Welcome back to the sportsbook guide!
Exclusively For Champions!
Exclusively For Champions!
How is everybody doing on this lovely week of week 15! Coming into the end of the season, not only do we have games that will effect playoff standings, but we have some props sure to effect our bank accounts! Especially following the betting guidelines from this guide! I will also be doing something new this time around, my good friend and fellow sportsbook addict @shrub02 has brought to my attention that I haven't been doing anything with the parlay, so I will be adding a parlay ranking to the end of this week's Wet Bets! So, without further ado, let's get it going!
San Jose Sabercats @ Arizona Outlaws
O/U 53.5 points
I'm gonna state the obvious first. Arizona is going to score points like it's going out of style. Fun fact for Arizona, they scored 30+ points from week 2 until week 9, and 29 in week 10. So we know that the Outlaws are able to put up points, but what we don't know is how San Jose will be able to score on that Outlaw run defense that is ranked first in the league. If you've watched San Jose this year, their offense relies heavily on the run game lead by Jamar Lackson. So, I would be cautious in putting faith in the explosive Outlaw offense, which has not performed as well at home, to put up 40+ points against the Sabercats.
UNDER
-
Austin RB Zoe Watts O/U 74.5 Yards rushing
Well, look who came back! There's a lot of lore behind this selection, and in case you haven't been following Drips Wet Bets religiously, my first ever bet was on the Zoe Watts over. Not only was it my first bet I made on the sportsbook, it was my first time I lost money on the sportsbook. So now, this is personal. Not really, but I do think I have a pretty good grasp on this bet. My main concern for the last time I bet on Zoe was that she was in a committee situation, sharing the backfield with Jim The Vampire. Well, that ultimately was my undoing, because JTV actually got more touches and yards that game. I am worried about the split of carries again, but I feel more confident in my bet this week because of their opponent. If I asked you who is the second best run defense in the ASFC, I bet you wouldn't say the Otters. Well, surprise, it is the otters, and I don't think that they'll allow the over to Zoe. Especially because in their week 4 matchup, Watts only rushed for 40 yards. Kya, it's time for me to win my money back!
1.25 Mil on the UNDER
O/U 53.5 points
I'm gonna state the obvious first. Arizona is going to score points like it's going out of style. Fun fact for Arizona, they scored 30+ points from week 2 until week 9, and 29 in week 10. So we know that the Outlaws are able to put up points, but what we don't know is how San Jose will be able to score on that Outlaw run defense that is ranked first in the league. If you've watched San Jose this year, their offense relies heavily on the run game lead by Jamar Lackson. So, I would be cautious in putting faith in the explosive Outlaw offense, which has not performed as well at home, to put up 40+ points against the Sabercats.
UNDER
-
Austin RB Zoe Watts O/U 74.5 Yards rushing
Well, look who came back! There's a lot of lore behind this selection, and in case you haven't been following Drips Wet Bets religiously, my first ever bet was on the Zoe Watts over. Not only was it my first bet I made on the sportsbook, it was my first time I lost money on the sportsbook. So now, this is personal. Not really, but I do think I have a pretty good grasp on this bet. My main concern for the last time I bet on Zoe was that she was in a committee situation, sharing the backfield with Jim The Vampire. Well, that ultimately was my undoing, because JTV actually got more touches and yards that game. I am worried about the split of carries again, but I feel more confident in my bet this week because of their opponent. If I asked you who is the second best run defense in the ASFC, I bet you wouldn't say the Otters. Well, surprise, it is the otters, and I don't think that they'll allow the over to Zoe. Especially because in their week 4 matchup, Watts only rushed for 40 yards. Kya, it's time for me to win my money back!
1.25 Mil on the UNDER
-
On a more personal note, I really hope you guys have been enjoying these. I have been doing them at work, on the work computer, and it's been a great way for me to kill some time. Because of the great work of the casino team, I have never felt more connected to the league than I do writing these, so thank you Bayley and LB. Now, about my last round of bets! I took 2 weeks off, one of those because there was no Sportsbook posted. So, my last bets were week 12, and let me tell you, I am feeling good! I made my biggest bet all season on the Outlaws getting under 2 interceptions, and they got 1! SO now, not only have I made money, I have made BIG money! I went 3-2, only missing on the Lackson over and the New York v. Chicago under. But I am looking to continue my hot streak! Thanks again for reading, and as always, have a good week? I don't know how to end this.
On a more personal note, I really hope you guys have been enjoying these. I have been doing them at work, on the work computer, and it's been a great way for me to kill some time. Because of the great work of the casino team, I have never felt more connected to the league than I do writing these, so thank you Bayley and LB. Now, about my last round of bets! I took 2 weeks off, one of those because there was no Sportsbook posted. So, my last bets were week 12, and let me tell you, I am feeling good! I made my biggest bet all season on the Outlaws getting under 2 interceptions, and they got 1! SO now, not only have I made money, I have made BIG money! I went 3-2, only missing on the Lackson over and the New York v. Chicago under. But I am looking to continue my hot streak! Thanks again for reading, and as always, have a good week? I don't know how to end this.
