05-27-2022, 03:44 AM
(This post was last modified: 06-04-2022, 09:50 AM by soevil. Edited 3 times in total.)
S36 Draft Primer
by br0_0ker
It's that time of year again! From the guy who brought you the S35 Draft Primer and the S35 DSFL Draft Primer comes the S36 Draft Primer, this time with even more charts, colors, and tags! Admittedly, my overdrawn bank account accelerated the posting of this article, as I had hoped to get one more week in before crunching the numbers, which would have allowed one last update to hit the tracker and the remainder of this week's games to complete, bringing some clarity to the final standings. Nonetheless, the methodology used to predict the rest of the outcomes this season is in my opinion sound, from there moving to examine each team individually with the goal of highlighting the biggest needs and wants of each. I then used the google sheet I've been updating with weekly TPE values since the very first S36 creates were posted to assign a score to each active member of the draft. Using the score and charts of needs/wants, I drafted six rounds of players, from a pool of all of the players that at least had visited the forum this month (with the exception of the unfortunate Mr. Mike Stallworth), and totally not just because I needed the money. Let's jump right in.
DISCLAIMER: This is entirely based on TPE earnings and team needs, this does not factor in how wonderful a person you might be or the relationships with teams players might have prior to entering the draft. This is solely earnings based, all I care is that you earn as much as you can as fast as you can.
Remaining schedule prediction methodology
With the conclusion of Week 12 games, there remains four weeks of play in the season. Using the current standings, I took each team's Points For and Points Against and charted if they fell in the 75th, 50th, or 25th percentile. Using this information I separated the teams into four tiers which represented a form of power ranking, which I then cross-referenced with each team's remaining schedule to get an approximation of expected wins. For each team that faces a team at least one tier lower than themselves, they earn one expected win. Teams that face an opponent in their own tier earn half a win. Teams facing an opponent in a higher tier earn zero expected wins. Here's the chart:
Of course, it is no guarantee that a higher tiered team will defeat a lower tiered team (I'm looking at you San Jose), but for the sake of simplicity we assume each "favored" team wins the matchup. Home-field advantage is not accounted for as well. Some observations:
I re-sorted the list based on the expected win column, with the only deviation being Berlin slotting in behind Sarasota and Philly falling behind Berlin. Berlin and Philly both have matchups against bottom tier teams AUS/COL, and face each other and Sarasota, but Berlin draws an away game to finish the season in Yellowknife while Philly plays at Chicago in week 14, an easier matchup in my opinion. Given Sarasota has four matchups against similarly tiered teams or better, it seemed most appropriate they would take the first pick in this three-way split. But let it be known that picks 6-11 are very volatile in order. Here's my projected order for the S36 draft:
Based on this order, I have Arizona winning the Ultimus. I looked back at data from the modern era (S27 and beyond) to see if home-field advantage could predict a favorite once the playoff teams were decided. I actually found that the distribution of teams that win the Ultimus is almost even across each of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd seeds:
I noted the records of S31 and S32 3rd seeds to see if it was a year where there were three teams that were just significantly better that the others and it was not necessarily the case. Based on this, while I still believe Arizona will win the Ultimus, I think there is a good chance that OCO takes it if they finish in their current position as the 3rd seed. Seeding, and thus home-field advantage, does not seem to dictate victory nearly as often as I would think between teams that are close in TPE/performance.
Determining team needs and wants methodology
I then popped open the team budgets google sheet and started charting each team's roster composition for the S36 season. For each player under contract for S36 in a position, that position received one point. For each player a team had in the DSFL, that position received half a point. I then coded the chart based on the minimum number of players each team should have at a given position, ideally. Examining the cells that were coded deficient, I updated the coding if a team had potential free agents on their team where signing them would fill the deficiency. I then ran one final pass to see if any position that was coded as filled that would benefit from an upgrade, and coded those cells accordingly. Here's that chart:
Some observations:
This part probably took the longest, outside of the cumulative time spent verifying the data I get from the tracker each week. I tried my best to make decisions in a vacuum, assuming that no signing would affect/prevent another signing. I did rough calculations for regressing players, coding appropriately where a low TPE re-signing would only satisfy a vacancy if the position would not be greatly affected by a player with low TPE. In the cases it would, I coded for an upgrade at the position, indicating a team want and not necessarily a need. From this data, I was able to gather a league-wide sample of wants and needs, which would aid in determining the positions in highest demand this draft, and subsequently guide my decision-making while actually drafting. The players list was then coded based on each player's score percentile where the 90th percentile were coded as Blue Chip Prospects, 75th-89th percentile as Future Superstars, 50th-74th percentile Starter Quality, 25th-49th percentile coded Role Players, 10th-24th percentile as Developmental Depth Pieces, and the bottom 10th percentile as Hail Mary Picks. A note on TPE measurements: I base the numbers off the tracker which doesn't update daily. Most of these TPE numbers will be 10-20 TPE off of their most up-to-date measurement, but the difference is nearly the same all across the list.
Using these two charts, I began to draft. Here are the results:
1.01 Colorado Yeti
Needs: LB, DT, WR, CB
Selection: Kevin McThumper LB @Chucky
The Yeti project as the number one overall pick, and they're thin at the league-wide neediest positions. Luckily for them, there are two nearly identical players at the top of the board to chose from. Both Versatile LB archetypes, either Kevin McThumper or Fred Edison should be the pick here, as the Yeti desperately need a a youth rejuvenation on their 14th ranked defense. At the time of writing, McThumper holds the TPE edge at 244 vs 234 claimed, having edited their update page a day later than Edison. Linebacker is a much more necessary position than defensive tackle, and McThumper will immediately step in to replace an aging Elliot Hord, who at 201 TPE is set to enter their first season of regression. Don't over think this, it's an easy pick.
1.02 Austin Copperheads
Needs: DT, TE, DE, WR
Selection: Jean-Ralphio Saperstein DE @Fordhammer
Though not the "top need" identified by the team needs chart, defensive end is perhaps a more necessary and versatile position than defensive tackle, and while Austin enters the S36 season without any DTs signed to the squad, Jean-Ralphio Saperstein (henceforth referred to as "JRS") should be the logical choice for a number of reasons. First, the defensive end pool is deceptively shallow. After JRS, Harley Andrews is required to fall to Sarasota in the second round, and the next best DE is JR Frankenstero at 213 TPE, one of only four remaining players above 100 TPE. Defensive end is the league-wide third neediest position, so having a shot at the top prospect here gives Austin an edge. Secondly, though not ideal, Austin has the option to re-sign Candice D. Fitinyomouf (nice) in what I imagine will be their last or second to last season staving off regression, lowering the overall need of DT for the team. Third, I project this to be a defensive heavy draft, with many teams needing to reload on that side of the ball, and this might cause some of the top TE prospects (a position teams seem to have lower priority on) to fall. JRS seems like a no-brainer for these reasons, though the team philosophy could be wildly different than my analysis.
