03-15-2024, 11:07 PM
(This post was last modified: 03-19-2024, 09:57 AM by wetwilleh. Edited 1 time in total.)
Now that the ISFL draft is officially over, it's only right that we look back on the slew of mock drafts that were done and see who can be deemed an oracle and who needs a new Ouija board....
I did my best to find all the mock drafts I could, which btw is a lot more than I thought there were, and I'm blown away they started so early in the season.... learn something new all the time here.
First off I'll evaluate how many they actually got 100% right both in terms of player and position drafted, and then how many players they at least had in the right round.
Lastly, I'll rank who I think are the best at making mock's based on these results with some commentary.
swoosh & baz - We Stole Wizards Orb - Correct Picks: 0/28. Correct Players per Round: 14/28
Waldo - Waldo's Mock Draft 1.0 - Correct Picks: 0/14. Correct Players: 7/14
Croney3 - The Ultimate S47 ISFL Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/2. Correct Players: 0/2 - I, for one, totally though this was 100% accurate....
A plethora of people.... - S47 User Mock Draft v1.0 - Correct Picks: 3/42. Correct Players: 9/42
Bamford13 - Bamford's S47 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/10. Correct Players: 2/10
Starboy - A S47 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 1/42. Correct Players: 15/42 (I only did the first 3 rounds out of his 5)
lemonoppy - Low Effort Mock - Correct Picks: 1/28 . Correct Players: 15/28
A plethora of people... - S47 User Mock Draft: Post-TDL Edition - Correct Picks: 2/42. Correct Players: 17/42 - Interesting to see that while getting the right person in the right spot dropped by 1, they almost doubled the amount of people they had in the right round...
JJ5 - 2 Round S47 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/28. Correct Players: - 4/28 - Apparently a randomizer actually gets some right....
papalinator - S47 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/14. Correct Playrs: 8/14 - Highest accuracy to date in terms of number of players in the right round.
shahdude - To Mock or Not to Mock - Correct Picks: 0/14. Correct Players: - 9/14 - Do things start to get more accurate as we get closer?
Tmoney6996 - S47 ISFL Round 1 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 2/14. Correct Players: - 10/14 - Things are starting to get spicy and become more clear.... as the number of accurate picks and players rise.
JJ5 - JJ's Mock Draft 1.0 - Correct Picks: 2/14. Correct Players: - 12/14 - I'm telling you, as you get closer to the draft, things seem to fall into place more clearly.... that or someone is getting leeks!
Starchychaff - ISFL MOCK DRAFT - Correct Picks: 1/42. Correct Players: - 15/42 - We just skipped Rd. 1 Pick 14 all together.... out of excitement maybe?
roquefort - Late Night Mock - Post CC Round - Part 1 - Correct Picks: 1/4. Correct Players: 3/4. - The mouse ate the leeks instead of the cheese?
roquefort - Late Night Mock - Post CC Round - Part 2 - Correct Picks: 4/10. Correct Players: 8/10 - I'm starting to think he's an oracle, not a rodent.... but the amount of thought he put in to these picks shows in his writeup and results.
WalterYensid - S47 Mock Draft Pre-Ulti based on the input of others - Correct Picks: 2/14. Correct Players: 12/14.
zaynzk - S47 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/14. Correct Players: 13/14 - Most impressive player selection to date and the only wrong choice was Cloud and many mocks had him going in the 1st.
SensibleDictator - Scuffed S47 ISFL Mock - Correct Picks: 0/12. Correct Players: 5/12 - Solid effort and maybe we go hire had Griddy delivered his part?
Starchychaff - ISFL MOCK DRAFT 2.0 - Correct Picks: 1/28. Correct Players: 15/28
WalterYensid - Prediction S46 Mock - Correct Picks: 4/14. Correct Players: 14/14 - Ladies and Gentlemen we have our first winner..... hitting all 14 players going in Rd. 1, and almost 1/3 in the right spot too.
SensibleDictator - Roque mock 2.01-2.07 - Correct Picks: 0/7. Correct Players: 3/7
shahdude & Standardan - Super Ultra Mega Accurate First Round Mock - Correct Picks: 1/14. Correct Players: 11/14
wetwilleh - Full ISFL Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/28. Correct Players - 14/28 - I gave up on doing more than the first 2 rounds, the accuracy falls off deeply.
JJ5 - JJ 2.0 - Correct Picks: 3/14. Correct Players - 12/14 - In the running for the most accurate, second only to the mouse....
SensibleDictator - Roque mock draft 2.08-2.14 - Correct Picks: 0/7. Correct Players: 2/7
So what did I learn? Well for starters, I learned I can memorize the draft order and names by going through enough mock's and comparing them to what actually happened.
I also saw a trend where handful of players seemed to permanently retain a position, whether it was 1st overall, or the perception they were going mid 1st round, time and time again. Not sure if these influence other mockers.
I'm also curious what these would look like if you didn't have the chaos agent, icebear himself, drafting 1 & 2.... because it seems nobody saw things shaking out the way they did on draft night.
If I'm picking a mocker to bet on next season, I'm picking roque, JJ5 & Walter, but to be fair, the later 2 had multiple boards.... so if we're to judge off a singular attempt, as much as it pains me, the mouse takes the cheese.
Ultimately, what seems to hold true is that mock's published about a week out tend to be the most accurate, and while some people may get a few picks right, nobody even gets half them right. In fact, if anything, mocks would be better off if you guessed whose going in what round instead of what position, which I know goes against the very fiber of mocks....
I think that to truly have an understanding of where someone might land you need to have a feel for positional need of a team, but then you're also operating under the assumption that individuals won't position change, which is even harder to predict.
