiths - Dennis Rodman, OL, Tijuana Luchadores - PBS4.10 - - Orange County Otters - Justin Cloud, DL, Kansas City Coyotes - JustCloud
- Orange County Otters - Justin Cloud, DL, Kansas City Coyotes - JustCloud4.11 - - Chicago Butchers - Sexy Wilfork, DL, Tijuana Luchadores - wuma
- Chicago Butchers - Sexy Wilfork, DL, Tijuana Luchadores - wuma4.12 - - New Orleans Second Order (via Baltimore Hawks) - Pete Zuh, QB, Norfolk SeaWolves - seal
- New Orleans Second Order (via Baltimore Hawks) - Pete Zuh, QB, Norfolk SeaWolves - seal4.13 - - Arizona Outlaws - Effoff IamYeti, DL, Norfolk SeaWolves - SDCore
- Arizona Outlaws - Effoff IamYeti, DL, Norfolk SeaWolves - SDCore4.14 - - Philadelphia Liberty (via Honolulu Hahalua) - Ducky Dunkey, LB, Dallas Birddogs - Blazediken
The sixth and last unexcusable instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE.
- Philadelphia Liberty (via Honolulu Hahalua) - Ducky Dunkey, LB, Dallas Birddogs - BlazedikenThe sixth and last unexcusable instance of 50 TPE IA players that are chosen above players in the hundreds of TPE.
5.01 - - Colorado Yeti - Aqeel Steele, DL, Minnesota Grey Ducks - AbacusAmateur
- Colorado Yeti - Aqeel Steele, DL, Minnesota Grey Ducks - AbacusAmateur5.02 - - Austin Copperheads - Joseph Reed, DL, London Royals - Reedy0rNot
- Austin Copperheads - Joseph Reed, DL, London Royals - Reedy0rNot5.03 - - New York Silverbacks - Jimmy Holding, OL, Minnesota Grey Ducks - TheDangaZone
- New York Silverbacks - Jimmy Holding, OL, Minnesota Grey Ducks - TheDangaZone5.04 - - New Orleans Second Line - Orlando Doom, OL, Norfolk SeaWolves - Bunny
- New Orleans Second Line - Orlando Doom, OL, Norfolk SeaWolves - Bunny5.05 - - Sarasota Sailfish - Udo E. Beaty, RB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - bechtudo
- Sarasota Sailfish - Udo E. Beaty, RB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - bechtudo5.06 - - Berlin Fire Salamanders - Teemo Swift, S, Minnesota Grey Ducks- Repgnar
- Berlin Fire Salamanders - Teemo Swift, S, Minnesota Grey Ducks- Repgnar5.07 - - San Jose Sabercats - Derrick Prince, WR, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - AnUnoriginalGuy
- San Jose Sabercats - Derrick Prince, WR, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - AnUnoriginalGuy5.08 - - Philadelphia Liberty - Roque Santa Cruz, QB, Dallas Birddogs - Air Crou
- Philadelphia Liberty - Roque Santa Cruz, QB, Dallas Birddogs - Air Crou5.09 - - Yellowknife Wraiths - Aleksandr Milescu, S, London Royals - Alikh
- Yellowknife Wraiths - Aleksandr Milescu, S, London Royals - Alikh 5.10 - - Orange County Otters - Malcolm Graves, RB, Minnesota Grey Ducks
- Orange County Otters - Malcolm Graves, RB, Minnesota Grey Ducks5.11 - - Chicago Butchers - L. F. T, TE, Portland Pythons - C9Van
- Chicago Butchers - L. F. T, TE, Portland Pythons - C9Van5.12 - - Baltimore Hawks - Rockbot Rockbo, WR, Minnesota Grey Ducks - RockbotRockbo
- Baltimore Hawks - Rockbot Rockbo, WR, Minnesota Grey Ducks - RockbotRockbo5.13 - - Arizona Outlaws - Roma Amir-Kani, S, Portland Pythons - dallasrogue21
- Arizona Outlaws - Roma Amir-Kani, S, Portland Pythons - dallasrogue21 5.14 - - Honolulu Hahalua - Tyrod Iverson, DL, Kansas City Coyotes - cluesman
- Honolulu Hahalua - Tyrod Iverson, DL, Kansas City Coyotes - cluesman6.01 - - Colorado Yeti - Rip Scorely, LB, Norfolk SeaWolves - aw_rats