1.03 New Orleans Secondline
Needs: DT, CB
Selection: Xavier Valorian DT @XaveValor
NOLA heads into S36 as one of a few teams with only a few major holes on their roster. The decision to fill the defensive tackle position over cornerback is based on about 20 TPE difference, too significant to warrant reaching here at third overall. The decision to take Valorian over DT TPE leader Nathan Meagher is based on Solace Avenger being rostered in S36, already an All-Purpose DT archetype. Pairing Avenger with Valorian who is an Interior Rusher seems better chemistry-wise.
1.04 San Jose SaberCats
Needs: DE, LB, DT, WR
Selection: JR Frankenstero DE @Punk42AE
The primary goal of the SaberCats this offseason should be to re-sign Panda McKyle (who is IA according to the budget tracker) to give Owen Farrell one more season in the DSFL to develop. San Jose has a lot of their own talent they can retain this offseason to fill the holes in their S36 roster, which gives them some flexibility at the fourth overall spot. This might be a bit of a reach, but with only one defensive end on the roster and Olajide Olatunji (S35 DE) sitting at only 65 TPE, it makes sense. Frankenstero is the last DE over 200 TPE, and definitely would not be there when their second pick came round. I thought about grabbing a LB or Nathan Meagher here, but with a full, albeit aging, roster of LB and Patty Pumpernickel almost assuredly being re-signed on the cheap as an IA DT, there were less options for SJS to fill the DE position than any other on their roster. Frankenstero in their own right is only ten TPE off the leaders, so not a massive reach by any means.
1.05 New York Silverbacks
Needs: DT, DE, LB, CB
Selection: Nathan Meagher DT @Nathan
I had a whole thing written up about artificially induced scarcity because of Bonzi Buddy being forced to their team in the second round before I realized this was the very team Bonzi would be forced to. Imagine being that dumb, haha couldn't be me. Anyways, with CB being guaranteed in the second, New York has the luxury of grabbing the highest graded remaining defensive lineman here. While linebacker is a thinner position, the Silverbacks have two LB signed in S36 with the potential to re-sign DeCarr Rek. Should that happen, the biggest gap in a nickel formation would be at DT, and NYS is very happy to plug it with the 6th best overall prospect in the draft.
1.06 Chicago Butchers
Needs: DE, DT, LB, CB
Selection: Graham Harper CB @PurpleReign
Chicago ends the defensive lineman run, grabbing a cornerback here at the sixth overall spot. The Butchers have another pick coming up after NOLA here in the first, so they play a bit of gamesmanship in scouting NOLA's needs and grabbing Harper who likely would be gone at the next pick before addressing more pressing needs of their own. Harper sits at 20 TPE above the next draftable CB, making this an easy selection.
1.07 New Orleans Secondline (via Baltimore Hawks)
Needs: CB
Selection: Raffaele Tommasi CB @enigmatic
NOLA does not draft again until their third round pick, 24 spots from now (barring any trades up). Their roster looks pretty complete with the selection of Valorian at 1.03 and their only real hole appears to be at CB. With Chicago sniping Harper one spot ahead of them, the Secondline have their pick of the next tier of CB prospects. Tommasi projects as a solid starter, and enigmatic is a renowned user, making this another easy pick.
1.08 Chicago Butchers (via Sarasota Sailfish)
Needs: DE, DT, LB
Selection: Aqeel Steele DE @"AbacusAmateur"
With the defensive end position thinning out, the Butchers take Steele at eight overall to immediately step in for a regressing Red Arrow Jr. in S36. After Steele, there were only two players capable of stater's reps at the DE position, at there would be a risk in both hoping Justin Cloud fell to their second round pick and also even trusting Cloud to start. Neither Steele nor Mike Scott should be available at Chicago's next pick, so reaching a little for the need is acceptable here.
1.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Needs: LB, DT, QB
Selection: Fred Edison LB @Liter
Berlin grabs a falling blue chip prospect at a position of one of their greatest needs. If Berlin chooses to re-sign Tomme Salami, that would give them three defensive ends on the roster and enable one to play out of position. Edison would come in immediately to replace Adam Schell, who will be in their fifth season of regression in S36. This a better theoretical lineup than drafting defensive tackle here, and being forced to start Schell. Drafting Edison in S36 also future-proofs the Berlin linebacking corps, as BamBam McMullet also begins their deep dive into regression, enabling Edison to develop into a reliable starter by the time McMullet is forced to retire.
1.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Needs: LB, DT, RB
Selection: Akaki Akayre LB @Ulaire
In Active is set to be retired in S36 and So-Much Jazz is too low TPE to start in the ISFL, so Akayre will need to step into the vacancy as a year one starter. Even with Honky-Tonk Haywood retiring in S36 as well, Philadelphia has the option to re-sign a regressing Tex Wrecks to play at defensive tackle, while promoting Able Archer (S33 DE) to their position. This enables Philly to employ a 4-3 strategy, rather then run deficient at the LB position in S36 by drafting DT here.
1.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Needs: TE, DT, LB, OL
Selection: Mister Hogmally TE @iStegosauruz
Yellowknife has the potential to have four starter quality defensive linemen on their roster at the start of S36, so finally a team that doesn't have pressing dline needs. If Stewart Hellraiser is re-signed, the Wraiths will be able to fill their TE vacancy here late in the first round. Kai Sakura will be retired next season, and Mark Walker will be deep in regression soon, so Hogmally shouldn't have long to wait before they're catching passes as Dustin Parmelee's third option.
1.12 Orange County Otters
Needs: LB, WR
Selection: Zaphod Beeblebrox WR @Mooty99
The Otters have a need at linebacker if they do not end up resigning either of their FA LB and call up Mason Jones. I expect all this to be accomplished and OCO be able to have their choice of WR prospects at the twelfth overall spot. Any one of the top four WR could be their pick, but I went with the top TPE methodology and Austin Morely/Zaphod Beeblebrox edge out Octavio Pérez by one single TPE point. Mooty is a legend in the league, so I expect Orange County to go with the familiar face here.