Oh well, until next ISFL draft..... where I'll make my own mock with blackjack and hookers!
I did my best to find all the mock drafts I could, which btw is a lot more than I thought there were, and I'm blown away they started so early in the season.... learn something new all the time here.
First off I'll evaluate how many they actually got 100% right both in terms of player and position drafted, and then how many players they at least had in the right round.
Lastly, I'll rank who I think are the best at making mock's based on these results with some commentary.
swoosh & baz - We Stole Wizards Orb - Correct Picks: 0/28. Correct Players per Round: 14/28
Waldo - Waldo's Mock Draft 1.0 - Correct Picks: 0/14. Correct Players: 7/14
Croney3 - The Ultimate S47 ISFL Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/2. Correct Players: 0/2 - I, for one, totally though this was 100% accurate....
A plethora of people.... - S47 User Mock Draft v1.0 - Correct Picks: 3/42. Correct Players: 9/42
Bamford13 - Bamford's S47 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/10. Correct Players: 2/10
Starboy - A S47 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 1/42. Correct Players: 15/42 (I only did the first 3 rounds out of his 5)
lemonoppy - Low Effort Mock - Correct Picks: 1/28 . Correct Players: 15/28
A plethora of people... - S47 User Mock Draft: Post-TDL Edition - Correct Picks: 2/42. Correct Players: 17/42 - Interesting to see that while getting the right person in the right spot dropped by 1, they almost doubled the amount of people they had in the right round...
JJ5 - 2 Round S47 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/28. Correct Players: - 4/28 - Apparently a randomizer actually gets some right....
papalinator - S47 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/14. Correct Playrs: 8/14 - Highest accuracy to date in terms of number of players in the right round.
shahdude - To Mock or Not to Mock - Correct Picks: 0/14. Correct Players: - 9/14 - Do things start to get more accurate as we get closer?
Tmoney6996 - S47 ISFL Round 1 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 2/14. Correct Players: - 10/14 - Things are starting to get spicy and become more clear.... as the number of accurate picks and players rise.
JJ5 - JJ's Mock Draft 1.0 - Correct Picks: 2/14. Correct Players: - 12/14 - I'm telling you, as you get closer to the draft, things seem to fall into place more clearly.... that or someone is getting leeks!
Starchychaff - ISFL MOCK DRAFT - Correct Picks: 1/42. Correct Players: - 15/42 - We just skipped Rd. 1 Pick 14 all together.... out of excitement maybe?
roquefort - Late Night Mock - Post CC Round - Part 1 - Correct Picks: 1/4. Correct Players: 3/4. - The mouse ate the leeks instead of the cheese?
roquefort - Late Night Mock - Post CC Round - Part 2 - Correct Picks: 4/10. Correct Players: 8/10 - I'm starting to think he's an oracle, not a rodent.... but the amount of thought he put in to these picks shows in his writeup and results.
WalterYensid - S47 Mock Draft Pre-Ulti based on the input of others - Correct Picks: 2/14. Correct Players: 12/14.
zaynzk - S47 Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/14. Correct Players: 13/14 - Most impressive player selection to date and the only wrong choice was Cloud and many mocks had him going in the 1st.
SensibleDictator - Scuffed S47 ISFL Mock - Correct Picks: 0/12. Correct Players: 5/12 - Solid effort and maybe we go hire had Griddy delivered his part?
Starchychaff - ISFL MOCK DRAFT 2.0 - Correct Picks: 1/28. Correct Players: 15/28
WalterYensid - Prediction S46 Mock - Correct Picks: 4/14. Correct Players: 14/14 - Ladies and Gentlemen we have our first winner..... hitting all 14 players going in Rd. 1, and almost 1/3 in the right spot too.
SensibleDictator - Roque mock 2.01-2.07 - Correct Picks: 0/7. Correct Players: 3/7
shahdude & Standardan - Super Ultra Mega Accurate First Round Mock - Correct Picks: 1/14. Correct Players: 11/14
wetwilleh - Full ISFL Mock Draft - Correct Picks: 0/28. Correct Players - 14/28 - I gave up on doing more than the first 2 rounds, the accuracy falls off deeply.
JJ5 - JJ 2.0 - Correct Picks: 3/14. Correct Players - 12/14 - In the running for the most accurate, second only to the mouse....
SensibleDictator - Roque mock draft 2.08-2.14 - Correct Picks: 0/7. Correct Players: 2/7
So what did I learn? Well for starters, I learned I can memorize the draft order and names by going through enough mock's and comparing them to what actually happened.
I also saw a trend where handful of players seemed to permanently retain a position, whether it was 1st overall, or the perception they were going mid 1st round, time and time again. Not sure if these influence other mockers.
I'm also curious what these would look like if you didn't have the chaos agent, icebear himself, drafting 1 & 2.... because it seems nobody saw things shaking out the way they did on draft night.
If I'm picking a mocker to bet on next season, I'm picking roque, JJ5 & Walter, but to be fair, the later 2 had multiple boards.... so if we're to judge off a singular attempt, as much as it pains me, the mouse takes the cheese.
Ultimately, what seems to hold true is that mock's published about a week out tend to be the most accurate, and while some people may get a few picks right, nobody even gets half them right. In fact, if anything, mocks would be better off if you guessed whose going in what round instead of what position, which I know goes against the very fiber of mocks....
I think that to truly have an understanding of where someone might land you need to have a feel for positional need of a team, but then you're also operating under the assumption that individuals won't position change, which is even harder to predict.
Oh well, until next ISFL draft..... where I'll make my own mock with blackjack and hookers!