12-09-2020, 09:20 PM
(This post was last modified: 12-10-2020, 05:18 PM by Asked Madden.)
Check the article I posted earlier this week for a bad explanation of what SRS is. This week I added ISFL to NFL team comparisons using the PFR standings page https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2020/ for context
1. Sarasota Sailfish
Offensive SRS: 5.64 (2)
Defensive SRS: 4.42 (4)
Total SRS: 10.06 (1)
Margin of Victory: 13 (1)
Strength of Schedule: -2.94 (14)
NFL Team Comparable: Kansas City Chiefs (5.6 Offense SRS, 2.8 Defense SRS, 8.3 Total)
2. Yellowknife Wraiths
Offensive SRS: 0.58 (6)
Defensive SRS: 6.28 (1)
Total SRS: 6.86 (2)
Margin of Victory: 9.67 (2)
Strength of Schedule: -2.81 (13)
NFL Team Comparable: Baltimore Ravens (1.9 Offense, 5.6 Defense, 7.5 Total)
3. New Orleans Second Line
Offensive SRS: 1.5 (5)
Defensive SRS: 4.39 (5)
Total SRS: 5.89 (3)
Margin of Victory: 7.67 (3)
Strength of Schedule: -1.78 (12)
NFL Team Comparable: Los Angeles Rams (0.5 Offense, 4.4 Defense, 4.9 Total)
4. Orange County Otters
Offensive SRS: 4.42 (3)
Defensive SRS: -0.33 (9)
Total SRS: 4.08 (4)
Margin of Victory: 5.33 (4)
Strength of Schedule: -1.25 (11)
NFL Team Comparable: Buffalo Bills (2.6 Offense, -0.7 Defense, 1.8 Total)
5. Austin Copperheads
Offensive SRS: 2.31 (4)
Defensive SRS: 1.53 (7)
Total SRS: 3.83 (5)
Margin of Victory: 3.67 (5)
Strength of Schedule: 0.17 (6)
NFL Team Comparable: Indianapolis Colts (1.0 Offense, 1.7 Defense, 1.7 Total)
6. Arizona Outlaws
Offensive SRS: 9.61 (1)
Defensive SRS: -6.06 (12)
Total SRS: 3.56 (6)
Margin of Victory: 2.83 (6)
Strength of Schedule: 0.72 (5)
NFL Team Comparable: Tennessee Titans (5.6 Offense, -3.3 Defense, 2.3 Total)
7. Colorado Yeti
Offensive SRS: -2.03 (11)
Defensive SRS: 4.61 (3)
Total SRS: 2.58 (7)
Margin of Victory: 2.67 (7)
Strength of Schedule: -0.08 (9)
NFL Team Comparable: New England Patriots (-2.2 Offense, 3.8 Defense, 1.7 Total) Fuck you Syl
7. Chicago Butchers
Offensive SRS: -0.83 (8)
Defensive SRS: 3.42 (6)
Total SRS: 2.58 (7)
Margin of Victory: 2.5 (8)
Strength of Schedule: 0.08 (8)
NFL Team Comparable: Miami Dolphins (-0.6 Offense, 5.0 Defense, 4.5 Total)
9. New York Silverbacks
Offensive SRS: -6.81 (13)
Defensive SRS: 5.75 (2)
Total SRS: -1.06 (9)
Margin of Victory: -0.83 (9)
Strength of Schedule: -0.22 (10)
NFL Team Comparable: Chicago Bears (-4.2 Offense, 2.5 Defense, -1.7 Total)
10. Baltimore Hawks
Offensive SRS: -1.89 (10)
Defensive SRS: -1.08 (10)
Total SRS: -2.97 (10)
Margin of Victory: -4 (10)
Strength of Schedule: 1.03 (4)
NFL Team Comparable: Houston Texans (-0.9 Offense, -1.2 Defense, -2.1 Total)
11. Philadelphia Liberty
Offensive SRS: -1.25 (9)
Defensive SRS: -4.89 (11)
Total SRS: -6.14 (11)
Margin of Victory: -8.83 (12)