1.13 Honolulu Hahalua
Needs: DE, RB, DT, S
Selection: Mike Scott DE @Pizza-faith
Honolulu picks only once in the first three rounds, and they have a few pressing needs on the roster. Cobra Kai, Bean Beanman, and Steven Wadham are all set to retire in S36. The Hahalua will need to make a strong FA push since they cannot fill all their holes via call ups or the draft. If I were a betting man, I might stake a claim that Busch Goose, S28 RB for the Baltimore Hawks, finds a home as the lead back for Honolulu in the twilight of their career, currently seeing split reps in Baltimore. Goose would be the undisputed lead back for the Hahalua, and the move would allow Honolulu to focus on only the defensive line and safety in the draft. Assuming this is the route Honolulu takes, grabbing Mike Scott over a top safety may seem like a reach, but given there are no other starter quality prospects in the draft at defensive end and that the overall league-wide neediness for safety is low, Honolulu takes the last of the DE and will potentially look to move up to grab one of the falling safeties in the late second or third rounds.
1.14 Arizona Outlaws
Needs: DE, LB
Selection: Ignatius Reilly LB @yesboom
While the Outlaws head into S36 without a defensive end rostered or able to re-sign, the difference in top available players in the linebacker and DE positions is nearly 60 TPE, too great to reach here for a position of need. Arizona goes instead for the last LB above 200 TPE, grabbing the eventual replacement for L'Gazzy Burfict (S25). The hope here is Justin Cloud slides to their next pick.
2.01 Colorado Yeti
Needs: DT, WR, CB
Selection: Charles Chapman DT @Charple
The Yeti continue to reinforce their defensive line. Chapman sits nearly 30 TPE above the next draftable defensive tackle, with Absolute Unit being forced to Yellowknife later this round, and it's a steep drop off in TPE after that.
2.02 Austin Copperheads
Needs: DT, TE, WR
Selection: Reece Wells II TE @josda_
Austin has the personnel to run a 4-3 or a nickel set on defense at this point, so moving over to fill their biggest offensive need here.
2.03 Baltimore Hawks (via New Orleans Secondline)
Needs: DE, LB, DT, TE
Selection: Bruce Buckley Jr. LB @NicholasTheGreat
Baltimore nabs their GM here, while also filling a position of need (almost like they planned it!)
2.04 San Jose SaberCats
Needs: LB, DT, WR
Selection: Austin Morley WR @soevil
If Sam The Onion Man is not re-signed or when they hit regression, Austin Morely is a perfect fit "slotting" in as the WR3 here (because of the slot archetype, get it).
2.05 New York Silverbacks
Needs: DE, LB, CB
Selection: Bonzi Buddy CB @zaynzk
New York takes their GM here,, easy peasy.
2.06 Chicago Butchers
Needs: DT, LB
Selection: Octavio Pérez WR @Raven
Chicago goes after Mike Hunt's eventual successor. Raven's also a pretty nice person (so I've heard).
2.07 Baltimore Hawks
Needs: DE, DT, WR
Selection: Mandrews McHollywood WR @Rusfan
Baltimore continues the wide receiver run, grabbing themselves an instant starter with their first true "pick" of the draft.
2.08 Sarasota Sailfish
Needs: LB, CB, DE
Selection: Harley Andrews DE @abh89
GM selection and a player that should be starting in a year or two. Nuff said.
2.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Needs: DT, QB
Selection: J.T. Kurbis OL @JoshiePoo
With a couple of aging offensive linemen hitting later regression stages, Berlin grabs a beefy boi to protect their young QB during their rebuild.
2.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Needs: DT, RB, CB
Selection: Mabel Pines CB @dude_woman
Philly grabs a starter quality cornerback to develop before their top two CBs go any further into regression.
2.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Needs: DT, LB, OL
Selection: Absolute Unit DT @Arkz
GM selection and fills the top team need. All according to plan.
2.12 Orange County Otters
Needs: LB, K
Selection: Savathûn T. Witchqueen K/P @sathona
Dallas Dole probably only has one good season left in them. Drafting Witchqueen here guarantees a seamless transition in the kicking game.
2.13 Austin Copperheads (via Honolulu Hahalua)
Needs: DT, WR
Selection: Thomas Robinson WR @infern8
Robinson should start at the WR3 position immediately, and should be a staple of the Copperhead offense for years to come.
2.14 Arizona Outlaws
Needs: DE
Selection: Leandre Diarra RB @slate
What do you do when a team has no apparent holes and has sufficient replacements in the DSFL? You take a full back! Arizona already leans on Jay Cue Jr. and John Riggins is a receiving back, this gives the Outlaws a full compliment of weapons for the running back group.
3.01 Colorado Yeti
Needs: WR, CB
Selection: Don Dobbler WR @Jaywe88
The Don stays draped in red, dobbling their little heart away.
3.02 Austin Copperheads
Needs: DT
Selection: Joseph Reed DT @Reedy0rNot
The Copperheads grab the last starter quality defensive tackle, adding to their already phenomenal draft.
3.03 New Orleans Secondline
Needs: none
Selection: L F.T TE @C9Van
Rather than grab an offensive lineman, NOLA gives the new blocking TE archetype a spin.
3.04 San Jose SaberCats
Needs: LB, DT
Selection: Teemo Swift S @Repgnar
I know that there is no way that the TPE leader falls to the third round, but there is honestly no team that truly needs a safety, and the ones that do already have replacements in the DSFL. Safety can hypothetically play CB or LB, but sticking to the philosophy of the article that a player is best played in their natural position, this was the earliest I could see any team taking the position. With that said, I expect if the draft actually falls this way, Swift will go in the first round in lieu of one of the cornerbacks and will position switch after talking to GMs during scouting. But for spiciness, we will leave you here Repgnar.
3.05 New York Silverbacks
Needs: DE, LB
Selection: Ja’uan Holland S @Friesen1520
And just like that the top two safeties come off the board. I actually think New York needs a player at the position, but are locked into taking Bonzi Buddy with their second round pick. The same rationale applies to Holland as Swift regarding position changing, but if the draft actually falls this way somewhat, the Silverbacks could end up with a mega steal here in the third round.
3.06 Chicago Butchers
Needs: DT, LB
Selection: Sconnie McSix RB @g2019
A similar situation as the safety position, running back is a low league-wide need and I wouldn't be surprised to see the top RB prospects fall this draft.
3.07 Baltimore Hawks
Needs: DE, DT
Selection: Quendyn Quarterstorm S @Twenty6
Baltimore skips taking need over best player available, given the near 70 TPE difference between best players at the positions.
3.08 Sarasota Sailfish
Needs: LB, CB
Selection: Suggs Upshar II CB @Suggs
Starter quality player in the third round at a position of need, also Sarasota's first true "pick" of the draft.