- Colorado Yeti - Rip Scorely, LB, Norfolk SeaWolves - aw_rats6.02 - - Austin Copperheads - Pan Cakes, OL, Tijuana Luchadores - lespolis
- Austin Copperheads - Pan Cakes, OL, Tijuana Luchadores - lespolis6.03 - - New York Silverbacks - Lamarcus Thompson, CB, Dallas Birddogs - mnivera
- New York Silverbacks - Lamarcus Thompson, CB, Dallas Birddogs - mnivera6.04 - - New Orleans Second Line - Turt Tolum, TE, Portland Pythons - patsfreak27
- New Orleans Second Line - Turt Tolum, TE, Portland Pythons - patsfreak276.05 - - Sarasota Sailfish - Kevin Mason, CB, London Royals - Blocboykevoo223
- Sarasota Sailfish - Kevin Mason, CB, London Royals - Blocboykevoo2236.06 - - Berlin Fire Salamanders - Nick Smith, RB, Dallas Birddogs - SmittyHextall
- Berlin Fire Salamanders - Nick Smith, RB, Dallas Birddogs - SmittyHextall6.07 - - San Jose Sabercats - Richard Harden, TE, Tijuana Luchadores - Alphavictory
- San Jose Sabercats - Richard Harden, TE, Tijuana Luchadores - Alphavictory6.08 - - Philadelphia Liberty - Amadan Fool, DL, London Royals - Jo3fish5
- Philadelphia Liberty - Amadan Fool, DL, London Royals - Jo3fish56.09 - - Yellowknife Wraiths - Frank Trinkenschuh, RB, Portland Pythons - Lan
- Yellowknife Wraiths - Frank Trinkenschuh, RB, Portland Pythons - Lan6.10 - - Orange County Otters - Drew Stowe, WR, Tijuana Luchadores - drewlikesthepanthers
- Orange County Otters - Drew Stowe, WR, Tijuana Luchadores - drewlikesthepanthers6.11 - - Chicago Butchers - Trigger Robinson, OL, London Royals - Thegreatbambino
- Chicago Butchers - Trigger Robinson, OL, London Royals - Thegreatbambino6.12 - - Baltimore Hawks - Corey Chambers, DL, Portland Pythons - JH23
- Baltimore Hawks - Corey Chambers, DL, Portland Pythons - JH236.13 - - Arizona Outlaws - Jack R, RB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - Jack R.
- Arizona Outlaws - Jack R, RB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - Jack R.6.14 - - Honolulu Hahalua - Poopoo InPee, S, Portland Pythons - poopooinp
- Honolulu Hahalua - Poopoo InPee, S, Portland Pythons - poopooinp 7.01 - - Colorado Yeti - Mogus Sus, RB, Kansas City Coyotes - SnazzySausage
- Colorado Yeti - Mogus Sus, RB, Kansas City Coyotes - SnazzySausage7.02 - - Austin Copperheads - Greg Givens, CB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - gtg1994
- Austin Copperheads - Greg Givens, CB, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - gtg19947.03 - - New York Silverbacks - Payton Wilhelm, WR, Portland Pythons
- New York Silverbacks - Payton Wilhelm, WR, Portland Pythons7.04 - - New Orleans Second Line - Jim Nasium, WR, London Royals - jmiddleton 12
- New Orleans Second Line - Jim Nasium, WR, London Royals - jmiddleton 127.05 - - Sarasota Sailfish - ?
I accidentally drafted a player from S37 on this pick, which means I would have to redo the next picks to consider for Sarasota taking a valid player. As much as I enjoyed this project, I don't enjoy it enough to redo half of the 7th Round.
- Sarasota Sailfish - ?I accidentally drafted a player from S37 on this pick, which means I would have to redo the next picks to consider for Sarasota taking a valid player. As much as I enjoyed this project, I don't enjoy it enough to redo half of the 7th Round.
