4.
The team this season that most represented the "Sim gonna sim" life was the Colorado Yeti. Despite having a plus 47 point differential on the season (good for 5th best point differential in the league), the Yeti finished with an even record of 8 wins and 8 losses (good for only 8th best in the league). This disparity between point differential and final record was due to a staggering 7 losses by 7 points or less (the final loss was by only 10 points as well) in contrast with the 4 wins by the Yeti by a total of 7 points or less. Close games aren't necessarily uncommon, but to go 4-7 in games decided by a touchdown or less (36% for you math nerds out there) is just bad luck, or as we say in the ISFL, Sim gonna sim. Part of why that record is so bad is that certain key players got simmed real hard this year for apparently no reason, like QB Mattathias Caliban, the literal top player in TPE at the beginning of the season (for the record he is now the second place TPE player behind Sam Howitzer) who had arguably his worst season in the ISFL this year. He was disgraced by the sheer audacity of the sim to drop him to his second lowest passing yards total (lowest since his first season), his lowest completion percentage ever, second highest interception total (just one behind his first season), and lowest passer rating of his career (also the second lowest passer rating for the whole ISFL in Season 30, beating out only George O'Donnell of the Chicago Butchers). For a player of Caliban's pedigree that's just downright disrespectful what the sim did. Another Yeti player to be done dirty by the sim this year was kicker Lux Opal. While only a second year player, Opal took a serious hit in accuracy and distance despite being a higher TPE player than last year. For instance, Lux's first miss this year fell at 30 to 39 yard range, despite not missing anything under 40 yards out the previous year. Additionally the overall field goal percentage dropped from 85 to 79, not huge but significant, especially when considering the higher amount of distance attempts last year with an additional three attempts past 40 yards last year. The distance and deep accuracy also suffered, dropping from a long of 55 yards to just 50 with the same amount of 50 plus yard attempts, and a deep accuracy drop from 70% down to 65% from distance. Again not a huge drop, but not expected from an improving player. In addition to that, the Yeti also suffered a loss from from the opponent getting the last score in the fourth quarter in 3 of the 7 losses in their one score games Had the defense been able to hold and not allow those final scores, presumably the Yeti win those games (there would be one where the game would go to overtime) and end with a much better record of 11 wins and 5 losses, which would get them the second seed in the NSFC and a playoff spot.
But Alcott, you say, wouldn't that happen to any team that winds up in so many one score games? I'm glad you asked my sweet, little friend. Let's take a look at the other side of the coin when the Sim comes around to sim things up. The Austin Copperheads wound up with quite the season, ending with an impressive record of 11 wins and just 5 losses, which is even more incredible considering they only had a +16 point differential. In the games they played, 13 ended in with a point differential of 7 or less, and in those games the Copperheads went an incredible 10 and 3 (an incredible 77% win rate, I still got you math boys and girls). So not only did the Copperheads end more games with a one score difference, but they won those games at over two times the rate that the Yeti did from our "bad sim" example.
The team this season that most represented the "Sim gonna sim" life was the Colorado Yeti. Despite having a plus 47 point differential on the season (good for 5th best point differential in the league), the Yeti finished with an even record of 8 wins and 8 losses (good for only 8th best in the league). This disparity between point differential and final record was due to a staggering 7 losses by 7 points or less (the final loss was by only 10 points as well) in contrast with the 4 wins by the Yeti by a total of 7 points or less. Close games aren't necessarily uncommon, but to go 4-7 in games decided by a touchdown or less (36% for you math nerds out there) is just bad luck, or as we say in the ISFL, Sim gonna sim. Part of why that record is so bad is that certain key players got simmed real hard this year for apparently no reason, like QB Mattathias Caliban, the literal top player in TPE at the beginning of the season (for the record he is now the second place TPE player behind Sam Howitzer) who had arguably his worst season in the ISFL this year. He was disgraced by the sheer audacity of the sim to drop him to his second lowest passing yards total (lowest since his first season), his lowest completion percentage ever, second highest interception total (just one behind his first season), and lowest passer rating of his career (also the second lowest passer rating for the whole ISFL in Season 30, beating out only George O'Donnell of the Chicago Butchers). For a player of Caliban's pedigree that's just downright disrespectful what the sim did. Another Yeti player to be done dirty by the sim this year was kicker Lux Opal. While only a second year player, Opal took a serious hit in accuracy and distance despite being a higher TPE player than last year. For instance, Lux's first miss this year fell at 30 to 39 yard range, despite not missing anything under 40 yards out the previous year. Additionally the overall field goal percentage dropped from 85 to 79, not huge but significant, especially when considering the higher amount of distance attempts last year with an additional three attempts past 40 yards last year. The distance and deep accuracy also suffered, dropping from a long of 55 yards to just 50 with the same amount of 50 plus yard attempts, and a deep accuracy drop from 70% down to 65% from distance. Again not a huge drop, but not expected from an improving player. In addition to that, the Yeti also suffered a loss from from the opponent getting the last score in the fourth quarter in 3 of the 7 losses in their one score games Had the defense been able to hold and not allow those final scores, presumably the Yeti win those games (there would be one where the game would go to overtime) and end with a much better record of 11 wins and 5 losses, which would get them the second seed in the NSFC and a playoff spot.
But Alcott, you say, wouldn't that happen to any team that winds up in so many one score games? I'm glad you asked my sweet, little friend. Let's take a look at the other side of the coin when the Sim comes around to sim things up. The Austin Copperheads wound up with quite the season, ending with an impressive record of 11 wins and just 5 losses, which is even more incredible considering they only had a +16 point differential. In the games they played, 13 ended in with a point differential of 7 or less, and in those games the Copperheads went an incredible 10 and 3 (an incredible 77% win rate, I still got you math boys and girls). So not only did the Copperheads end more games with a one score difference, but they won those games at over two times the rate that the Yeti did from our "bad sim" example.
![[Image: 11-win-WR.png]](https://i.postimg.cc/Dz5ckstz/11-win-WR.png)
[img]![[Image: S36FTAP.png]](https://i.postimg.cc/NfWr35JH/S36FTAP.png)
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