Strength of Schedule: 2.69 (2)
NFL Team Comparable: Los Angeles Chargers (-1.2 Offense, -4.7 Defense, -5.8 Total)
12. San Jose Sabercats
Offensive SRS: -7.97 (14)
Defensive SRS: 0.08 (8)
Total SRS: -7.89 (12)
Margin of Victory: -8 (11)
Strength of Schedule: 0.11 (7)
NFL Team Comparable: Denver Broncos (-5 Offense, -0.4 Defense, -5.4 Total)
13. Berlin Fire Salamanders
Offensive SRS: 0.39 (7)
Defensive SRS: -10.19 (14)
Total SRS: -9.81 (13)
Margin of Victory: -12.83 (13)
Strength of Schedule: 3.03 (1)
NFL Team Comparable: Dallas Cowboys (-1.3 Offense, -8.1 Defense, -9.4 Total)
14. Honolulu Hahalua
Offensive SRS: -3.67 (12)
Defensive SRS: -7.92 (13)
Total SRS: -11.58 (14)
Margin of Victory: -12.83 (13)
Strength of Schedule: 1.25 (3)
NFL Team Comparable: Jacksonville Jaguars (-4.6 Offense, -4.0 Defense, -8.6 Total)
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Last time I gave what SRS says the betting lines should roughly be for Week 6. Let's see how that worked out:
New York at Orange County (-14) - New York win by 14
Sarasota (-4) at Arizona - Sarasota win by 14
San Jose at Austin (-8) - Austin win by 17
Honolulu at New Orleans (-20) - New Orleans win by 12
Colorado (-19) at Berlin - Berlin win by 3
Yellowknife (-1) at Chicago - Yellowknife win by 13
Baltimore (-2) at Philadelphia - Baltimore win by 10
Pretty bad! But hey, why not run it again for Week 7:
Colorado at Orange County (-2)
Arizona at Austin (pk)
New Orleans (-14) at San Jose
New York at Honolulu (-11)
Yellowknife at Sarasota (-3)
Chicago (-9) at Philadelphia
Berlin at Baltimore (-7)
1. Sarasota Sailfish
Offensive SRS: 5.64 (2)
Defensive SRS: 4.42 (4)
Total SRS: 10.06 (1)
Margin of Victory: 13 (1)
Strength of Schedule: -2.94 (14)
NFL Team Comparable: Kansas City Chiefs (5.6 Offense SRS, 2.8 Defense SRS, 8.3 Total)
2. Yellowknife Wraiths
Offensive SRS: 0.58 (6)
Defensive SRS: 6.28 (1)
Total SRS: 6.86 (2)
Margin of Victory: 9.67 (2)
Strength of Schedule: -2.81 (13)
NFL Team Comparable: Baltimore Ravens (1.9 Offense, 5.6 Defense, 7.5 Total)
3. New Orleans Second Line
Offensive SRS: 1.5 (5)
Defensive SRS: 4.39 (5)
Total SRS: 5.89 (3)
Margin of Victory: 7.67 (3)
Strength of Schedule: -1.78 (12)
NFL Team Comparable: Los Angeles Rams (0.5 Offense, 4.4 Defense, 4.9 Total)
4. Orange County Otters
Offensive SRS: 4.42 (3)
Defensive SRS: -0.33 (9)
Total SRS: 4.08 (4)
Margin of Victory: 5.33 (4)
Strength of Schedule: -1.25 (11)
NFL Team Comparable: Buffalo Bills (2.6 Offense, -0.7 Defense, 1.8 Total)
5. Austin Copperheads
Offensive SRS: 2.31 (4)
Defensive SRS: 1.53 (7)
Total SRS: 3.83 (5)
Margin of Victory: 3.67 (5)
Strength of Schedule: 0.17 (6)
NFL Team Comparable: Indianapolis Colts (1.0 Offense, 1.7 Defense, 1.7 Total)
6. Arizona Outlaws
Offensive SRS: 9.61 (1)