3.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Needs: DT, QB
Selection: Aleksandr Milescu S @Alikh
Berlin might have taken a safety earlier in the draft, but they had more pressing needs. Milescu will start in a year or two.
3.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Needs: DT, RB
Selection: Jarvis Harbinger-Marjin RB @DREAMSLOTH
What a name, man.
3.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Needs: LB, OL
Selection: Orlando Doom OL @Bunny
Get yourself an offensive lineman, Yellowknife.
3.12 Orange County Otters
Needs: LB
Selection: Kaiden King S @khkreator
Will sit for a year or two, but could be a valuable contributor in the future.
3.13 Austin Copperheads (via Honolulu Hahalua)
Needs: none
Selection: Patrick Cunningham K/P @Buttersqauch101
Their kicker is getting older and Cunningham should sit for a year before being the kicker of the future for Austin.
3.14 Arizona Outlaws
Needs: none
Selection: Bean Delphine Jr RB @"SeymourSnatches"
I lied earlier, I said Arizona had one of each running back archetype. They complete the set here.
I won't be committing to a blurb for each pick at this point, mostly it was best player available.
4.01 Colorado Yeti
Selection: Jasper Fontaine TE @lordcoolcats
IA protection if Eeeeeeee phenssta ever goes missing.
4.02 Austin Copperheads
Selection: Ceti Pyxis RB @"belowavgg"
Some competition for the running back group.
4.03 Honolulu Hahalua (via New Orleans Secondline)
Selection: Nate Winter S @TwoSocks
This pick could end up being a decent steal when we look back in a few seasons.
4.04 San Jose SaberCats
Selection: Fat Jack DT @AW13
Continuing to plug those holes... wait...
4.05 New York Silverbacks
Selection: Derrick Prince WR @AnUnoriginalGuy
An unoriginal blurb.
4.06 Chicago Butchers
Selection: Pete Zuh QB @seal
Chicago gets their QB of the future to develop until Kazimir Oles JR hangs 'em up.
4.07 New Orleans Secondline (via Baltimore Hawks)
Selection: Tae Dawson CB @Gage2
Never too late to take an active corner.
4.08 Sarasota Sailfish
Selection: Emerson Quinn LB @Chrundle
Again, filling a position of need in the fourth round, nothing wrong with that.
4.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Selection: Turt Golum TE @patsfreak27
Another blocking TE, to keep Bageshwari Singh upright.
4.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Selection: Effoff IamYeti DT @SDCore
Effoff you're mocked to the Liberty.
4.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Selection: Walter McKinley LB @KingOfTheOzone
I heard the air is thin in Yellowknife.
4.12 Orange County Otters
Selection: Roque Santa Cruz QB @Air Crou
Orange County grabs their quarterback of the future.
4.13 Philadelphia Liberty (via Honolulu Hahalua)
Selection: Sexy Wilfork DT @wuma
In case IamYeti refuses to play in Philly.
4.14 Arizona Outlaws
Selection: Jimmy Holding OL @TheDangaZone
Hey! I found something Arizona could use more of, oline!
5.01 Colorado Yeti
Selection: Jair Pharaoh RB @Jmsewa19
I don't know much about players at this point. I'm glad you dropped by in any case, Jmsewa19, if you came here because I tagged you. In fact, I'd like to thank anyone that was tagged and read the article, and anyone that's still reading the blurbs at this point. You rock.
5.02 Austin Copperheads
Selection: Dennis Rodman OL @PBS
I'm going to keep going, my goal was six rounds and by golly I'm going to make it!
5.03 New Orleans Secondline
Selection: Justin Cloud DE @JustCloud
'Member when I talked about you in the first round? I 'member.
5.04 San Jose SaberCats
Selection: C.G Breezy RB @LIL MUNKEY
I wonder if anyone has noticed I re-sorted by TPE and am just pasting names as they go down the column yet?
5.05 New York Silverbacks
Selection: Rockbot Rockbo WR @RockbotRockbo
This is going to be my last blurb.
5.06 Chicago Butchers
Selection: Pan Cakes OL @lespoils
Actually, this one will.
5.07 Baltimore Hawks
Selection: Will Nightingale CB @PurplePiratePoo
5.08 Sarasota Sailfish
Selection: Richard Harden TE @Alphavictory
5.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Selection: Malcom Graves RB @FL4K__
5.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Selection: Udo E Beaty RB @bechtudo
5.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Selection: Tyrod Iverson DT @cluesman
5.12 Orange County Otters
Selection: Roma Amir-Kani S @dallasrogue21
5.13 Honolulu Hahalua
Selection: Rerry Jice WR @CJ_the_M16
5.14 Arizona Outlaws
Selection: Poopoo InPee S @poopooinp
6.01 Colorado Yeti
Selection: Trigger Robinson OL @Thegreatbambino
6.02 Austin Copperheads
Selection: Bunk McDunk DT @deffmonk
6.03 New Orleans Secondline
Selection: Nick Smith RB @SmittyHextall
6.04 San Jose SaberCats
Selection: Drew Stowe WR @drewlikesthepanthers
6.05 New York Silverbacks
Selection: Amadan Fool DE @Jo3fish5
6.06 Chicago Butchers
Selection: Jeremy Crouse Jr. K/P @Twinsfan87
6.07 Baltimore Hawks
Selection: Greg Givens CB @gtg1994
6.08 Sarasota Sailfish
Selection: Josepi The great K/P @Otto_der_great
6.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Selection: Payton Wilhelm WR @Saltystew32
6.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Selection: CJ Jones QB @BaggWayy62
6.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Selection: Jack R. RB @Jack R.
6.12 Orange County Otters
Selection: Amorea RenField RB @XXKLIOZAYLION
6.13 Honolulu Hahalua
Selection: Johnny Rex Nelson TE @BrettManJD
6.14 Arizona Outlaws
Selection: Deuce Dawkins TE @gimme
I did it! All six rounds! Thanks for sticking with me to the end.
I probably should've done four rounds....
4579 words, 5 charts, and a whole lotta smoke
by br0_0ker
It's that time of year again! From the guy who brought you the S35 Draft Primer and the S35 DSFL Draft Primer comes the S36 Draft Primer, this time with even more charts, colors, and tags! Admittedly, my overdrawn bank account accelerated the posting of this article, as I had hoped to get one more week in before crunching the numbers, which would have allowed one last update to hit the tracker and the remainder of this week's games to complete, bringing some clarity to the final standings. Nonetheless, the methodology used to predict the rest of the outcomes this season is in my opinion sound, from there moving to examine each team individually with the goal of highlighting the biggest needs and wants of each. I then used the google sheet I've been updating with weekly TPE values since the very first S36 creates were posted to assign a score to each active member of the draft. Using the score and charts of needs/wants, I drafted six rounds of players, from a pool of all of the players that at least had visited the forum this month (with the exception of the unfortunate Mr. Mike Stallworth), and totally not just because I needed the money. Let's jump right in.
