EDIT: It turns out this analysis is based on a flawed understanding of how the NSFL draft works - the comments under help shed light on the actual mechanics. I'll leave it to stand as a testament to my idiocy.
I've done a little bit of analysis to understand what it takes to get drafted in the S21 NSFL draft.
Every draft class is unique, so take caution in thinking that the results of this draft will apply to any other draft. This is especially true of the extra-large S22 draft intake.
We all know the big names who will go in the first and second rounds but let's focus on the lower rounds, the players on the edge of taking the step up to the big leagues.
With 10 teams and 6 rounds, there are 60 selections to be made. That means that if GMs drafted purely based on TPE, Herb Altee (S - Seawolves) would be the 60th player selected with 90 TPE and his teammate Jeff Personsacker (DE - Seawolves) would just miss out on 88 TPE.
But as we all know teams' needs are deeper than just TPE and you can't always just draft the best available player. Positions matter. So what sort of balance do with find in those top 60 TPE players?
With 26 offensive and 29 defensive players (along with 3 kickers) it's reasonably balanced on both sides of the ball. There are four quarterbacks and just two offensive linemen are in line to step up to the NSFL. Defensively expect the stock of defensive backs to rise with 4 cornerbacks and safeties in that group.
Of course it also comes down to how those TPE are distributed? What sorts of characters are behind them? Will they fit into the locker rooms? What direction are they trending? All these are questions for the experienced heads of NSFL GMs.
What do you think what surprises are in store in the coming draft?
I've done a little bit of analysis to understand what it takes to get drafted in the S21 NSFL draft.
Every draft class is unique, so take caution in thinking that the results of this draft will apply to any other draft. This is especially true of the extra-large S22 draft intake.
Quote:Top 20 Players by TPE
jeffie43 - Prince Vegeta - 259 TPE - S
Frostbite - Dax Frost - 241 TPE - RB
nunccoepi - Immanuel Blackstone - 241 TPE - DE
MSombrero - Matt Murphy - 241 TPE - S
KoltClassic - Otis Allen - 230 TPE - DT
Voltaqe - Chris Kross - 226 TPE - WR
HalfEatenOnionBagel - Osiris Firestorm-Fjord - 226 TPE - TE
MN_Moosey - Leon McDavid - 212 TPE - TE
Vorshayla - HeHateMe PickSix - 211 TPE - CB
HENDRIX 2.0 - Douglas Quaid - 210 TPE - LB
Get_Right - Jerome Davis - 206 TPE - WR
iseedoug - Dougie Smalls - 206 TPE - K/P
SemiCharmedMike - Holden Summers - 203 TPE - LB
josh30601 - Sardine Beaner - 196 TPE - DT
SwagSloth - Baby Yoda - 194 TPE - RB
mcast55 - Chip Otle - 189 TPE - DE
BRNXB0MBERS - Pete "Plop" Miller - 189 TPE - DT
Leafer - George O’Donnell - 187 TPE - QB
Jackets28 - Zero Two - 186 TPE - QB
Lemon - Remon Kurisuto - 185 TPE - WR
We all know the big names who will go in the first and second rounds but let's focus on the lower rounds, the players on the edge of taking the step up to the big leagues.
With 10 teams and 6 rounds, there are 60 selections to be made. That means that if GMs drafted purely based on TPE, Herb Altee (S - Seawolves) would be the 60th player selected with 90 TPE and his teammate Jeff Personsacker (DE - Seawolves) would just miss out on 88 TPE.
Quote:14 Players on the Edge
frithjofr - Ugarth the Dissector - 105 TPE - LB
3lewsers - James Lewandowski - 103 TPE - TE
Iamdumberdore - Gronk Robertoswki - 100 TPE - TE
Raheem James - Raheem Okusi - 99 TPE - WR
Big Trusss - Smolder Bravestone - 97 TPE - WR
ap8333 - Jeremy Quellers - 95 TPE - CB
vulfgravy - Herb Altee - 90 TPE - S
jeffpersonsacker - Jeff Personsacker - 88 TPE - DE
Confusion - Hunter Young - 88 TPE - DE
Shak24 - Shakir Ahmed - 82 TPE - TE
H0PPY75 - Emmett Higgins - 82 TPE - OL
rubachikin - Rub A. Chikin - 82 TPE - S
MisObvious - Dillard Holcombe - 81 TPE - S
jmarnette - Jack Marnette - 80 TPE - CB
But as we all know teams' needs are deeper than just TPE and you can't always just draft the best available player. Positions matter. So what sort of balance do with find in those top 60 TPE players?
Quote:Position by position
Offence: 26
QB: 4
RB: 8
WR: 7
TE: 7
OL: 2
Defence: 29
DE: 7
DT: 6
LB: 8
CB: 4
S: 4
Special Teams
K/P: 3
With 26 offensive and 29 defensive players (along with 3 kickers) it's reasonably balanced on both sides of the ball. There are four quarterbacks and just two offensive linemen are in line to step up to the NSFL. Defensively expect the stock of defensive backs to rise with 4 cornerbacks and safeties in that group.
Of course it also comes down to how those TPE are distributed? What sorts of characters are behind them? Will they fit into the locker rooms? What direction are they trending? All these are questions for the experienced heads of NSFL GMs.
What do you think what surprises are in store in the coming draft?