(S44) PT #5 - Now or Never

[AW13]

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[Bazooka_Joe]

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[Troen]

It's the last IRL week of the regular season. For those with playoff aspirations, what do you think the team you're on needs to do to make it to the big dance? For those that are mathematically eliminated, what could have been done differently?

With 2 games left, we're currently in third place (tied on record but I'm pretty sure losing the tiebreaker) with our 2 remaining games against the 1 seed (Honolulu) and the 4 seed (Arizona). Winning both guarantees us a playoff spot, but only winning one might leave us in a precarious position depending on tiebreakers. New York (2 seed) has 2 road games against sub-.500 teams, but they've also been much worse on the road than at home. Honolulu has what seems like a very winnable game at Chicago before hosting us in week 16, so they seem likely to get to at least 11 wins. Arizona (who have also been bad on the road) has 2 away games with the other being at Orange County. If we can break the loss streak against them, that puts us at 10 wins with them only being able to hit 9, so that should clinch a playoff spot. If we beat Honolulu but Arizona wins both of theirs, I think we'd lose the tiebreaker due to losing both head-to-heads and both be at 10 wins. Then it gets tricky with New York - if they go 2-0 and finish at 11-5, I think Arizona gets the 3 seed and we'd be out. If they go 0-2 then they'd be fourth and we'd make the playoffs with Arizona. If they go 1-1 and we all finish at 10-6, I have no idea how the tiebreakers shake out so I'll just hope we can beat Arizona and avoid the issue.

[caleb.grim]

The Dallas Birddogs are once again in the driver’s seat for earning a ticket to the DSFL conference championships. Sitting in second place with a record of 7-4 with three games left to go, they have an opportunity to avenge their conference championship defeat from a season ago.

Sitting three games ahead of the 3rd place Norfolk Seawolves, the road is wide open for Dallas. Since the Birddogs split their season series with Norfolk, the tiebreaker reverts to conference records. Norfolk owns that tiebreaker and thus Dallas needs to have more wins outright.

In order for that to happen, one of two things must happen. First, the Birddogs could win at least one of their final three games. This seems very likely to happen as Dallas has beaten all three of their remaining opponents already this season. Second, even if Dallas losses all thee of their games, if the Seawolves lose any of their next three games, Dallas will make the playoffs.

All things considered, I would be shocked if it’s not Dallas vs. Tijuana in the conference championship game.

[Scrizz]

[Bamford13]

With one week left in the DSFL season the Portland have already clinched the one seed and home field advantage. It helps when the team tied for second in the North is 4-7. Portland are sitting at 8-3 on the season coming off a rough loss against the Tijuana Luchadores. Coming off their dominant title season Portland lost key pieces on both sides of the ball but didn’t lose enough to make them a bad team. Importantly, Portland retained star QB Jay Cue for another season, and while his play has been disappointing this year, having the reigning MVP winner is always nice in the playoffs. In order to make the Ultimini the Pythons are gonna have to beat a team with a losing record. While this should be an easy job the Pythons have already lost to the Coyotes who have a chance of being their playoff opponent this season. In the Ultimini it looks like the Pythons will face the 10-1 Luchadores barring a major upset. The teams have traded wins in their two games so far this season so it’s anyone’s game. This would be a rematch from the S43 Ultimini in which Portland crushed Tijuana. Maybe a victory for Tijuana would be a matter of revenge.

[bjkman]

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[yosh]

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[.Laser]

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[DoubleDub]

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