It's the Conference Championships! Fun Fact, these are both rematches of week 2 games of the regular season!
Welcome to the final edition of Drip's Wet Bets for s28!
What's up everybody who reads this! That's probably only Shrub at this point, so Shrub, I hope your day is going well! In these special days of Conference Championships, of course I have some money moves for you! I hope you have found this at least entertaining, if not profitable. So, for the final Wet Bets of season 28, I wanted to do something pretty special. As of right now, I have 3.1 million left in my bank account. So, for each of the 6 bets today, I will be putting 500k on every single bet. Now, I know that the last time I put money on each bet I made, I ended up going 1-5. But this time is different! I have a little more wisdom, and a little more money to spend. I will also be going in depth on every pick, so you'll see my thoughts behind my picks. Please, Sim God, let this work.
Let's get into it!
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Arizona Outlaws QB Charlemagne Cortez
O/U 277.5 Yards Passing
As the first place NSFC team, and heavy favorites for the Ultimus, Arizona has performed well on all sides of the ball all season. And their offense, which ranks top 2 in the league in total yards, points, and rushing yards on both offense and defense. The one stat that puts a blemish on a great overall season, is their passing yards per game, where they actually are in the bottom half of the league at 281.5 per game. Clearly, there is some work that can be done with their leading man in Cortez, but the average is still above the line. Now, I am looking at Austin to play a lot more like their week 2 matchup versus Arizona, where they held Charlemagne and the Arizona offense to only 173 yards passing. What really moves the needle for me, is that all 3 of 4 Arizona losses have come at home, in which Cortez never topped 200 yards passing. I love a good underdog story, so I am betting that the Copperheads not only hold the opposing QB to the under, but come out of the game with the ASFC title for season 28.
500k ON THE UNDER
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RB Zoe Watts
O/U 63.5 Yards Rushing
Hello, old friend. Once more, I am betting on the Austin star running back, Zoe Watts. My first ever bet was on her, and I lost. Then, in the previous edition of Drip's Wet Bets, I made up for it by winning the biggest bet all season. Now, I lost on the over and won on the under, but I don't take that into account. I am looking at pure production for this bet, and it is a tossup. If you're looking at the playoffs so far, it hasn't been super pretty for Watts. She had less yards, a lower average, and what makes me the most nervous for the over, less carries than Jim The Vampire. But looking at the two previous matchups versus Arizona, Watts rushed for an average of 84 yards per game. That did heavily rely on the performance in week 2, where watts rushed for 117. I really want to take the over, and give the Austin running attack some credit. But remember what I said about how I wouldn't take winning on the under into account? I lied.
500k ON THE UNDER
-
WR Videl-San
O/U 98.5 Yards Receiving
This one. This one hurts. I have one rule that has stayed true throughout Drip's Wet Bets. Never bet the over on receiving lines. And damn it, I have always been right. But this one. This one is testing my commitment to myself and my rules. In their last game against a much worse pass defense, Videl-San absolutely torched the Silverbacks for 149 yards. So the playoff performance is there, but that wouldn't be enough to get me off of my convictions. What may be though, is the fact that the Arizona defense hasn't been able to get control of the star receiver for Austin in their previous matchups. Videl-San has average 106.5 yards per game against the Outlaws. So, the mix of playoff production and the proven success against Arizona is really pulling at my heart strings. My mouse has been hovering around the over this whole time, mostly because I don't know whether I should stay the course, or besmirch the name of Drip's Wet Bets. To be fair, the average against Arizona isn't that much higher than the line. But I expect Austin to win, and damnit, I have to do it.
500k ON THE over
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QB Colby Jack
O/U 281.5 Yards Passing
If there are any bets this time around that I would normally put in my top 2, this would be one of them. The Yellowknife Wraiths have been an outstanding team this season, and QB Colby Jack has been a big part of that. He has been a scoring machine this year, passing for 32 touchdowns this season. Their ability to score points in season 28 will definitely be studied for how to score points beyond this season. But the big yardage through the air has not been prevalent against the Berlin Fire Salamanders and the 4th ranked pass defense that they boast. In fact, in both of their matchups in the regular season, Colby Jack has not passed 224 yards. So, the under is the obvious bet here, as I believe the Yellowknife passing attack is going to struggle against those pesky Salamanders. Fun fact, Colby Jack has averaged 282 Yards per game this season, exactly the line for the conference championship.