DISCLAIMER: This is entirely based on TPE earnings and team needs, this does not factor in how wonderful a person you might be or the relationships with teams players might have prior to entering the draft. This is solely earnings based, all I care is that you earn as much as you can as fast as you can.
Remaining schedule prediction methodology
With the conclusion of Week 12 games, there remains four weeks of play in the season. Using the current standings, I took each team's Points For and Points Against and charted if they fell in the 75th, 50th, or 25th percentile. Using this information I separated the teams into four tiers which represented a form of power ranking, which I then cross-referenced with each team's remaining schedule to get an approximation of expected wins. For each team that faces a team at least one tier lower than themselves, they earn one expected win. Teams that face an opponent in their own tier earn half a win. Teams facing an opponent in a higher tier earn zero expected wins. Here's the chart:
Of course, it is no guarantee that a higher tiered team will defeat a lower tiered team (I'm looking at you San Jose), but for the sake of simplicity we assume each "favored" team wins the matchup. Home-field advantage is not accounted for as well. Some observations:
- it's lucky that the teams with the same records are in the same conferences, so we can use the current inverse standings to settle any tiebreakers
- the tiers sort of formed naturally, where the bottom tier all had either a bottom tier offense/defense matched with a mid tier offense/defense, the third tier might have had one top tier offense or defense but not both, and the top two tiers had strong squads on both sides of the ball, with Arizona at the top with the only top tier offense and defense pairing
- OCO looks very similar in PF/PA to Arizona, barely missing out on the top tier by one point scored
I re-sorted the list based on the expected win column, with the only deviation being Berlin slotting in behind Sarasota and Philly falling behind Berlin. Berlin and Philly both have matchups against bottom tier teams AUS/COL, and face each other and Sarasota, but Berlin draws an away game to finish the season in Yellowknife while Philly plays at Chicago in week 14, an easier matchup in my opinion. Given Sarasota has four matchups against similarly tiered teams or better, it seemed most appropriate they would take the first pick in this three-way split. But let it be known that picks 6-11 are very volatile in order. Here's my projected order for the S36 draft:
Based on this order, I have Arizona winning the Ultimus. I looked back at data from the modern era (S27 and beyond) to see if home-field advantage could predict a favorite once the playoff teams were decided. I actually found that the distribution of teams that win the Ultimus is almost even across each of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd seeds:
I noted the records of S31 and S32 3rd seeds to see if it was a year where there were three teams that were just significantly better that the others and it was not necessarily the case. Based on this, while I still believe Arizona will win the Ultimus, I think there is a good chance that OCO takes it if they finish in their current position as the 3rd seed. Seeding, and thus home-field advantage, does not seem to dictate victory nearly as often as I would think between teams that are close in TPE/performance.
Determining team needs and wants methodology
I then popped open the team budgets google sheet and started charting each team's roster composition for the S36 season. For each player under contract for S36 in a position, that position received one point. For each player a team had in the DSFL, that position received half a point. I then coded the chart based on the minimum number of players each team should have at a given position, ideally. Examining the cells that were coded deficient, I updated the coding if a team had potential free agents on their team where signing them would fill the deficiency. I then ran one final pass to see if any position that was coded as filled that would benefit from an upgrade, and coded those cells accordingly. Here's that chart:
Some observations:
- this chart looks really cool
- OL was coded in such a way that I expect every team to carry at least once active lineman on their roster. It's 2022, get with the program GMs
- RB was coded to require two players because I realized that the FB designation was not present in the team budgets sheet, and in a pinch a secondary RB can perform FB duties
- in a similar vein I made TE a single player requirement, even though some teams will put a WR at the position. It is my belief that players will play best at their natural position, so teams should try to fill those vacancies even if they are shoehorning in another position to fill the position temporarily
- DE/DT each were set at two to allow all defenses to run any of the 3-4, 4-3, or nickel schemes in the sim without putting players out of position. Defensive line players are often used interchangeably, but I maintain the same positional philosophy here as with RB and TE
- I also charted the maximum amount of FA that would be available at each position, and the amount of draft eligible players that were above the IA/50 TPE threshold
- it's a rough year to be a QB, S, or K if you were wanting to head straight to the ISFL, though generally QBs will sit anyways
This part probably took the longest, outside of the cumulative time spent verifying the data I get from the tracker each week. I tried my best to make decisions in a vacuum, assuming that no signing would affect/prevent another signing. I did rough calculations for regressing players, coding appropriately where a low TPE re-signing would only satisfy a vacancy if the position would not be greatly affected by a player with low TPE. In the cases it would, I coded for an upgrade at the position, indicating a team want and not necessarily a need. From this data, I was able to gather a league-wide sample of wants and needs, which would aid in determining the positions in highest demand this draft, and subsequently guide my decision-making while actually drafting. The players list was then coded based on each player's score percentile where the 90th percentile were coded as Blue Chip Prospects, 75th-89th percentile as Future Superstars, 50th-74th percentile Starter Quality, 25th-49th percentile coded Role Players, 10th-24th percentile as Developmental Depth Pieces, and the bottom 10th percentile as Hail Mary Picks. A note on TPE measurements: I base the numbers off the tracker which doesn't update daily. Most of these TPE numbers will be 10-20 TPE off of their most up-to-date measurement, but the difference is nearly the same all across the list.
Using these two charts, I began to draft. Here are the results:
1.01 Colorado Yeti
Needs: LB, DT, WR, CB
Selection: Kevin McThumper LB @Chucky
The Yeti project as the number one overall pick, and they're thin at the league-wide neediest positions. Luckily for them, there are two nearly identical players at the top of the board to chose from. Both Versatile LB archetypes, either Kevin McThumper or Fred Edison should be the pick here, as the Yeti desperately need a a youth rejuvenation on their 14th ranked defense. At the time of writing, McThumper holds the TPE edge at 244 vs 234 claimed, having edited their update page a day later than Edison. Linebacker is a much more necessary position than defensive tackle, and McThumper will immediately step in to replace an aging Elliot Hord, who at 201 TPE is set to enter their first season of regression. Don't over think this, it's an easy pick.
