05-10-2019, 05:45 AM
(This post was last modified: 05-19-2019, 06:40 AM by Fordhammer.)
Before filling out my own season predictions, I decided to go with the idea of the group intelligence and looked at everyones season predictions.
What I learned is that there seems to be a fairly good idea about most spots, but there are still some question marks.
Some basic observations:
- Most teams have the Hawks in first place and the Yeti in fourth place, while Liberty and Wraiths are fairly even.
- Most teams have Second Line in third and Outlaws in fourth, while Sabercats and Otters are closer together.
- There are some crazy people out there.
- While more people have the Sabercats in first place in their conference, way more people have Orange County winning the ASFC and the Ultimus than San Jose.
- The same amount of people predict an Arizona Ultimus win as a Philadelphia Ultimus win.
And now here are more detailed numbers:
Average rank:
Baltimore Hawks: 1.10
Philadelphia Liberty: 2.38
Yellowknife Wraiths: 2.57
Colorado Yeti: 3.94
San Jose Sabercats: 1.41
Orange County Otters: 1.69
New Orleans Second Line: 3.15
Arizona Outlaws: 3.76
Playoffs:
Baltimore Hawks: 97.20%
Philadelphia Liberty: 57.01%
Yellowknife Wraiths: 44.86%
Colorado Yeti: 0.93%
San Jose Sabercats: 97.20%
Orange County Otters: 97.20%
New Orleans Second Line: 1.87%
Arizona Outlaws: 3.74%
Regular Season winner:
Baltimore Hawks: 53.27%
San Jose Sabercats: 23.36%
Orange County Otters: 20.56%
Philadelphia Liberty: 1.87%
Yellowknife Wraiths: 0.93%
NSFC winner:
Baltimore Hawks: 89.72%
Philadelphia LIberty: 6.54%
Yellowknife Wraiths: 3.73%
ASFC winner:
Orange County Otters: 65.42%
San Jose Sabercats: 32.71%
Arizona Outlaws: 1.87%
Ultimus winner:
Baltimore Hawks: 44.86%
Orange County Otters: 29.91%
San Jose Sabercats: 18.69%
Yellowknife Wraiths: 2.80%
Philadelphia Liberty: 1.87%
Arizona Outlaws: 1.87%
The main takeaway truly is the odd distinction between SJS and OCO. I wonder if someone can explain this to me in the comments. Nearly 2/3rds of people have SJS winning the ASFC in the regular season, but the same amount have Orange County winning it in the playoffs. It is the main difference that happens in this data and I am not sure what to make of it honestly. Any one have thoughts on that?
What I learned is that there seems to be a fairly good idea about most spots, but there are still some question marks.
Some basic observations:
- Most teams have the Hawks in first place and the Yeti in fourth place, while Liberty and Wraiths are fairly even.
- Most teams have Second Line in third and Outlaws in fourth, while Sabercats and Otters are closer together.
- There are some crazy people out there.
- While more people have the Sabercats in first place in their conference, way more people have Orange County winning the ASFC and the Ultimus than San Jose.
- The same amount of people predict an Arizona Ultimus win as a Philadelphia Ultimus win.
And now here are more detailed numbers:
Average rank:
Baltimore Hawks: 1.10
Philadelphia Liberty: 2.38
Yellowknife Wraiths: 2.57
Colorado Yeti: 3.94
San Jose Sabercats: 1.41
Orange County Otters: 1.69
New Orleans Second Line: 3.15
Arizona Outlaws: 3.76
Playoffs:
Baltimore Hawks: 97.20%
Philadelphia Liberty: 57.01%
Yellowknife Wraiths: 44.86%
Colorado Yeti: 0.93%
San Jose Sabercats: 97.20%
Orange County Otters: 97.20%
New Orleans Second Line: 1.87%
Arizona Outlaws: 3.74%
Regular Season winner:
Baltimore Hawks: 53.27%
San Jose Sabercats: 23.36%
Orange County Otters: 20.56%
Philadelphia Liberty: 1.87%
Yellowknife Wraiths: 0.93%
NSFC winner:
Baltimore Hawks: 89.72%
Philadelphia LIberty: 6.54%
Yellowknife Wraiths: 3.73%
ASFC winner:
Orange County Otters: 65.42%
San Jose Sabercats: 32.71%
Arizona Outlaws: 1.87%
Ultimus winner:
Baltimore Hawks: 44.86%
Orange County Otters: 29.91%
San Jose Sabercats: 18.69%
Yellowknife Wraiths: 2.80%
Philadelphia Liberty: 1.87%
Arizona Outlaws: 1.87%
The main takeaway truly is the odd distinction between SJS and OCO. I wonder if someone can explain this to me in the comments. Nearly 2/3rds of people have SJS winning the ASFC in the regular season, but the same amount have Orange County winning it in the playoffs. It is the main difference that happens in this data and I am not sure what to make of it honestly. Any one have thoughts on that?