500k ON THE UNDER
-
Yellowknife Wriaths WR Achtfunf
O/U 88.5 Yards Receiving
I am going to keep this brief, mainly because how the QB is playing will determine how the top weapon in the passing game will perform. And I don't want to bore you with the same reasoning as the past bet. Also, please, let this make up for taking the over for Videl-San. Don't let me take bad juju into the next season of Drip's Wet Bets.
500k ON THE UNDER
-
Berlin Fire Salamanders RB Joe Petrongolo
O/U 75.5 Yards Rushing
I would put this near the top of my parlay rankings for this round of bets. But, as there is no parlay for this week of bets, I have to settle for telling you that Petrongolo is going to hit the over. I don't know if I just have more confidence in Berlin than Arizona, but it feels like this game is going to be less of a challenge for the Salamanders to win. I think Petrongolo is going to be a big factor in that. The last time out against the Wraiths, Petrongolo went bananas for 95 yards. Surprisingly, their first matchup in week 2, Joe was held to 42 yards. But that didn't stop me or make my confidence waver at all, because this dude is a baller and is used so often for Berlin. Also, Yellowknife has made it to the conference championships with the lowest league ranking in any individual category. That being their 12th ranked rush defense that allows 112 yards per game.
500k ON THE OVER
-
I hope you guys have followed along and maybe even bet on these! I know I post them a little late sometimes, but I also do this when the Sportsbook comes out, so it's a bit of a time crunch. But thanks for reading! Also, I went 4-1 last time around, so that's pretty cool! The next one of these will be the s28 masterclass where I go over all of my bets this season! Keep an eye out for that!
Running Count: 23-15
Total Earnings: 3.5 Million
Money Up This Week: 500k On Every Bet
Welcome to the final edition of Drip's Wet Bets for s28!
What's up everybody who reads this! That's probably only Shrub at this point, so Shrub, I hope your day is going well! In these special days of Conference Championships, of course I have some money moves for you! I hope you have found this at least entertaining, if not profitable. So, for the final Wet Bets of season 28, I wanted to do something pretty special. As of right now, I have 3.1 million left in my bank account. So, for each of the 6 bets today, I will be putting 500k on every single bet. Now, I know that the last time I put money on each bet I made, I ended up going 1-5. But this time is different! I have a little more wisdom, and a little more money to spend. I will also be going in depth on every pick, so you'll see my thoughts behind my picks. Please, Sim God, let this work.
Let's get into it!
-
Arizona Outlaws QB Charlemagne Cortez O/U 277.5 Yards Passing
As the first place NSFC team, and heavy favorites for the Ultimus, Arizona has performed well on all sides of the ball all season. And their offense, which ranks top 2 in the league in total yards, points, and rushing yards on both offense and defense. The one stat that puts a blemish on a great overall season, is their passing yards per game, where they actually are in the bottom half of the league at 281.5 per game. Clearly, there is some work that can be done with their leading man in Cortez, but the average is still above the line. Now, I am looking at Austin to play a lot more like their week 2 matchup versus Arizona, where they held Charlemagne and the Arizona offense to only 173 yards passing. What really moves the needle for me, is that all 3 of 4 Arizona losses have come at home, in which Cortez never topped 200 yards passing. I love a good underdog story, so I am betting that the Copperheads not only hold the opposing QB to the under, but come out of the game with the ASFC title for season 28.