1.02 Austin Copperheads
Needs: DT, TE, DE, WR
Selection: Jean-Ralphio Saperstein DE @Fordhammer
Though not the "top need" identified by the team needs chart, defensive end is perhaps a more necessary and versatile position than defensive tackle, and while Austin enters the S36 season without any DTs signed to the squad, Jean-Ralphio Saperstein (henceforth referred to as "JRS") should be the logical choice for a number of reasons. First, the defensive end pool is deceptively shallow. After JRS, Harley Andrews is required to fall to Sarasota in the second round, and the next best DE is JR Frankenstero at 213 TPE, one of only four remaining players above 100 TPE. Defensive end is the league-wide third neediest position, so having a shot at the top prospect here gives Austin an edge. Secondly, though not ideal, Austin has the option to re-sign Candice D. Fitinyomouf (nice) in what I imagine will be their last or second to last season staving off regression, lowering the overall need of DT for the team. Third, I project this to be a defensive heavy draft, with many teams needing to reload on that side of the ball, and this might cause some of the top TE prospects (a position teams seem to have lower priority on) to fall. JRS seems like a no-brainer for these reasons, though the team philosophy could be wildly different than my analysis.
1.03 New Orleans Secondline
Needs: DT, CB
Selection: Xavier Valorian DT @XaveValor
NOLA heads into S36 as one of a few teams with only a few major holes on their roster. The decision to fill the defensive tackle position over cornerback is based on about 20 TPE difference, too significant to warrant reaching here at third overall. The decision to take Valorian over DT TPE leader Nathan Meagher is based on Solace Avenger being rostered in S36, already an All-Purpose DT archetype. Pairing Avenger with Valorian who is an Interior Rusher seems better chemistry-wise.
1.04 San Jose SaberCats
Needs: DE, LB, DT, WR
Selection: JR Frankenstero DE @Punk42AE
The primary goal of the SaberCats this offseason should be to re-sign Panda McKyle (who is IA according to the budget tracker) to give Owen Farrell one more season in the DSFL to develop. San Jose has a lot of their own talent they can retain this offseason to fill the holes in their S36 roster, which gives them some flexibility at the fourth overall spot. This might be a bit of a reach, but with only one defensive end on the roster and Olajide Olatunji (S35 DE) sitting at only 65 TPE, it makes sense. Frankenstero is the last DE over 200 TPE, and definitely would not be there when their second pick came round. I thought about grabbing a LB or Nathan Meagher here, but with a full, albeit aging, roster of LB and Patty Pumpernickel almost assuredly being re-signed on the cheap as an IA DT, there were less options for SJS to fill the DE position than any other on their roster. Frankenstero in their own right is only ten TPE off the leaders, so not a massive reach by any means.
1.05 New York Silverbacks
Needs: DT, DE, LB, CB
Selection: Nathan Meagher DT @Nathan
I had a whole thing written up about artificially induced scarcity because of Bonzi Buddy being forced to their team in the second round before I realized this was the very team Bonzi would be forced to. Imagine being that dumb, haha couldn't be me. Anyways, with CB being guaranteed in the second, New York has the luxury of grabbing the highest graded remaining defensive lineman here. While linebacker is a thinner position, the Silverbacks have two LB signed in S36 with the potential to re-sign DeCarr Rek. Should that happen, the biggest gap in a nickel formation would be at DT, and NYS is very happy to plug it with the 6th best overall prospect in the draft.
1.06 Chicago Butchers
Needs: DE, DT, LB, CB
Selection: Graham Harper CB @PurpleReign
Chicago ends the defensive lineman run, grabbing a cornerback here at the sixth overall spot. The Butchers have another pick coming up after NOLA here in the first, so they play a bit of gamesmanship in scouting NOLA's needs and grabbing Harper who likely would be gone at the next pick before addressing more pressing needs of their own. Harper sits at 20 TPE above the next draftable CB, making this an easy selection.
1.07 New Orleans Secondline (via Baltimore Hawks)
Needs: CB
Selection: Raffaele Tommasi CB @enigmatic
NOLA does not draft again until their third round pick, 24 spots from now (barring any trades up). Their roster looks pretty complete with the selection of Valorian at 1.03 and their only real hole appears to be at CB. With Chicago sniping Harper one spot ahead of them, the Secondline have their pick of the next tier of CB prospects. Tommasi projects as a solid starter, and enigmatic is a renowned user, making this another easy pick.
1.08 Chicago Butchers (via Sarasota Sailfish)
Needs: DE, DT, LB
Selection: Aqeel Steele DE @"AbacusAmateur"
With the defensive end position thinning out, the Butchers take Steele at eight overall to immediately step in for a regressing Red Arrow Jr. in S36. After Steele, there were only two players capable of stater's reps at the DE position, at there would be a risk in both hoping Justin Cloud fell to their second round pick and also even trusting Cloud to start. Neither Steele nor Mike Scott should be available at Chicago's next pick, so reaching a little for the need is acceptable here.
1.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Needs: LB, DT, QB
Selection: Fred Edison LB @Liter
Berlin grabs a falling blue chip prospect at a position of one of their greatest needs. If Berlin chooses to re-sign Tomme Salami, that would give them three defensive ends on the roster and enable one to play out of position. Edison would come in immediately to replace Adam Schell, who will be in their fifth season of regression in S36. This a better theoretical lineup than drafting defensive tackle here, and being forced to start Schell. Drafting Edison in S36 also future-proofs the Berlin linebacking corps, as BamBam McMullet also begins their deep dive into regression, enabling Edison to develop into a reliable starter by the time McMullet is forced to retire.
1.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Needs: LB, DT, RB
Selection: Akaki Akayre LB @Ulaire
In Active is set to be retired in S36 and So-Much Jazz is too low TPE to start in the ISFL, so Akayre will need to step into the vacancy as a year one starter. Even with Honky-Tonk Haywood retiring in S36 as well, Philadelphia has the option to re-sign a regressing Tex Wrecks to play at defensive tackle, while promoting Able Archer (S33 DE) to their position. This enables Philly to employ a 4-3 strategy, rather then run deficient at the LB position in S36 by drafting DT here.
1.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Needs: TE, DT, LB, OL
Selection: Mister Hogmally TE @iStegosauruz
Yellowknife has the potential to have four starter quality defensive linemen on their roster at the start of S36, so finally a team that doesn't have pressing dline needs. If Stewart Hellraiser is re-signed, the Wraiths will be able to fill their TE vacancy here late in the first round. Kai Sakura will be retired next season, and Mark Walker will be deep in regression soon, so Hogmally shouldn't have long to wait before they're catching passes as Dustin Parmelee's third option.
