05-29-2024, 10:22 AM
(This post was last modified: 06-03-2024, 09:10 PM by wetwilleh. Edited 1 time in total.)
Welcome back gamblers to your favorite not-actual-betting-advice series, the Woof Line. New season means new bets and new opportunities for stealing money from JDC fattening our wallets, so let's skip the pleasantries and get right to the meat and potatoes. For your viewing pleasure: the S48 Week 6 Sportsbook.
Tuna TurnDaBallOva - QB -
TurnDaBallOva is looking to continue what he started in S47 and so far he’s doing admirably. Currently second in the league in passing yards, trailing only Baltimore’s Wolfie McDummy Jr. by a paltry 55 yards. So far this season Tuna is averaging 305 yards per game, thanks to an unbelievable first three weeks where he threw for 361, 400, and 355 against Sarasota, Arizona, and Baltimore, respectively. His past couple games have been far more pedestrian at 230 and 189 yards, but Berlin gets a juicy matchup against the league-worst defense of the Colorado Yeti. The Yeti have been unexpectedly effective against the pass so far, but expect Tuna to get back to form and drop a huge game against the tank squad. Over.
Kyle Crane - RB -
There’s no doubt that Crane has been effective on the ground so far this season, but this line is just too high for us. He’s averaging 96 yards per game and even though their matchup with Honolulu is almost certainly notching them another win, the Hahalua run defense has been formidable through the first five games. They currently sit at second in the league against the rush, allowing only 76 yards per game on average and NOLA’s rushing attack is a good-not-great unit, even with Crane currently leading the league in yards. This one will likely be close, but Honolulu should hold Crane under 100. Take the under here.
Jordan Bamford - WR -
AZ’s leading receiver has been on a tear to start the year and we’re looking for him to deliver big this week against the Silverbacks. He’s already averaging over 100 yards per game and the New York secondary has been terrible against opposing receivers. Not even much analysis to do on this one, seems like a slam dunk Over as Arizona fights their way back to .500.
DJ Maclean - LB -
Maclean is heading up what appears to be a successful bend-don’t-break defense in San Jose, who are 4th in points allowed but 9th in yards allowed. Lots of time on the field results in plenty of playing time and opportunity for Maclean to make tackles. In the five games to start this season he’s only missed this 7.5 mark once, and even then he still managed 7 tackles. Another pretty safe Over for the star LB.
Cheecago Boucher - LB -
Sometimes it feels like the casino hates the Woof Line, and other times it feels like they craft betting lines just for us. This is definitely one of the latter. Boucher is the current league-leader in sacks with 8 and his Wraiths are going up against one of the worst OLs in the league in Chicago. They’re giving up an average of two sacks per game and Boucher should feast. The only way he doesn’t hit the Over on this one is if all the other LBs get to the QB first.
Orange County Otters -
This line all comes down to matchup, as we’ve seen that the Otters are perfectly able to score points. They’re averaging 25 points per game, weighed down heavily by their W1 loss to NOLA in which they only managed to score 9, as well as their 37-14 loss in W4 to the SaberCats. Both NOLA and San Jose have top-5 defensive units and their matchup this week is against Baltimore, who rank 6th, but by a large margin. W2 was the only game in which Baltimore allowed under 23 points, so Orange County should be able to keep up. It’ll be pretty close, but take the Over.
Cape Town Crash @ Sarasota Sailfish - /
Infuriatingly, this matchup seems like a bit of a tossup. Both teams currently sit at 3-2, Sarasota’s offense is slightly better, Cape Town’s defense is slightly better. There really aren’t any illuminating stats to dig into for this one, so we have to base our analysis on the slightly less tangible. Both the line (SAR +6.5) and Sarasota getting this matchup at home tip the scales for us ever so slightly towards the Sailfish. Home field advantage being the crux, bet on this line at your own risk. However if you do bet, we’re going to recommend taking SAR (+6.5).
That’s your scoop for today, but you'd be crazy to take advice from a dog, right?
Tuna TurnDaBallOva - QB -
TurnDaBallOva is looking to continue what he started in S47 and so far he’s doing admirably. Currently second in the league in passing yards, trailing only Baltimore’s Wolfie McDummy Jr. by a paltry 55 yards. So far this season Tuna is averaging 305 yards per game, thanks to an unbelievable first three weeks where he threw for 361, 400, and 355 against Sarasota, Arizona, and Baltimore, respectively. His past couple games have been far more pedestrian at 230 and 189 yards, but Berlin gets a juicy matchup against the league-worst defense of the Colorado Yeti. The Yeti have been unexpectedly effective against the pass so far, but expect Tuna to get back to form and drop a huge game against the tank squad. Over.
Kyle Crane - RB -
There’s no doubt that Crane has been effective on the ground so far this season, but this line is just too high for us. He’s averaging 96 yards per game and even though their matchup with Honolulu is almost certainly notching them another win, the Hahalua run defense has been formidable through the first five games. They currently sit at second in the league against the rush, allowing only 76 yards per game on average and NOLA’s rushing attack is a good-not-great unit, even with Crane currently leading the league in yards. This one will likely be close, but Honolulu should hold Crane under 100. Take the under here.
Jordan Bamford - WR -
AZ’s leading receiver has been on a tear to start the year and we’re looking for him to deliver big this week against the Silverbacks. He’s already averaging over 100 yards per game and the New York secondary has been terrible against opposing receivers. Not even much analysis to do on this one, seems like a slam dunk Over as Arizona fights their way back to .500.
DJ Maclean - LB -
Maclean is heading up what appears to be a successful bend-don’t-break defense in San Jose, who are 4th in points allowed but 9th in yards allowed. Lots of time on the field results in plenty of playing time and opportunity for Maclean to make tackles. In the five games to start this season he’s only missed this 7.5 mark once, and even then he still managed 7 tackles. Another pretty safe Over for the star LB.
Cheecago Boucher - LB -
Sometimes it feels like the casino hates the Woof Line, and other times it feels like they craft betting lines just for us. This is definitely one of the latter. Boucher is the current league-leader in sacks with 8 and his Wraiths are going up against one of the worst OLs in the league in Chicago. They’re giving up an average of two sacks per game and Boucher should feast. The only way he doesn’t hit the Over on this one is if all the other LBs get to the QB first.
Orange County Otters -
This line all comes down to matchup, as we’ve seen that the Otters are perfectly able to score points. They’re averaging 25 points per game, weighed down heavily by their W1 loss to NOLA in which they only managed to score 9, as well as their 37-14 loss in W4 to the SaberCats. Both NOLA and San Jose have top-5 defensive units and their matchup this week is against Baltimore, who rank 6th, but by a large margin. W2 was the only game in which Baltimore allowed under 23 points, so Orange County should be able to keep up. It’ll be pretty close, but take the Over.
Cape Town Crash @ Sarasota Sailfish - /
Infuriatingly, this matchup seems like a bit of a tossup. Both teams currently sit at 3-2, Sarasota’s offense is slightly better, Cape Town’s defense is slightly better. There really aren’t any illuminating stats to dig into for this one, so we have to base our analysis on the slightly less tangible. Both the line (SAR +6.5) and Sarasota getting this matchup at home tip the scales for us ever so slightly towards the Sailfish. Home field advantage being the crux, bet on this line at your own risk. However if you do bet, we’re going to recommend taking SAR (+6.5).
That’s your scoop for today, but you'd be crazy to take advice from a dog, right?