500k ON THE UNDER
-
RB Zoe WattsO/U 63.5 Yards Rushing
Hello, old friend. Once more, I am betting on the Austin star running back, Zoe Watts. My first ever bet was on her, and I lost. Then, in the previous edition of Drip's Wet Bets, I made up for it by winning the biggest bet all season. Now, I lost on the over and won on the under, but I don't take that into account. I am looking at pure production for this bet, and it is a tossup. If you're looking at the playoffs so far, it hasn't been super pretty for Watts. She had less yards, a lower average, and what makes me the most nervous for the over, less carries than Jim The Vampire. But looking at the two previous matchups versus Arizona, Watts rushed for an average of 84 yards per game. That did heavily rely on the performance in week 2, where watts rushed for 117. I really want to take the over, and give the Austin running attack some credit. But remember what I said about how I wouldn't take winning on the under into account? I lied.
500k ON THE UNDER
-
WR Videl-San O/U 98.5 Yards Receiving
This one. This one hurts. I have one rule that has stayed true throughout Drip's Wet Bets. Never bet the over on receiving lines. And damn it, I have always been right. But this one. This one is testing my commitment to myself and my rules. In their last game against a much worse pass defense, Videl-San absolutely torched the Silverbacks for 149 yards. So the playoff performance is there, but that wouldn't be enough to get me off of my convictions. What may be though, is the fact that the Arizona defense hasn't been able to get control of the star receiver for Austin in their previous matchups. Videl-San has average 106.5 yards per game against the Outlaws. So, the mix of playoff production and the proven success against Arizona is really pulling at my heart strings. My mouse has been hovering around the over this whole time, mostly because I don't know whether I should stay the course, or besmirch the name of Drip's Wet Bets. To be fair, the average against Arizona isn't that much higher than the line. But I expect Austin to win, and damnit, I have to do it.
500k ON THE over
-
QB Colby Jack O/U 281.5 Yards Passing
If there are any bets this time around that I would normally put in my top 2, this would be one of them. The Yellowknife Wraiths have been an outstanding team this season, and QB Colby Jack has been a big part of that. He has been a scoring machine this year, passing for 32 touchdowns this season. Their ability to score points in season 28 will definitely be studied for how to score points beyond this season. But the big yardage through the air has not been prevalent against the Berlin Fire Salamanders and the 4th ranked pass defense that they boast. In fact, in both of their matchups in the regular season, Colby Jack has not passed 224 yards. So, the under is the obvious bet here, as I believe the Yellowknife passing attack is going to struggle against those pesky Salamanders. Fun fact, Colby Jack has averaged 282 Yards per game this season, exactly the line for the conference championship.
500k ON THE UNDER
-
Yellowknife Wriaths WR Achtfunf O/U 88.5 Yards Receiving
I am going to keep this brief, mainly because how the QB is playing will determine how the top weapon in the passing game will perform. And I don't want to bore you with the same reasoning as the past bet. Also, please, let this make up for taking the over for Videl-San. Don't let me take bad juju into the next season of Drip's Wet Bets.
500k ON THE UNDER
-
Berlin Fire Salamanders RB Joe PetrongoloO/U 75.5 Yards Rushing
I would put this near the top of my parlay rankings for this round of bets. But, as there is no parlay for this week of bets, I have to settle for telling you that Petrongolo is going to hit the over. I don't know if I just have more confidence in Berlin than Arizona, but it feels like this game is going to be less of a challenge for the Salamanders to win. I think Petrongolo is going to be a big factor in that. The last time out against the Wraiths, Petrongolo went bananas for 95 yards. Surprisingly, their first matchup in week 2, Joe was held to 42 yards. But that didn't stop me or make my confidence waver at all, because this dude is a baller and is used so often for Berlin. Also, Yellowknife has made it to the conference championships with the lowest league ranking in any individual category. That being their 12th ranked rush defense that allows 112 yards per game.
500k ON THE OVER
-
I hope you guys have followed along and maybe even bet on these! I know I post them a little late sometimes, but I also do this when the Sportsbook comes out, so it's a bit of a time crunch. But thanks for reading! Also, I went 4-1 last time around, so that's pretty cool! The next one of these will be the s28 masterclass where I go over all of my bets this season! Keep an eye out for that!
Running Count: 23-15
Total Earnings: 3.5 Million
Money Up This Week: 500k On Every Bet
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