1.12 Orange County Otters
Needs: LB, WR
Selection: Zaphod Beeblebrox WR @Mooty99
The Otters have a need at linebacker if they do not end up resigning either of their FA LB and call up Mason Jones. I expect all this to be accomplished and OCO be able to have their choice of WR prospects at the twelfth overall spot. Any one of the top four WR could be their pick, but I went with the top TPE methodology and Austin Morely/Zaphod Beeblebrox edge out Octavio Pérez by one single TPE point. Mooty is a legend in the league, so I expect Orange County to go with the familiar face here.
1.13 Honolulu Hahalua
Needs: DE, RB, DT, S
Selection: Mike Scott DE @Pizza-faith
Honolulu picks only once in the first three rounds, and they have a few pressing needs on the roster. Cobra Kai, Bean Beanman, and Steven Wadham are all set to retire in S36. The Hahalua will need to make a strong FA push since they cannot fill all their holes via call ups or the draft. If I were a betting man, I might stake a claim that Busch Goose, S28 RB for the Baltimore Hawks, finds a home as the lead back for Honolulu in the twilight of their career, currently seeing split reps in Baltimore. Goose would be the undisputed lead back for the Hahalua, and the move would allow Honolulu to focus on only the defensive line and safety in the draft. Assuming this is the route Honolulu takes, grabbing Mike Scott over a top safety may seem like a reach, but given there are no other starter quality prospects in the draft at defensive end and that the overall league-wide neediness for safety is low, Honolulu takes the last of the DE and will potentially look to move up to grab one of the falling safeties in the late second or third rounds.
1.14 Arizona Outlaws
Needs: DE, LB
Selection: Ignatius Reilly LB @yesboom
While the Outlaws head into S36 without a defensive end rostered or able to re-sign, the difference in top available players in the linebacker and DE positions is nearly 60 TPE, too great to reach here for a position of need. Arizona goes instead for the last LB above 200 TPE, grabbing the eventual replacement for L'Gazzy Burfict (S25). The hope here is Justin Cloud slides to their next pick.
2.01 Colorado Yeti
Needs: DT, WR, CB
Selection: Charles Chapman DT @Charple
The Yeti continue to reinforce their defensive line. Chapman sits nearly 30 TPE above the next draftable defensive tackle, with Absolute Unit being forced to Yellowknife later this round, and it's a steep drop off in TPE after that.
2.02 Austin Copperheads
Needs: DT, TE, WR
Selection: Reece Wells II TE @josda_
Austin has the personnel to run a 4-3 or a nickel set on defense at this point, so moving over to fill their biggest offensive need here.
2.03 Baltimore Hawks (via New Orleans Secondline)
Needs: DE, LB, DT, TE
Selection: Bruce Buckley Jr. LB @NicholasTheGreat
Baltimore nabs their GM here, while also filling a position of need (almost like they planned it!)
2.04 San Jose SaberCats
Needs: LB, DT, WR
Selection: Austin Morley WR @soevil
If Sam The Onion Man is not re-signed or when they hit regression, Austin Morely is a perfect fit "slotting" in as the WR3 here (because of the slot archetype, get it).
2.05 New York Silverbacks
Needs: DE, LB, CB
Selection: Bonzi Buddy CB @zaynzk
New York takes their GM here,, easy peasy.
2.06 Chicago Butchers
Needs: DT, LB
Selection: Octavio Pérez WR @Raven
Chicago goes after Mike Hunt's eventual successor. Raven's also a pretty nice person (so I've heard).
2.07 Baltimore Hawks
Needs: DE, DT, WR
Selection: Mandrews McHollywood WR @Rusfan
Baltimore continues the wide receiver run, grabbing themselves an instant starter with their first true "pick" of the draft.
2.08 Sarasota Sailfish
Needs: LB, CB, DE
Selection: Harley Andrews DE @abh89
GM selection and a player that should be starting in a year or two. Nuff said.
2.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Needs: DT, QB
Selection: J.T. Kurbis OL @JoshiePoo
With a couple of aging offensive linemen hitting later regression stages, Berlin grabs a beefy boi to protect their young QB during their rebuild.
2.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Needs: DT, RB, CB
Selection: Mabel Pines CB @dude_woman
Philly grabs a starter quality cornerback to develop before their top two CBs go any further into regression.
2.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Needs: DT, LB, OL
Selection: Absolute Unit DT @Arkz
GM selection and fills the top team need. All according to plan.
2.12 Orange County Otters
Needs: LB, K
Selection: Savathûn T. Witchqueen K/P @sathona
Dallas Dole probably only has one good season left in them. Drafting Witchqueen here guarantees a seamless transition in the kicking game.
2.13 Austin Copperheads (via Honolulu Hahalua)
Needs: DT, WR
Selection: Thomas Robinson WR @infern8
Robinson should start at the WR3 position immediately, and should be a staple of the Copperhead offense for years to come.
2.14 Arizona Outlaws
Needs: DE
Selection: Leandre Diarra RB @slate
What do you do when a team has no apparent holes and has sufficient replacements in the DSFL? You take a full back! Arizona already leans on Jay Cue Jr. and John Riggins is a receiving back, this gives the Outlaws a full compliment of weapons for the running back group.
3.01 Colorado Yeti
Needs: WR, CB
Selection: Don Dobbler WR @Jaywe88
The Don stays draped in red, dobbling their little heart away.
3.02 Austin Copperheads
Needs: DT
Selection: Joseph Reed DT @Reedy0rNot
The Copperheads grab the last starter quality defensive tackle, adding to their already phenomenal draft.
3.03 New Orleans Secondline
Needs: none
Selection: L F.T TE @C9Van
Rather than grab an offensive lineman, NOLA gives the new blocking TE archetype a spin.
3.04 San Jose SaberCats
Needs: LB, DT
Selection: Teemo Swift S @Repgnar
I know that there is no way that the TPE leader falls to the third round, but there is honestly no team that truly needs a safety, and the ones that do already have replacements in the DSFL. Safety can hypothetically play CB or LB, but sticking to the philosophy of the article that a player is best played in their natural position, this was the earliest I could see any team taking the position. With that said, I expect if the draft actually falls this way, Swift will go in the first round in lieu of one of the cornerbacks and will position switch after talking to GMs during scouting. But for spiciness, we will leave you here Repgnar.
3.05 New York Silverbacks
Needs: DE, LB
Selection: Ja’uan Holland S @Friesen1520
And just like that the top two safeties come off the board. I actually think New York needs a player at the position, but are locked into taking Bonzi Buddy with their second round pick. The same rationale applies to Holland as Swift regarding position changing, but if the draft actually falls this way somewhat, the Silverbacks could end up with a mega steal here in the third round.
3.06 Chicago Butchers
Needs: DT, LB
Selection: Sconnie McSix RB @g2019
A similar situation as the safety position, running back is a low league-wide need and I wouldn't be surprised to see the top RB prospects fall this draft.