Defensive SRS: -6.06 (12)
Total SRS: 3.56 (6)
Margin of Victory: 2.83 (6)
Strength of Schedule: 0.72 (5)
NFL Team Comparable: Tennessee Titans (5.6 Offense, -3.3 Defense, 2.3 Total)
7. Colorado Yeti
Offensive SRS: -2.03 (11)
Defensive SRS: 4.61 (3)
Total SRS: 2.58 (7)
Margin of Victory: 2.67 (7)
Strength of Schedule: -0.08 (9)
NFL Team Comparable: New England Patriots (-2.2 Offense, 3.8 Defense, 1.7 Total) Fuck you Syl
7. Chicago Butchers
Offensive SRS: -0.83 (8)
Defensive SRS: 3.42 (6)
Total SRS: 2.58 (7)
Margin of Victory: 2.5 (8)
Strength of Schedule: 0.08 (8)
NFL Team Comparable: Miami Dolphins (-0.6 Offense, 5.0 Defense, 4.5 Total)
9. New York Silverbacks
Offensive SRS: -6.81 (13)
Defensive SRS: 5.75 (2)
Total SRS: -1.06 (9)
Margin of Victory: -0.83 (9)
Strength of Schedule: -0.22 (10)
NFL Team Comparable: Chicago Bears (-4.2 Offense, 2.5 Defense, -1.7 Total)
10. Baltimore Hawks
Offensive SRS: -1.89 (10)
Defensive SRS: -1.08 (10)
Total SRS: -2.97 (10)
Margin of Victory: -4 (10)
Strength of Schedule: 1.03 (4)
NFL Team Comparable: Houston Texans (-0.9 Offense, -1.2 Defense, -2.1 Total)
11. Philadelphia Liberty
Offensive SRS: -1.25 (9)
Defensive SRS: -4.89 (11)
Total SRS: -6.14 (11)
Margin of Victory: -8.83 (12)
Strength of Schedule: 2.69 (2)
NFL Team Comparable: Los Angeles Chargers (-1.2 Offense, -4.7 Defense, -5.8 Total)
12. San Jose Sabercats
Offensive SRS: -7.97 (14)
Defensive SRS: 0.08 (8)
Total SRS: -7.89 (12)
Margin of Victory: -8 (11)
Strength of Schedule: 0.11 (7)
NFL Team Comparable: Denver Broncos (-5 Offense, -0.4 Defense, -5.4 Total)
13. Berlin Fire Salamanders
Offensive SRS: 0.39 (7)
Defensive SRS: -10.19 (14)
Total SRS: -9.81 (13)
Margin of Victory: -12.83 (13)
Strength of Schedule: 3.03 (1)
NFL Team Comparable: Dallas Cowboys (-1.3 Offense, -8.1 Defense, -9.4 Total)
14. Honolulu Hahalua
Offensive SRS: -3.67 (12)
Defensive SRS: -7.92 (13)
Total SRS: -11.58 (14)
Margin of Victory: -12.83 (13)
Strength of Schedule: 1.25 (3)
NFL Team Comparable: Jacksonville Jaguars (-4.6 Offense, -4.0 Defense, -8.6 Total)
---
Last time I gave what SRS says the betting lines should roughly be for Week 6. Let's see how that worked out:
New York at Orange County (-14) - New York win by 14
Sarasota (-4) at Arizona - Sarasota win by 14
San Jose at Austin (-8) - Austin win by 17
Honolulu at New Orleans (-20) - New Orleans win by 12
Colorado (-19) at Berlin - Berlin win by 3
Yellowknife (-1) at Chicago - Yellowknife win by 13
Baltimore (-2) at Philadelphia - Baltimore win by 10
Pretty bad! But hey, why not run it again for Week 7:
Colorado at Orange County (-2)
Arizona at Austin (pk)
New Orleans (-14) at San Jose
New York at Honolulu (-11)
Yellowknife at Sarasota (-3)
Chicago (-9) at Philadelphia
Berlin at Baltimore (-7)