7.06 - - Berlin Fire Salamanders - CJ Jones, WR, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - BaggWayy62
- Berlin Fire Salamanders - CJ Jones, WR, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - BaggWayy627.07 - - San Jose Sabercats - Ronnie Shanahan, WR, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - RealSlimRon
- San Jose Sabercats - Ronnie Shanahan, WR, Bondi Beach Buccaneers - RealSlimRon7.08 - - Philadelphia Liberty - Martin Richards, WR, Minnesota Grey Ducks - Richards182
- Philadelphia Liberty - Martin Richards, WR, Minnesota Grey Ducks - Richards1827.09 - - Yellowknife Wraiths - Trey Branch, TE, Minnesota Grey Ducks - geranimo
- Yellowknife Wraiths - Trey Branch, TE, Minnesota Grey Ducks - geranimo7.10 - - Orange County Otters - Johnny Rex Nelson, TE, Minnesota Grey Ducks - BrettManJD
- Orange County Otters - Johnny Rex Nelson, TE, Minnesota Grey Ducks - BrettManJD7.11 - - Chicago Butchers - Lucas McCron, WR, Norfolk SeaWolves - Gootz23
- Chicago Butchers - Lucas McCron, WR, Norfolk SeaWolves - Gootz237.12 - - Baltimore Hawks - Deuce Dawkins, TE, London Royals - gimme
- Baltimore Hawks - Deuce Dawkins, TE, London Royals - gimme7.13 - - Arizona Outlaws - Mike Donovan, TE, London Royals - HashDoober
- Arizona Outlaws - Mike Donovan, TE, London Royals - HashDoober7.14 - - Honolulu Hahalua - Mike Stallworth, TE, Minnesota Grey Ducks - The_Redeemers
- Honolulu Hahalua - Mike Stallworth, TE, Minnesota Grey Ducks - The_RedeemersFinal Remarks:
Thank you for reading! It was a lot of work, but it was equally as satisfying to be able to contemplate the finished version of this huge project. As some final considerations, I wanted to point out on the reasons of why this Mock is so inaccurate. The importance of Positional Value. It was a variable significant enough to make players with 50 TPE to be drafted ahead of players of hundreds of TPE, which is an incorrect decision most of the time. Definitely incorrect in some of the situations presented in this Mock Draft. Well, why didn't I fix it then? Because I think it's realistic. In real drafts, team needs are a huge factor in drafting, so I felt like that wasn't a problem that needed to be fixed.
Making this made me realize how tough it is to take so many variables into consideration for something as subjective and immeasurable as sports are. A lot of times, we look at the teams we support or just follow in the multitude of sports we have the pleasure to follow and we question: how could the GM/Front Office/Coach make such an awful decision?
Sometimes we have hindsight, which makes things like that very easy to say. Other times, however, we don't even have variables, but still come to that same conclusion, and are still right afterwards. I believe this Mock Draft gives some insight into their decision making, however. In this Mock Draft, I took into consideration 4 simple variables into the decision of my draft choices. And still made very questionable decisions. Could you imagine how many variables comes into drafting a real person? Where a choice has real consequences and where humans have an almost infinite amount of factors that define who they are as both people and athletes, as well as how that affects the organizations they are recruited for. Just in football, one has to take into consideration performance, positional need, team need, player personality, coachability, technique, football IQ, potential to improve, the context surrounding that individual, the pressure they have to win at the moment, and many more we simple fans have no way of truly understanding.
Does that mean that GMs/Front Office individuals/Coaches are exempt of guilt? No, absolutely not. They are well paid to perform at the level that they do and have extensive knowledge, capacity, and determination to do a good job. Yet sometimes, no matter how hard they work and how much they know about the game, they will make tons of bad decisions. Because no human would ever be able to understand all the variables that come into making this possible. Not even by dedicating their entire life to the game. Sometimes, we must just accept that things don't work the way that we want to. And that's okay.
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Teemo Swift - Free Safety - Minnesota Grey Ducks - ![[Image: F47vPI1.jpg]](https://i.imgur.com/F47vPI1.jpg)
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