3.07 Baltimore Hawks
Needs: DE, DT
Selection: Quendyn Quarterstorm S @Twenty6
Baltimore skips taking need over best player available, given the near 70 TPE difference between best players at the positions.
3.08 Sarasota Sailfish
Needs: LB, CB
Selection: Suggs Upshar II CB @Suggs
Starter quality player in the third round at a position of need, also Sarasota's first true "pick" of the draft.
3.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Needs: DT, QB
Selection: Aleksandr Milescu S @Alikh
Berlin might have taken a safety earlier in the draft, but they had more pressing needs. Milescu will start in a year or two.
3.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Needs: DT, RB
Selection: Jarvis Harbinger-Marjin RB @DREAMSLOTH
What a name, man.
3.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Needs: LB, OL
Selection: Orlando Doom OL @Bunny
Get yourself an offensive lineman, Yellowknife.
3.12 Orange County Otters
Needs: LB
Selection: Kaiden King S @khkreator
Will sit for a year or two, but could be a valuable contributor in the future.
3.13 Austin Copperheads (via Honolulu Hahalua)
Needs: none
Selection: Patrick Cunningham K/P @Buttersqauch101
Their kicker is getting older and Cunningham should sit for a year before being the kicker of the future for Austin.
3.14 Arizona Outlaws
Needs: none
Selection: Bean Delphine Jr RB @"SeymourSnatches"
I lied earlier, I said Arizona had one of each running back archetype. They complete the set here.
I won't be committing to a blurb for each pick at this point, mostly it was best player available.
4.01 Colorado Yeti
Selection: Jasper Fontaine TE @lordcoolcats
IA protection if Eeeeeeee phenssta ever goes missing.
4.02 Austin Copperheads
Selection: Ceti Pyxis RB @"belowavgg"
Some competition for the running back group.
4.03 Honolulu Hahalua (via New Orleans Secondline)
Selection: Nate Winter S @TwoSocks
This pick could end up being a decent steal when we look back in a few seasons.
4.04 San Jose SaberCats
Selection: Fat Jack DT @AW13
Continuing to plug those holes... wait...
4.05 New York Silverbacks
Selection: Derrick Prince WR @AnUnoriginalGuy
An unoriginal blurb.
4.06 Chicago Butchers
Selection: Pete Zuh QB @seal
Chicago gets their QB of the future to develop until Kazimir Oles JR hangs 'em up.
4.07 New Orleans Secondline (via Baltimore Hawks)
Selection: Tae Dawson CB @Gage2
Never too late to take an active corner.
4.08 Sarasota Sailfish
Selection: Emerson Quinn LB @Chrundle
Again, filling a position of need in the fourth round, nothing wrong with that.
4.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Selection: Turt Golum TE @patsfreak27
Another blocking TE, to keep Bageshwari Singh upright.
4.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Selection: Effoff IamYeti DT @SDCore
Effoff you're mocked to the Liberty.
4.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Selection: Walter McKinley LB @KingOfTheOzone
I heard the air is thin in Yellowknife.
4.12 Orange County Otters
Selection: Roque Santa Cruz QB @Air Crou
Orange County grabs their quarterback of the future.
4.13 Philadelphia Liberty (via Honolulu Hahalua)
Selection: Sexy Wilfork DT @wuma
In case IamYeti refuses to play in Philly.
4.14 Arizona Outlaws
Selection: Jimmy Holding OL @TheDangaZone
Hey! I found something Arizona could use more of, oline!
5.01 Colorado Yeti
Selection: Jair Pharaoh RB @Jmsewa19
I don't know much about players at this point. I'm glad you dropped by in any case, Jmsewa19, if you came here because I tagged you. In fact, I'd like to thank anyone that was tagged and read the article, and anyone that's still reading the blurbs at this point. You rock.
5.02 Austin Copperheads
Selection: Dennis Rodman OL @PBS
I'm going to keep going, my goal was six rounds and by golly I'm going to make it!
5.03 New Orleans Secondline
Selection: Justin Cloud DE @JustCloud
'Member when I talked about you in the first round? I 'member.
5.04 San Jose SaberCats
Selection: C.G Breezy RB @LIL MUNKEY
I wonder if anyone has noticed I re-sorted by TPE and am just pasting names as they go down the column yet?
5.05 New York Silverbacks
Selection: Rockbot Rockbo WR @RockbotRockbo
This is going to be my last blurb.
5.06 Chicago Butchers
Selection: Pan Cakes OL @lespoils
Actually, this one will.
5.07 Baltimore Hawks
Selection: Will Nightingale CB @PurplePiratePoo
5.08 Sarasota Sailfish
Selection: Richard Harden TE @Alphavictory
5.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Selection: Malcom Graves RB @FL4K__
5.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Selection: Udo E Beaty RB @bechtudo
5.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Selection: Tyrod Iverson DT @cluesman
5.12 Orange County Otters
Selection: Roma Amir-Kani S @dallasrogue21
5.13 Honolulu Hahalua
Selection: Rerry Jice WR @CJ_the_M16
5.14 Arizona Outlaws
Selection: Poopoo InPee S @poopooinp
6.01 Colorado Yeti
Selection: Trigger Robinson OL @Thegreatbambino
6.02 Austin Copperheads
Selection: Bunk McDunk DT @deffmonk
6.03 New Orleans Secondline
Selection: Nick Smith RB @SmittyHextall
6.04 San Jose SaberCats
Selection: Drew Stowe WR @drewlikesthepanthers
6.05 New York Silverbacks
Selection: Amadan Fool DE @Jo3fish5
6.06 Chicago Butchers
Selection: Jeremy Crouse Jr. K/P @Twinsfan87
6.07 Baltimore Hawks
Selection: Greg Givens CB @gtg1994
6.08 Sarasota Sailfish
Selection: Josepi The great K/P @Otto_der_great
6.09 Berlin Firesalamanders
Selection: Payton Wilhelm WR @Saltystew32
6.10 Philadelphia Liberty
Selection: CJ Jones QB @BaggWayy62
6.11 Yellowknife Wraiths
Selection: Jack R. RB @Jack R.
6.12 Orange County Otters
Selection: Amorea RenField RB @
6.13 Honolulu Hahalua
Selection: Johnny Rex Nelson TE @BrettManJD
6.14 Arizona Outlaws
Selection: Deuce Dawkins TE @gimme
I did it! All six rounds! Thanks for sticking with me to the end.
I probably should've done four rounds....
4579 words, 5 charts, and a whole lotta smoke