Running Count: 19-14
Total Earnings: 2.25 million
Money Up This Week: 1.25 on Watts under
QB Ben Slothlisberger O/U 297.5 Yards Passing
I swear, I have mentioned Slothlisberger the most out of any player in all of my Drips Wet Bets. And if I am not mistaken, I have won the most on my bets pertaining Ben. So, maybe I am the master, or I just look at the matchup. In a week 15 matchup versus Baltimore, I am extremely tempted to take the over, but if they perform at all like they did getting their first win all season, it'll be a good time to take the under. But, Ben just put up 308 versus a much stronger AZ defense. 298 is a lot of yards, but I bet Big Boy Ben can do it.
OVER
-
Total Earnings: 2.25 million
Money Up This Week: 1.25 on Watts under
QB Ben Slothlisberger O/U 297.5 Yards Passing
I swear, I have mentioned Slothlisberger the most out of any player in all of my Drips Wet Bets. And if I am not mistaken, I have won the most on my bets pertaining Ben. So, maybe I am the master, or I just look at the matchup. In a week 15 matchup versus Baltimore, I am extremely tempted to take the over, but if they perform at all like they did getting their first win all season, it'll be a good time to take the under. But, Ben just put up 308 versus a much stronger AZ defense. 298 is a lot of yards, but I bet Big Boy Ben can do it.
OVER
-
WR Luca Scabbia O/U 81.5 Yards Receiving
This is a bet I can honestly go either way with. Do I think Chicago will pull off the upset versus Berlin again? No, I do not. But in that game Scabbia was one of 3 players who would've hit the over for Chicago, helping George O'Donnell to 420 (nice) yards passing. If any more targets go Scabbias way, I can see the over being hit. However, I am sure that Berlin will play a lot stronger against the pass, in which we see a game where we will clearly not break the line. I am not 100% on this, but I would take the over solely on the performance last matchup between these teams.
OVER
-
Honolulu Hahalua O/U 21.5 points
This is an interesting bet, primarily because the threshold to hit the over is extremely doable for most teams not named the Baltimore Hawks. The Hahalua are playing a Silverbacks team that has only allowed the over 4 times all season. The teams they have allowed the over to were Arizona, Austin, Chicago, and surprisingly Honolulu in week 4. Do I think that Honolulu will win the game? No, that I don't see happening. Do I think Honolulu has the ability to score 22 points? Absolutely. This is going to be a bet on the home field advantage that Honolulu has, which I don't think will move the needle towards the home team that much.
UNDER
-
PARLAY RANKINGS
So, I decided to rank the parlay options from 1-5 based on confidence that they'll win. One being I am super confident, five being my least likely to hit.
1.
RB Zoe Watts Under
2.
@ Under
This is where I start to be less confident. I am putting the Honolulu under at 3 over the Sloth over. And that's because of my faith in the strength of the Silverback defense. I don't think that Honolulu will move the ball much, especially with how strong New York has been on defense as of late. And honestly, 298 yards is a large ask of any QB against any defense, even if it is Baltimore.
3.
Under 21.5 points
4.
QB Ben Slothlisberger Over
5.
WR Luca Scabbia Over
I am putting Scabbia last. I am only doing this because I have legitimately no idea on what's going to happen. I can see the under being hit, especially with the Salamanders switching their gameplan a bit this time around. But, the potential to the hit the over for any Chicago offensive player is always going to be there. I would just love the Butchers to have a bit more consistency on their offensive output.
This is a bet I can honestly go either way with. Do I think Chicago will pull off the upset versus Berlin again? No, I do not. But in that game Scabbia was one of 3 players who would've hit the over for Chicago, helping George O'Donnell to 420 (nice) yards passing. If any more targets go Scabbias way, I can see the over being hit. However, I am sure that Berlin will play a lot stronger against the pass, in which we see a game where we will clearly not break the line. I am not 100% on this, but I would take the over solely on the performance last matchup between these teams.
OVER
-
Honolulu Hahalua O/U 21.5 points
This is an interesting bet, primarily because the threshold to hit the over is extremely doable for most teams not named the Baltimore Hawks. The Hahalua are playing a Silverbacks team that has only allowed the over 4 times all season. The teams they have allowed the over to were Arizona, Austin, Chicago, and surprisingly Honolulu in week 4. Do I think that Honolulu will win the game? No, that I don't see happening. Do I think Honolulu has the ability to score 22 points? Absolutely. This is going to be a bet on the home field advantage that Honolulu has, which I don't think will move the needle towards the home team that much.
UNDER
-
PARLAY RANKINGS
So, I decided to rank the parlay options from 1-5 based on confidence that they'll win. One being I am super confident, five being my least likely to hit.
1.
RB Zoe Watts Under
2.
@ Under
This is where I start to be less confident. I am putting the Honolulu under at 3 over the Sloth over. And that's because of my faith in the strength of the Silverback defense. I don't think that Honolulu will move the ball much, especially with how strong New York has been on defense as of late. And honestly, 298 yards is a large ask of any QB against any defense, even if it is Baltimore.
3.
Under 21.5 points
4.
QB Ben Slothlisberger Over
5.
WR Luca Scabbia Over
I am putting Scabbia last. I am only doing this because I have legitimately no idea on what's going to happen. I can see the under being hit, especially with the Salamanders switching their gameplan a bit this time around. But, the potential to the hit the over for any Chicago offensive player is always going to be there. I would just love the Butchers to have a bit more consistency on their offensive output.