03-10-2023, 01:17 PM
(This post was last modified: 03-10-2023, 01:18 PM by br0_0ker. Edited 3 times in total.)
(03-10-2023, 02:55 AM)aeonsjenni Wrote:(03-09-2023, 11:07 AM)br0_0ker Wrote: 13 seasons is actually pretty long compared to the NFL average, e.g. there's about 30-50 active NFL players with more than 13 seasons played, across 1500+ active players.
I understand why a lot of people think 13 seasons is long enough for a sim player, but this is really making the opposite point that you're trying to make. There are more than 30 active NFL players who have played more than 13 seasons, plus hundreds who retired after 13 seasons, and zero sim players. There will never be any sim players to play more than 13 seasons, barring a rule change. 13 seasons is a long time, of course, but it doesn't make any sense as an absolute upper limit.
im pretty sure the regression/stats are formulated to more closely match seasonal/career stat output to that of a NFL player (though that may have strayed over the years), not longevity of career. so adjusting regression so we get a <1% population representation at the expense of comparable stats is less than ideal.
e: had the < sign wrong