The ASFC Playoff picture is wrapped up with New Orleans having swept San Jose and having clinched a better conference record than New York, the only interesting thing that can happen is with Honolulu and Arizona fighting for home field advantage. If both the Outlaws and Hahalua win, it comes down to a Points For tiebreaker.
There will be lots of excitement in the NSFC! With the possibility of Sarasota, Chicago, Yellowknife, and Colorado ending up all at 11-5, Wednesday night's sims will be a must watch.
For those who don't know the tiebreakers, they are as follows:
The way DDSPF16 worked, and the way I will assume DDSPF21 works, is that in every tiebreak it searches for the team that ADVANCES, removes from the from the tiebreak, and STARTS OVER AGAIN from step 1 with the remaining teams. This is how Orange County managed to sneak into the playoffs last season.
Here are the scenarios, which I am 69% sure are correct (assuming the same logic as DDSPF16):
A few interesting notes:
Like I said before, I'm about 69% sure that these scenarios are right, but let me know if I missed something!
TL;DR:
There will be lots of excitement in the NSFC! With the possibility of Sarasota, Chicago, Yellowknife, and Colorado ending up all at 11-5, Wednesday night's sims will be a must watch.
For those who don't know the tiebreakers, they are as follows:
- Head-to-Head records (between all teams tied)
- Conference record
- Points For
- Honestly who knows
The way DDSPF16 worked, and the way I will assume DDSPF21 works, is that in every tiebreak it searches for the team that ADVANCES, removes from the from the tiebreak, and STARTS OVER AGAIN from step 1 with the remaining teams. This is how Orange County managed to sneak into the playoffs last season.
Here are the scenarios, which I am 69% sure are correct (assuming the same logic as DDSPF16):
A few interesting notes:
- Chicago has clinched a spot in the playoffs. No matter what happens tomorrow night, they are in. There are only two scenarios where they could end up out of the top 2 seeds, and those come on Points For tiebreakers.
- Sarasota has all but clinched a spot - there are only two scenarios where a Points For tiebreak with Colorado (who they currently lead by 12 points, 455-443) eliminates them.
- Yellowknife still control their own destiny - if they win, they're in. If they lose, a Colorado win would eliminate them from the playoffs.
- Colorado are in dire straits. They need to win and have Yellowknife lose to get in - OR push for a 4-way tie at 11-5 OR a 3-way tie at 11-5 with YKW and SAR, in which they would need to score 13 or more points than the Sailfish.
- The four-way tie would be the M A X I M U M C H A O S scenario this year, a somewhat less good follow-up to last season's magnificent five-way tie in the ASFC. It will excitingly come down to a Points For tiebreaker too, so break out those calculators. If we want even more chaos, let the Yeti score 12 more points than the Sailfish and allow us to find out what the magical 4th tiebreaker is!
Like I said before, I'm about 69% sure that these scenarios are right, but let me know if I missed something!
TL;DR:
- are in
- are in unless they lose + win + win + score 13+ more points than they do
- are in with a win, out if they lose + win
- are out unless they win + lose OR they win + lose + win + score 13+ fewer points than they do